Detroit Red Wings vs New York Islanders Picks and Predictions December 16th 2025

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Match Facts

ItemDetail
MatchupNew York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings
DateTuesday night
VenueLittle Caesars Arena (Detroit)
Detroit trendComing off a 4-1-1 road trip and returning home with confidence
Islanders trendWon six of the last seven and playing with strong defensive buy-in
Season seriesIslanders took the first two meetings decisively (7-2 and 5-0)
Key angleDetroit is hotter now, but New York has controlled this matchup so far

For the full board and live matchup hub, use NHL scores and odds.

Line and Odds

  • Moneyline: Detroit typically lands as a home favorite, but New York’s recent run can keep the price honest
  • Puck line: Red Wings -1.5 is the plus-money route; Islanders +1.5 is the “tight game” cushion
  • Total: commonly 5.5 to 6.5 depending on goaltenders and recent scoring environment

This is a matchup where the “who’s in net” question can swing both the total and the puck-line logic. Detroit’s recent surge is supported by strong goaltending and top-line finishing, but Patrick Kane’s absence lowers their margin for error in trading chances. For New York, if they get another high-end Sorokin performance, they can win even when they don’t control long stretches of play. For price shopping and alternate markets, check NHL picks.

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Movement Matchup

Detroit’s road trip worked because they were getting offense from the same places consistently, and they were protecting the middle of the ice better than earlier in the season. The DeBrincat-driven line has been creating high-danger looks, and Detroit’s confidence is obvious when they’re playing with pace through the neutral zone and getting pucks to the interior.

New York’s counter is a road-style approach that travels: simplify exits, win the wall battles, and trust Sorokin to erase the occasional breakdown. The Islanders don’t need to win the “shots” battle to win the game, but they do need to stay disciplined and keep Detroit from getting repeated power-play looks that build momentum in the building.

The game likely hinges on who wins the first 10 minutes. Detroit will try to feed off home energy after the trip, while New York will try to quiet the building early and turn this into a structured, one-goal type of matchup.

Breakdown Injury Reports

Detroit Red Wings

PlayerStatusNotes
Patrick KaneOutUpper-body injury; expected to miss at least the next two games
Mason AppletonOutLower-body injury (IR)
Shai BuiumOutUndisclosed (IR)

New York Islanders

PlayerStatusNotes
Bo HorvatQuestionableLower-body injury
Kyle PalmieriOutKnee injury (IR)
Alexander RomanovOutShoulder surgery (season-ending)

Kane’s absence is the most direct lineup swing in this matchup because it impacts Detroit’s finishing and power-play creativity. For the Islanders, Horvat’s availability matters because it changes their center depth and their ability to sustain offensive-zone shifts against Detroit’s top matchups.

Detroit Red Wings Recent performance

Detroit’s 4-1-1 trip was the kind of run that can stabilize a team’s identity. DeBrincat and Kane were driving production, and Detroit looked more comfortable winning games in different ways: scoring when chances were there, but also leaning on structure when the game tightened. Now the challenge is replicating that without Kane, which likely means more responsibility on DeBrincat and more “committee offense” from the rest of the top nine.

The other major trend is the goaltending. When Detroit gets steady saves, their confidence with puck play rises, and they’re far more willing to pressure the offensive zone because they aren’t afraid of one mistake turning into a backbreaker.

New York Islanders Recent performance

The Islanders are winning because they’re hard to play against. Even when they get pinned for stretches, they can survive with goaltending, block-and-clear habits, and opportunistic finishing. Sorokin has been a major reason they’ve stayed on an upward trajectory, and the team has shown it can close games even when the second period isn’t perfect.

The Islanders also enter with matchup confidence because they’ve already beaten Detroit twice this season by wide margins. That doesn’t guarantee anything on Tuesday, but it does signal that New York’s style has given Detroit problems, especially when the Islanders can clog the middle and force Detroit into perimeter hockey.

Detroit’s angle is momentum plus home ice, but the handicap isn’t as simple as “better team at home.” With Kane out, Detroit’s scoring distribution tightens, which can reduce their ability to separate on the scoreboard if this stays close. That matters for puck-line bettors, because Detroit can control the game and still land in a 3-2 type of finish.

New York’s angle is repeatability. Their path to winning is stable: keep it structured, lean on Sorokin, and capitalize when Detroit overextends. If Horvat plays, New York’s ability to control matchups improves. If he doesn’t, the Islanders may lean even more heavily into low-event hockey and hope to win it late.

If you want general market guidance on choosing moneyline vs puck line vs totals and keeping bets aligned with game script, use the NHL betting guide.

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Best bet and Prediction

Best bet: Islanders +1.5.

This is the best bet because it matches the most likely game shape. New York has been winning with structure and goaltending, and Detroit is adjusting without Kane, which increases the probability of a tight scoreline even if the Red Wings play well. The Islanders have also already shown they can play Detroit’s style into uncomfortable territory, and +1.5 protects you against a one-goal Detroit home win.

Prediction: Red Wings 3, Islanders 2.

Handicapper section

Keep your card consistent with your script. If you expect Detroit to control play at home, the safer approach is to avoid overexposure to margin-based markets and focus on angles that still cash in a one-goal game. If you expect New York to turn this into a grind, build around close-game outcomes and let the goaltending edge work for you.

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