Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars April 26th 2025
Betting on today’s Stars and Avalanche game? Catch the action at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, as the Avalanche hosts this showdown at 9:30 ET on TBS. The over/under for this Central division contest is set at 6 goals, with the Avalanche being favored by -1.5 at home against the Stars.
Dallas vs. Colorado Key Information
- Teams: Stars at Avalanche
- Where: Ball Arena Denver
- Date: Saturday, April 26th
- Betting Odds COL -186 | DAL +156 O/U 6
The Stars Can Win If…
Dallas fell to 50-26-6 with a 4-2 road loss to the Panthers. The Stars, as underdogs on the puck line, failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score reached only 6.
After trailing 2-0, the Stars tied it up with two goals in the second period. However, the Panthers pulled ahead with a goal at 2:32 in the third and sealed it with an empty-netter at 19:00.
Dallas took 25 shots on goal but only found the net twice in their 4-2 loss to the Panthers. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second goal of the season on a power play, while Matt Duchene added his seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist of the year.
The Stars were held scoreless in the first period before scoring twice in the second. They recorded 32 giveaways in the game.
Dallas’ defense gave up the first two goals of the game, then two more in the 3rd period, including an empty-netter with 1:00 remaining. Casey DeSmith had 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%. Defensively, the Stars finished with 5 takeaways and 26 hits.
- Dallas will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. In addition, their puck line record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
- Across Dallas’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 2-8. Their record vs the puck line sits at 2-8 in these matchups, while posting a 5-5 over-under mark.
The Avalanche Can Win If…
Following a 5-2 loss to the Predators, the Avalanche’s record dropped to 49-29-4. Colorado was the underdog on the puck line, and the total of 6.5 goals was surpassed, as the teams combined for 7 goals.
The Avalanche took the lead with a goal at 17:06 in the second period, but the Predators responded with five unanswered goals, including two empty-netters. Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar each scored for Colorado.
In their 5-2 loss to Nashville, the Avalanche took 30 shots on goal but only found the net twice. Cale Makar opened the scoring with his 5th goal of the season on a power play, while Nathan MacKinnon added his 6th goal late in the third period.
Makar also picked up his 16th assist on MacKinnon’s goal. Earlier in the game, MacKinnon earned his 14th assist on Makar’s power-play goal. The Avalanche had 23 giveaways in the game.
After taking a 1-0 lead in the second period, the Avalanche’s defense struggled, allowing five goals, including two late empty-netters. Justus Annunen made 21 saves with an 87.5% save percentage. Colorado also recorded 11 takeaways and 26 hits.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Colorado has a record of 1-2. Across these games, their puck line record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 1-2.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Colorado has a record of 5-5. Across these games, their puck line record was just 4-6, while posting an over-under record of 4-5-1.
The Lean
When thinking about a moneyline wager in this game, our evaluation indicates that the Avalanche will take down the Stars. Nonetheless, given the current odds of -186, I’d recommend getting bet down on the puck line instead, as our predictions point to the Avalanche winning by more than one goal.
For a puck line prediction, our preference is the Avalanche to secure a win and cover. Anticipate the Avalanche to win this one by multiple goals over the Stars.
With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over, make sure to take advantage of our first month special!.
Stars’ Back-to-Back OT Wins Put Avalanche on the Brink
The Colorado Avalanche overhauled their roster this season with hopes of a deep playoff run. Now, those ambitions hang by a thread after two consecutive overtime losses to the Dallas Stars, putting Colorado in a near must-win situation ahead of Game 4 in Denver.
After stealing Game 1 on the road, Colorado has stumbled twice in heartbreaking fashion, and the Stars now lead the series 2-1. With momentum on Dallas’ side, Avalanche coach Jared Bednar acknowledged the steep challenge ahead.
“We knew it wasn’t going to be easy,” Bednar said. “We’re playing one of the top teams in the league… It’s a slugfest. It’s a seven-game series for a reason.”
Dallas Shines Despite Key Injuries
The Stars’ resilience has been remarkable. They’ve seized control of the series even without top scorer Jason Robertson (knee injury) and star defenseman Miro Heiskanen (out since January).
Young defenseman Thomas Harley has emerged as a difference-maker. Partnered with Heiskanen last postseason, Harley has stepped up impressively, leading Dallas with three points (two goals, one assist) through three games. In just one more game, he could eclipse his entire point total from last year’s playoff run.
“I am aware of my role on this team and what I need to do to be successful,” Harley said. “There’s pressure on myself to perform.”
Colorado’s Offensive Struggles Mount
While Dallas finds heroes, Colorado’s stars are under pressure to deliver more.
- Nathan MacKinnon has been solid, with three goals and an assist.
- Cale Makar, however, has only two assists and is struggling to influence the series offensively.
Coach Bednar was candid about Makar’s play:
“I think he’s probably struggled a little bit in the series on the offensive side of it,” he said.
The Avalanche’s power play, once a lethal weapon, has been largely ineffective. Colorado has converted just two of 13 opportunities, including a crucial four-minute power play that carried over into overtime during Game 3 — and came up empty.
To spark change, Bednar is considering new personnel on the special teams. Notably, team captain Gabriel Landeskog, who made a triumphant return after nearly three years sidelined by a knee injury, practiced with the top power-play unit on Friday.
Landeskog’s Inspirational Return Could Provide a Spark
Landeskog’s comeback was a major bright spot in Game 3. Initially slotted on the third line, his impressive performance might earn him more minutes in Game 4.
“Can he play three more minutes next game? Yeah, I think he can,” Bednar said.
However, the Avalanche will need more than emotional boosts. Secondary scorers like Valeri Nichushkin and Artturi Lehkonen have chipped in, but midseason acquisitions Martin Necas (one assist) and Brock Nelson (zero points) have failed to meet expectations.
What’s Next?
Heading into a pivotal Game 4, Colorado must:
- Find consistency and creativity on the power play
- Get stronger performances from key stars and depth players
- Tighten their defensive play against Dallas’ opportunistic offense
The Avalanche are no strangers to adversity, but unless they can capitalize on home-ice advantage Saturday night, their season could be slipping away — much faster than anyone expected.