Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions May 15th 2025

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars May 15th 2025

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Stars and Jets. The game is starting at 9:30 ET on TNT, and it’s hosted by the Jets at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB. Get ready to place your bets! This Central division matchup has an over/under of 5.5 goals, and the Jets are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Stars.

Dallas vs. Winnipeg Key Information

• Teams: Stars at Jets
• Where: Canada Life Centre Winnipeg
• Date: Thursday, May 15th
• Betting Odds WPG -122 | DAL +103 O/U 5.5

The Stars Can Win If…

Dallas fell to the Panthers 4-2, bringing their record to 50-26-6. The Stars were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 6 fell short of that mark.

After trailing 2-0, Dallas tied it up in the second period, but the Panthers pulled ahead with two more goals. Evgenii Dadonov and Matt Duchene each scored for the Stars.

Dallas managed 25 shots on goal but only found the net twice in their 4-2 loss to Florida. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second goal of the season on a power play, while Matt Duchene added his seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist of the season.

Wyatt Johnston earned his fifth assist on Dadonov’s power-play goal, and Miro Heiskanen added his fourth assist on Duchene’s goal. Thomas Harley contributed with his fifth assist of the season.

Defensively, the Stars will look to improve after giving up two late goals in their last game. They tied the game at 2-2 in the second period, but allowed a goal 2:32 into the third and an empty netter with one minute left. Goalie Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%.

• Over their last three games, the Stars have gone 2-1 straight up. This also includes going 2-1 puck line and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Across Dallas’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 7-3. Their record vs the puck line sits at 7-3 in these matchups, while posting a 5-5 over-under mark.

The Jets Can Win If…

With a 7-4 win over the Lightning, the Jets improved to 56-22-4. Winnipeg covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 11 goals surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.

Trailing 2-0 in the first period, the Jets rallied with seven different players scoring. They took the lead for good with a goal at 12:22 in the third period, and added two empty-netters to seal the win.

Winnipeg’s offense fired 34 shots on goal and found the net seven times in their latest game. They wrapped up the scoring with two empty-net goals, the first by Nikolaj Ehlers, who now has nine goals this season, and the second by Cole Perfetti, his fourth. The Jets had seven different players score, including Alex Iafallo, who netted his first goal of the year on a power play.

Vladislav Namestnikov opened the scoring for the Jets, marking his third goal of the season. Dylan Samberg added his third goal, while Mark Scheifele picked up his eighth. Winnipeg recorded 10 assists, with Josh Morrissey earning his 13th assist on Perfetti’s empty-netter.

Winnipeg’s defense got off to a rough start, allowing the first two goals of the game and another tying goal in the 3rd period, but they held strong after that, leading to a 7-4 victory. Connor Hellebuyck made 26 saves with an 86.7% save percentage, and the Jets’ defense added 5 takeaways and 31 hits.

• Over their last three regular season games, the Jets have gone 1-2 straight up. Across these games, their puck line record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 1-2.
• The Jets have gone 4-6 over their last ten regular season games. Their record vs the puck line sits at 2-8 in these matchups, while posting a 6-4 over-under mark.

The Lean

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Jets to pick up on a win over the Stars at home. With the moneyline sitting at -122, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Jets straight-up.

For a puck line pick, we are going with the Jets to win and cover. Look for the Jets to win this one by multiple goals over the Stars.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

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Jets Must Step Up or Step Out Against Full-Powered Stars

Facing elimination at home, the Winnipeg Jets need more than just heart—they need goals. Trailing 3-1 in their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Dallas Stars, the Jets are on the ropes heading into Thursday’s must-win Game 5.

After splitting the opening two games, Winnipeg dropped both matchups in Dallas, mustering just three goals combined in Games 3 and 4. That simply won’t cut it against a fully healthy Stars lineup.

“We’re not scoring enough. That’s the bottom line,” said head coach Scott Arniel. “We’re getting shots, sure—but effort alone won’t win. You’ve got to earn those rebounds and screen Oettinger more aggressively.”

Offensive Struggles Hampering Winnipeg’s Game

Let’s talk numbers. In Game 4, the Jets fired 32 shots on goal, missed with 20 others, and had 18 more blocked. That’s 70 total attempts—and just one goal to show for it.

While their effort isn’t lacking, their efficiency is. Even worse, Winnipeg is 1-for-16 on the power play in the series after leading the NHL in power play percentage during the regular season.

That one goal? It came from Nikolaj Ehlers, who emphasized the need for grit. “Dallas plays hard on the puck,” he said. “We’ve got to match that, win those battles, and get back to our regular-season identity.”

Keep up with team stats, playoff performances, and advanced metrics on the NHL Team Page.

Stars Reaching Full Power at Just the Right Time

Meanwhile, Dallas looks every bit the contender they were expected to be—especially now that Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson are back.

The Stars hit their stride with a 3-1 win in Game 4, fueled by Mikael Granlund’s hat trick—his second of the postseason after arriving via trade. Fellow midseason pickup Mikko Rantanen also had a Game 1 hat trick.

“We finally had our full lineup last game,” said head coach Pete DeBoer. “And though not everyone’s at 100 percent, just being able to write that lineup on the board is a huge boost.”

Goaltender Jake Oettinger has also been lights out. He stopped 31 of 32 shots in Game 4 and now owns a .933 save percentage this postseason.

Looking to ride the wave with Dallas or bet on a Jets bounce back? Check the updated NHL Odds for moneylines and totals.

Can Winnipeg Force a Game 6?

The odds are stacked against them, but the Jets aren’t folding yet. They’ve proven all season they can score with the best in the league—matching Dallas with 3.35 goals per game in the regular season.

But now, it’s all about urgency, execution, and belief.

“We’ve done this before. We know how to come back,” Arniel said. “We just need one to flip the momentum.”

Explore detailed playoff scenarios and daily picks on the NHL Picks Page.

FAQs

What is the series score between the Jets and Stars?
Dallas leads the best-of-seven series 3-1.

When is Game 5 being played?
Thursday night in Winnipeg.

How many goals have the Jets scored in the past two games?
Just three total goals in Games 3 and 4 combined.

Who returned to the lineup for Dallas in Game 4?
Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson both returned, giving Dallas a full-strength roster.

How has Winnipeg’s power play performed in the series?
They’re 1-for-16 (6.25%), a steep drop from their league-best 28.9% in the regular season.

Which Stars players have scored hat tricks in this series?
Mikko Rantanen (Game 1) and Mikael Granlund (Game 4) each recorded a hat trick.