Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions May 1st 2025

Last Updated on

Stars vs Avalanche Game Preview: Dallas Closing In on Familiar Finish

The Dallas Stars are heading into Thursday night’s Game 6 in Denver with a golden opportunity—one they know all too well.

Just one year ago, they ended the Colorado Avalanche’s season. Now, they’re on the brink of doing it again, this time in the first round. Following a commanding 6-2 victory in Game 5, the Stars hold a 3-2 series lead and have momentum on their side.

Colorado, meanwhile, is searching for answers—on both ends of the ice.

Monitor game-day odds and prop bets with the NHL odds tracker.

Rantanen Scores, Stars Rally Around Their New Addition

The scene was strange, but impactful. Former Avalanche star Mikko Rantanen, now in Dallas green, finally broke through with his first goal of the postseason in Game 5—and the bench went wild.

“You could tell by our group’s reaction how happy they were for him,” said Stars coach Peter DeBoer. “They see him carrying that pressure. He’s been all team-first.”

Rantanen’s goal was symbolic. It marked a turning point—not just in Game 5, but potentially the series. Dallas took control early, scoring nine seconds into the game, and never let up. The win put them one game away from advancing—and eliminating Colorado for the third time in six seasons.

Power Plays, Goaltending Telling the Story

Despite being down 3-2, Colorado has outscored Dallas 15-13 in the series and averages 33.2 shots per game, the third-most in the playoffs. But the scoring hasn’t always come when needed.

“You can look at all the numbers you want,” said Avalanche forward Jonathan Drouin, “but if you’re not putting those in the net, you’re not going to win.”

Dallas, on the other hand, has been opportunistic. They’ve scored timely goals, including two in overtime, and have controlled the pace even without dominating puck possession.

Power play efficiency has also been a swing factor:

  • Stars: 22.2%
  • Avalanche: 17.7%

Dallas has also gotten depth scoring—four players have two goals in the series, and 16 different skaters have notched at least one point.

For detailed playoff stats and player matchups, visit the NHL team pages.

sas logo

Follow the Game Like a Pro

Register Here!

Oettinger Rebounds, Blackwood Falters

Jake Oettinger, Dallas’ netminder, has had an up-and-down series but stepped up when it mattered most. After rough outings in Games 1 and 4, he delivered strong performances in the Stars’ two overtime wins—and stood tall in Game 5, stopping 27 shots.

Meanwhile, Colorado’s goaltending has taken a sharp turn.

Mackenzie Blackwood, who led the postseason in save percentage (.939) heading into Game 5, surrendered five goals on 13 shots, including a fluky deflection and the game-opener just seconds in.

His save percentage has now dipped to ninth among playoff goalies. Despite the setback, Blackwood is determined to reset.

“I’ve had bad goals go in before,” Blackwood said. “But it sucks when there’s two in the first period of a playoff game. Just got to move on.”

Find goaltender comparisons and prop betting trends on the NHL expert guide.

A hockey goalie in a green jersey with number 29 prepares to block a shot, poised in front of the net on the ice rink.

Colorado’s Offense Must Deliver—Now

If the Avalanche want to force a Game 7, they’ll need their big guns to show up. Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, and Artturi Lehkonen have had moments, but not consistently. Rantanen’s absence on their roster has been visible—until Game 5, when he scored for Dallas instead.

Coach Jared Bednar knows it’s all or nothing now.

“We’ve got to stay disciplined and capitalize on our chances. Our season depends on it.”

What’s at Stake?

The Stars are aiming to eliminate Colorado for the second straight postseason, and if they succeed, it’ll mark their fifth playoff series win over the Avs since 1999.

For Colorado, this series was a chance to prove the roster tweaks and trade deadline moves paid off. If they go down Thursday, those efforts will yield just two playoff wins—and a long summer of questions.

Check upcoming brackets and playoff futures odds via the Stanley Cup predictions page.

Series Snapshot: Stars vs Avalanche

Stat CategoryDallas StarsColorado Avalanche
Series ScoreLeads 3-2Trails 2-3
Top ScorerWyatt Johnston (6 pts)Drouin, Makar (5 pts)
Goalie (Last Game)Oettinger: .931 SV%Blackwood: .615 SV%
Power Play %22.2%17.7%
Shots/Game27.433.2

Key Players to Watch

Mikko Rantanen (DAL) – Facing his former team, Rantanen finally broke through. If he gets rolling, it’s lights out for the Avalanche.

Jake Oettinger (DAL) – Can he keep the momentum going after a solid Game 5 showing?

Nathan MacKinnon (COL) – The heart and soul of the Avs, MacKinnon must find another level in Game 6.

Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) – After his worst start of the postseason, how he responds will dictate Colorado’s fate.

FAQs

When is Stars vs Avalanche Game 6?
Thursday night in Denver at Ball Arena.

What’s the series score?
Dallas leads 3-2 in the best-of-seven series.

Who won Game 5?
Dallas dominated with a 6-2 win, scoring just 9 seconds into the game.

Who’s the top performer for Dallas?
Mikko Rantanen scored his first playoff goal for Dallas in Game 5. Wyatt Johnston leads in points.

What’s at stake for Colorado?
A loss ends their season and raises questions about offseason moves that haven’t translated into playoff success.

Where can I find daily NHL betting picks?
Check out the NHL Picks Page for expert predictions and props.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Colorado Avalanche
-
-
-
-
-
Dallas Stars
-
-
-
-
-
S Central Logo
Sports Central
Premium Package
0W / 3L on Hockey
NHL
Totals
Sas Logo Logo
Sas Insider
Premium Package
0W / 1L on Hockey
NHL
Money Line
14775 Service Photo T1665757636 Logo
Scott Rickenbach
Starter Package
0W / 1L on Hockey
NHL
Money Line
William Taylor Logo
William Taylor
Premium Package
1W / 0L on Hockey
NHL
Money Line
Sas Insider
Sas Insider | Handicapper

Unlocking the secrets of sports betting with insider knowledge. 

Dive into sports betting with Sas Insider, your gateway to exclusive sports picks backed by a vast network of knowledgeable contacts. Enhance your betting strategy with insights from industry insiders and make every wager with confidence. 

#1 Hockey
Yesterday
35
Last 7 days
-219
Last 3 days
-395
Last 30 days
-188