Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets Picks and Predictions September 21st 2025

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets September 21st 2025

The New York Jets will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season. The game will be held at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, Florida, on Sunday, September 21, at 1:00 PM on FOX. Fans following the full Sunday slate can find deeper matchup insights in our NFL Week 3 blog.

The Jets, led by head coach Aaron Glenn, are searching for their first win after an 0-2 start. They face a tough challenge against the Buccaneers, who sit at 2-0 under Todd Bowles. This meeting adds another chapter to their head-to-head history, with Tampa Bay winning the most recent clash in the 2023 preseason.

Jets vs Buccaneers Key Information

• Sport: Football (NFL)
• Teams: New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, FL USA — Outdoor Field
• Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Betting Odds: Jets Moneyline +253, Buccaneers Moneyline -313, Jets Spread +6.5 (-104), Buccaneers Spread -6.5 (-115), Total Over 43.5 (-110), Total Under 43.5 (-110)

The Jets Can Win If…

The New York Jets are looking to bounce back after a tough game against the Buffalo Bills. Despite the 30-10 loss, the Jets showed potential with their rushing game, gaining 100 yards on the ground. Breece Hall was a standout, contributing 29 rushing yards and 2 receptions, and Tyrod Taylor threw a touchdown pass to Jeremy Ruckert.

In their season opener, the Jets narrowly lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers with a score of 34-32. They had a strong offensive showing with 212 passing yards and 182 rushing yards. Justin Fields led with 218 passing yards and a touchdown, while Garrett Wilson added 95 receiving yards and a touchdown.

The Jets’ defense has been effective in creating turnovers, ranking 5th in fumbles recovered last season. They also ranked 7th in sacks, showing their ability to pressure the quarterback. With Tyrod Taylor stepping in at quarterback this week, the Jets will rely on their strong running game and defensive pressure to secure a win.

The Buccaneers Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into their next game with confidence after a close win against the Houston Texans, 20-19. Baker Mayfield led the charge with 215 passing yards and two touchdowns. Rachaad White and Bucky Irving contributed significantly on the ground, combining for 136 rushing yards.

Tampa Bay’s offense is a force, ranking 4th in the league last season with 502 points. Their rushing attack was also strong, ranked 4th with 2,536 yards. The team’s ability to convert on third downs, leading the league at 50.9%, is a key reason they can control the game flow.

Defensively, the Buccaneers are tough, ranking 5th in sacks last season with 46. They are skilled at recovering fumbles, ranked 4th with 12 recoveries. Despite some injuries, their depth and defensive prowess can make the difference in this game.

The Lean

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored by 6.5 points against the New York Jets. The Buccaneers have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, going 9-0 in their last nine games. Given their offensive strength, ranking 4th in scoring, and the Jets’ defensive struggles, the model projects a Buccaneers win by a score of 28-17. The recommendation is to pick the Buccaneers to cover the spread of -6.5.

The total for the game is set at 43.5 points. The Jets have shown a trend toward hitting the over, especially in away games, going 3-0 in their last three. The Buccaneers also have a tendency to go over, with a 10-5 record in their last 15 games. The model projects a total score of 45 points, suggesting a pick on the over of 43.5.

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Buccaneers Seeking Rare 3-0 Start

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are off to another 2-0 start, but they have not opened a season 3-0 since 2005. After rallying for back-to-back late-game victories, Tampa Bay will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts the struggling New York Jets in Week 3.

The Buccaneers staged another comeback in Week 2, pulling out a 20-19 win over the Houston Texans on the road. Running back Rachaad White capped an 11-play, 80-yard drive with a 2-yard touchdown run with just six seconds left. In Week 1, Tampa Bay rallied to beat the Atlanta Falcons 23-20 in the final minute.

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Baker Mayfield’s Impact

Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been the steadying force for Tampa Bay. He completed 25 of 38 passes for 215 yards and two touchdowns against Houston while also rushing for 33 yards. Despite dealing with minor foot and toe issues, Mayfield has thrown five touchdowns without an interception through his first 70 attempts this season.

Mayfield emphasized the team’s resilient approach, saying, “We’re always in the fight. Anytime we step on the field, we expect to win.”

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Jets Turn to Tyrod Taylor

The Jets (0-2) will try to avoid their first 0-3 start since 2021, but they face challenges under center. Starter Justin Fields is sidelined with a concussion, leaving veteran Tyrod Taylor to make his 59th career regular-season start.

Taylor is known for his poise and experience, bringing a career record of 28-28-1. He replaced Fields last week against Buffalo, completing 7 of 11 passes for 56 yards and a touchdown. Rookie Brady Cook will serve as the backup.

Head coach Aaron Glenn praised Taylor’s preparation and leadership, but New York’s offense has been inconsistent, ranking 26th in the NFL in total yards per game.

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Injury Updates

The Buccaneers will be without standout defensive tackle Calijah Kancey, who was placed on injured reserve with a pectoral injury. Wideout Emeka Egbuka missed practice, but Chris Godwin Jr. and left tackle Tristan Wirfs could potentially make their season debuts. Tampa Bay’s offensive line remains banged up, with Luke Goedeke and Cody Mauch both sidelined.

The Jets are also hit hard by injuries. Fields is one of seven players sidelined, including safety Tony Adams, cornerback Michael Carter II, and pass rusher Jermaine Johnson II.

Get more details on NFL game results and team updates as the season progresses.

Series History

The Jets lead the all-time series 10-3, but the Buccaneers have taken the last two meetings. With Tampa Bay looking sharp in late-game situations, this matchup presents a strong opportunity to break their four-game Week 3 losing streak.

Where to Bet and Find Handicappers

Looking to wager on this matchup? Explore the NFL buy picks page for premium selections and check the best handicappers leaderboard to follow the top experts throughout the season.