New England Patriots

The Patriots won all eight of their road games in 2025 and covered seven of them. Our Patriots predictions, and the New England Patriots odds for each game, begin with a team that lost only three times, all at home.

Twelve covers in seventeen

New England went 14-3 and beat the spread 12 times. No NFL team covered more often; three matched it, the Seattle Seahawks among them. The longest run was ten straight wins, from late September to December 1, with October inside it: four games, four wins, four covers, 4.38 units.

Only one team in the league scored more points per game, and only three allowed fewer.

Perfect on the road

Away from home: 8-0, seven covers in eight. Only one team covered at a higher rate on the road. At home: 6-3, five covers in nine, and every loss of the season.

As favorites they were 10-1 and covered eight of 11; three teams did better. As underdogs, 4-2 with four covers in six.

One unit, seventeen games

Every Patriots game had a moneyline. One unit on them in each returned 7.26 units, and only one NFL team returned more. The road made all of it and then some: 8.68 up away, 1.42 down at home. As underdogs alone they made 5.4 from six games.

The longest price was a 23-20 win in Buffalo at +320. Then 28-24 in Baltimore at +170, and 28-23 in Tampa Bay at +135.

The AFC East

Both games against the Miami Dolphins won and covered. Both against the New York Jets the same. A split with the Buffalo Bills, one cover. That is 5-1. The postseason added home wins over the Chargers, 16-3, and the Texans, 28-16, a 10-7 AFC Championship win in Denver, and a 29-13 loss to Seattle in Super Bowl LX.

The total

Here there is a lean. Patriots games went over 11 times and under six. One team went over at a higher rate; four matched it.

Questions and answers