Soldier Field Chicago

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Pick & Prediction SEPTEMBER 25th 2022

NFL | FOOTBALL
TV:
Logo Houston Texans
VS
Logo Chicago Bears
39
OPENNER
-2.5

39.5o -110
CURRENT
-3 +100

+123
MONEYLINE
-149

0
SCORE
0

With an 0-1-1 record, it’s no shock that the Houston Texans come into this game as underdogs. This season hasn’t begun well for the Texans and it’s likely to not get much better. After a 16-9 loss to the Denver Broncos, the Texans are out on the road again in week 3. This is their second straight road game and they head into hostile territory to face the Chicago Bears.

The Bears have a 1-1 record to start the season after last week’s 27-10 loss. They faced the Green Bay Packers in Wisconsin, a terribly tough team to beat. This week they’ll host the Houston Texans, a much more favorable match-up. Quarterback Justin Fields is hoping to have a similar outing to week 1. The question is, can they rally back from their week 2 loss?

Texans vs. Bears Betting Odds

TV: CBS

MONEY LINE: Texans (+122) vs. Bears (-142)

SPREAD: Texans +2.5 (+100) vs. Bears -2.5 (-120)

GAME TOTAL: Over 40.5 (-105) vs. Under 40.5 (-115)

Texans vs. Bears Preview (NFL Week 3)

This season, the Houston Texans already rank among the worst offenses in the NFL. Averaging only 78.5 rushing yards per game, they rank 27th overall in the category. If they want any chance at winning this week, they’ll need to establish the running game early.

Establishing the running game will also help them control the clock. By keeping the Bears offense off of the field, they’ll increase their chances of winning. In terms of passing, the Texans rank 24th in the league with 188.0 yards per game. They might as well focus on running the ball.

Davis Mills has thrown for 417 yards and two touchdowns over the course of two games. Since they aren’t a passing or high-scoring team, they’ll need to focus on defense. They’ve allowed only 18 points per game, which is great, but they haven’t faced strong offenses.

The Chicago Bears might not be the Buffalo Bills, but they aren’t an awful team. They started the season with a 19-10 win over the San Francisco 49ers, a pretty strong team. Justin Fields has thrown for only 191 yards through two games; this is what concerns us the most.

The Bears passing game is essentially non-existent, averaging only 76.5 yards per game. They rank last in this category but rank eighth overall in running yards per game (139.5). Although they’re definitely a stronger rushing team, they need to quickly establish a passing game.

They’ve done pretty well on defense over the first two games of the year. Allowing an average of 18.5 points per game, they’re nearly identical to the Texans. The only difference is they’ve faced much tougher offenses. Perhaps the best news is that they only need to cover 2.5 points.

Texans vs. Bears Picks

We haven’t seen anything from the Texans that would convince us to take them here. Averaging 14.5 points per game has them ranked as one of the worst scoring teams in the league. They’re not favored by a lot of points either; a field goal from the Bears could cover. Perhaps if the spread was larger, we’d think about it, but it’s only 2.5 points.

Chicago had a great game against the 49ers in week 1. Although they lost the following week, it’s important to remember they played Green Bay in Wisconsin. Because of this, we’re going to take the Bears at home over the Texans.

Final Score: 20-10 (Bears)

EXTRA POINTS

1. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games against Houston.

2. Chicago has gone 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite.

3. These two last played in December of 2020 and the Bears won 36-7.

Best Bet: Chicago Bears -2.5 (-120) and Under 40.5 (-115)

PREDICTION
Houston Texans
18
21
Chicago Bears
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