Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Predictions May 12th 2025

Betting on today’s Golden Knights and Oilers game? Catch the action at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB, as the Oilers hosts this showdown at 9:30 ET on TNT. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Oilers are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Golden Knights.

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Vegas vs. Edmonton Key Information

• Teams: Golden Knights at Oilers
• Where: Rogers Place Edmonton
• Date: Monday, May 12th
• Betting Odds EDM -131 | VEG +110 O/U 6.5

The Golden Knights Can Win If…

With a 4-3 overtime win against the Mammoth, the Golden Knights improved to 50-22-10. Vegas, favored by -1.5 goals, didn’t cover the puck line. The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined 7 goals surpassed that line.

Vegas trailed 2-0 before Pavel Dorofeyev scored at 15:06 in the second period. They tied it up with just one second left in the second, and Brett Howden’s goal at 2:15 in overtime secured the win. Four different players scored for the Golden Knights in the game.

In their last game, the Golden Knights fired 35 shots on goal and scored four times, including Brett Howden’s 6th goal of the season, which came 2:15 into overtime. William Karlsson added his 2nd goal of the year, while Noah Hanifin found the net for the 2nd time this season. Pavel Dorofeyev opened the scoring for Vegas with his 7th goal.

Hanifin also picked up two assists, bringing his total to 5 this season. Mark Stone added his 15th assist on Howden’s overtime winner. The Golden Knights were held scoreless in the first period before netting two goals in the second, one in the third, and the game-winner in overtime.

Defensively, the Golden Knights will aim to improve after allowing the first two goals in their previous game. They also gave up a late 3rd-period goal, which tied the game at 3-3. Adin Hill finished with 16 saves and a save percentage of 84.2%.

• Vegas has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Across these games, their puck line record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Golden Knights have gone 6-4 straight up. This includes going 3-7 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

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The Oilers Can Win If…

Edmonton improved to 48-29-5 with a 4-2 win over Calgary. The Oilers covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6.5 goals was not reached, as the teams combined for 6 goals.

All four of Edmonton’s goals came from different players, and they took a 2-0 lead before the Flames tied it up. Zach Hyman broke the tie with a goal at 9:50 in the third period, and Mattias Janmark added an empty-netter with just 3 seconds left.

Edmonton’s offense found the net four times in their 4-2 win over Calgary, including an empty-netter by Mattias Janmark, his second goal of the season. Leon Draisaitl opened the scoring for the Oilers, marking his ninth goal of the year, and later added two assists, bringing his total to eight assists this season. Zach Hyman, with his third goal of the season, tied the game 2-2 on a power play in the third period.

The Oilers took 31 shots on goal and had 10 giveaways. They scored twice in the first period before being held scoreless in the second. Edmonton’s third-period goals included Hyman’s power-play goal and Janmark’s empty-netter with just three seconds left in the game.

Defensively, the Oilers will look to carry over the momentum from their previous game, where they allowed just two goals to the Flames. Stuart Skinner made 29 saves, posting a 93.5% save percentage. The Oilers’ defense also contributed 2 takeaways, 19 hits, and 25 blocks.

• The Oilers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. In addition, their puck line record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Oilers have gone 7-3 straight up. This includes going 7-3 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Lean

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Oilers to take down the Golden Knights at home. With the moneyline currently at -131, I’m placing my bet on the Oilers straight-up.

For a puck line prediction, our preference is the Oilers to secure a win and cover. Anticipate the Oilers to win this one by multiple goals over the Golden Knights.

If you’re looking at the the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will stay below that threshold, and we strongly suggest placing a bet on the under.

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Golden Knights Aim to Even Series After Stunning Game 3 Win Over Oilers

The Vegas Golden Knights breathed new life into their Stanley Cup playoff run with a dramatic Game 3 victory over the Edmonton Oilers. Now, with momentum on their side and a shot to reclaim home-ice advantage, Vegas looks to level the Western Conference semifinal series in Monday night’s Game 4 in Edmonton.

Vegas Rides Last-Second Heroics Into Game 4

Reilly Smith’s game-winning goal with just 0.4 seconds remaining in regulation capped a wild 4-3 win for the Golden Knights in Game 3. The goal, which was inadvertently redirected by Edmonton’s Leon Draisaitl, gave Vegas its first win of the series and snapped Edmonton’s six-game winning streak.

“We’re doing things better than we did in Game 1, so that’s where we can build our momentum.”
— Bruce Cassidy, Golden Knights Head Coach

Vegas head coach Bruce Cassidy believes his team played well enough to win not just Game 3, but Game 2 as well. The Golden Knights have improved their structure and pace, and now see a path to swinging the series back in their favor.

Injury Watch: Stone, Saad Both Day-to-Day

Captain Mark Stone is officially day-to-day after sustaining an upper-body injury in the first period of Game 3. While his status remains uncertain, Cassidy said Stone is “doing all right” and hopes to have him available Monday.

Winger Brandon Saad also remains day-to-day with a lower-body injury after missing Game 3.

Despite the uncertainty, Vegas remains focused on leveling the series.

“We snuck out a win and now we need to try and get one more to even things up.”
— Brayden McNabb, Golden Knights Defenseman

Oilers Know They Must Respond

The Oilers still lead the series 2-1 and have a chance to take a commanding lead with a Game 4 win. But even they acknowledge their recent performances haven’t been their best.

“We’re up 2-1 and probably shouldn’t be up 2-1.”
— Zach Hyman, Oilers Forward

Edmonton was outplayed for stretches in both Games 2 and 3, but still managed to hold the series lead. Saturday’s heartbreaking finish, however, was a wake-up call for a team that had been cruising through the postseason.

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“That’s the playoffs… We know we’ve got to be better in certain situations.”
— Darnell Nurse, Oilers Defenseman

Goaltender Stuart Skinner is set to start again in Game 4, with Calvin Pickard still sidelined due to a lower-body injury.

“You just have to have a short-term memory.”
— Kris Knoblauch, Oilers Head Coach

Road Ice Advantage?

Interestingly, the road team has won every game in the series so far, adding another layer of unpredictability to what has been a back-and-forth battle. If the Golden Knights can steal another win in Edmonton, they’ll head home with the series even and the upper hand.