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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs return home Monday night to face the Pittsburgh Penguins at Scotiabank Arena. Toronto ended its short road trip with a 5-2 win over Philadelphia, powered by rookie Easton Cowan’s first NHL goal. That victory set up a four-game homestand where the Leafs aim to build momentum early in the season.
Nicholas Robertson has stepped up in William Nylander’s absence, recording five points in his last four games. Coach Craig Berube praised his effort and defensive commitment, calling his work ethic the spark behind the offense. Toronto will lean on Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies, and Robertson to carry the attack.
Pittsburgh enters with an 8-3-2 record after its eight-game point streak ended in a 5-2 loss to Winnipeg. Sidney Crosby scored once in that defeat, but the Penguins were undone by turnovers and odd-man rushes. Coach Dan Muse emphasized the need for tighter gaps and cleaner exits as his team closes a four-game road trip.
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Line Movement and Odds
Toronto opened around -180 on the moneyline, now sitting closer to -170, with Pittsburgh around +145. The total is 6.5 goals, and most shops are showing balanced two-way action. Sharp bettors hit the Over early, while public money continues to favor the Maple Leafs to rebound at home.
For live updates on spreads, totals, and moneylines, visit the NHL odds page
Matchup Breakdown
The Maple Leafs have regained offensive rhythm, ranking among the top five in goals scored and assists. Matthews continues to drive the pace, while John Tavares and Knies add scoring depth. Toronto’s defensive zone coverage remains a concern, but goaltending has stabilized since Ilya Samsonov’s return.
The Penguins boast one of the league’s most efficient attacks, averaging nearly 3.5 goals per game. Crosby and Evgeni Malkin continue to lead a veteran lineup that thrives off puck possession and forechecking pressure. The challenge lies in limiting Toronto’s transition speed, which burned Philadelphia repeatedly last week.
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Injuries and Conditions
Toronto Maple Leafs
- William Nylander (lower body) questionable
- Christopher Tanev (upper body) out
- Joseph Woll (personal) out
- Scott Laughton (foot) expected to return Monday
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Joel Blomqvist (lower body) out
- Kevin Hayes (upper body) out
- Justin Brazeau (upper body) questionable
- Rickard Rakell (hand) out
See the Toronto Maple Leafs team page and Pittsburgh Penguins team page for complete injury updates and stats.
Indoor game at Scotiabank Arena — no weather concerns.
Best Bets and Prediction
Toronto has hit the Over in eight of nine games. Pittsburgh is 9-2 against the puckline overall and 8-2 as an underdog. Both teams are scoring above 3.3 goals per game, setting up a potential shootout.
Projected score: Maple Leafs 4, Penguins 3
Best bet: Over 6.5 goals
Lean: Maple Leafs moneyline (-170)
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