New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners August 16th 2025
The Seattle Mariners will travel to Citi Field to play against the New York Mets on Saturday, August 16, 2025. The Mariners have a record of 68-55 and are second in the AL West. They are on a winning streak of one game and have won eight of their last ten games.
The New York Mets have a record of 64-58 and are also ranked second, but in the NL East. The Mets are looking to break a three-game losing streak and have only won one of their last ten games. The game will be broadcast on WPIX, and the weather is expected to be warm with overcast clouds and a light breeze.
Mariners vs Mets Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mariners Moneyline -128, Mets Moneyline +109
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners recently won against the New York Mets with a score of 11-9. They had a strong offensive showing with 16 hits, including 11 extra-base hits and 2 home runs. Cal Raleigh led the charge, going 3 for 5 with 3 runs and 2 RBIs, while Cole Young added 3 RBIs with his 3 hits.
The Mariners’ ability to hit home runs is a key factor for their success. They rank 3rd in the league with 174 home runs this season. Their on-base percentage is also impressive, ranking 8th at .319, which shows they can get runners on base consistently.
Bryan Woo will be starting for the Mariners, bringing a solid ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.95. His performance on the mound has been reliable, contributing to his 10-6 win-loss record. With Woo’s pitching and the Mariners’ strong lineup, they have a good chance to secure another victory.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a tough 11-9 loss to the Seattle Mariners. Despite the loss, the Mets showed strong hitting, with 12 hits and 4 home runs. Francisco Lindor led the charge with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs, while Francisco Alvarez added another home run and 4 RBIs.
The Mets have a solid chance to win due to their strong offensive stats. They rank 7th in home runs with 159 this season. Their on-base percentage is 8th in the league, showing their ability to get runners on base.
Key players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are crucial for the Mets. Alonso has 28 home runs and 99 RBIs, ranking 8th in the league for home runs. Nolan McLean will take the mound for the Mets, and while his stats are not available, the team hopes he can deliver a strong performance.
The Lean
The Mariners are favored with a moneyline of -128 against the Mets at +109. The Mariners have a strong home run record, ranking 3rd, which gives them an edge. With their solid pitching stats, including a 9th-ranked ERA, my model projects the Mariners to win 5-3.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Both teams have decent pitching, with the Mariners having a slightly better batting average against. Given these factors, my model suggests taking the under, projecting a total score of 8 runs.
Mets Seek a Reset Behind Nolan McLean’s Debut
After an 11-9 loss in the opener, the New York Mets will try to steady themselves Saturday against the Seattle Mariners in the middle game of a three-game interleague set. New York has dropped 14 of 16 since July 28, an uneven stretch that has seen the offense score six or more runs in five of those losses, yet three or fewer in seven others. For expanded matchup notes and projected lineups, check the full slate of previews on the MLB previews hub at ScoresAndStats’ MLB previews.
Rookie right-hander Nolan McLean gets the call, replacing Frankie Montas in the rotation. The 24-year-old earned his promotion with an 8-5 record and 2.45 ERA across 21 appearances (18 starts) between Double-A Binghamton and Triple-A Syracuse. In his most recent outing Sunday for Syracuse, he worked four innings with one run allowed and seven strikeouts.
Shortstop Francisco Lindor, who homered twice Friday, summed up the clubhouse mood: the team isn’t panicking but understands the urgency to flip results. To see how the market is pricing that urgency and where experts are leaning, compare today’s slate on the MLB picks page.
Mariners’ Late-Game Thunder Fuels Surge
Seattle’s comeback win featured a franchise-record nine doubles, with six of them coming in the seventh and eighth innings before Dylan Moore added the record-breaker in the ninth. The Mariners finished with 16 hits, scoring in six separate frames. Cal Raleigh continued his tear with his MLB-leading 46th home run, pushing him to 100 RBIs.
The victory moved Seattle to 10-3 this month, within a half-game of first in the AL West and into the top AL wild-card spot. Track momentum swings and recent boxes on the rolling page of MLB game results.
Pitching Matchup: Bryan Woo vs. Nolan McLean
Seattle counters with right-hander Bryan Woo (10-6, 3.08 ERA), who is coming off six innings of three-run ball with nine strikeouts and one walk in a 6-3 win over the Rays. Woo has never faced the Mets, adding a first-look wrinkle to the matchup.
McLean arrives with swing-and-miss potential from the minors, but his debut comes against a lineup that punishes mistakes gap-to-gap. For a deeper tactical breakdown of pitch profiles, bullpen leverage, and run-suppression indicators, consult the step-by-step frameworks in the expert MLB betting guide.
What Will Decide It
- Strike One For McLean
If the rookie lands early-count strikes, he can leverage unfamiliarity through two trips in the order. If not, Seattle’s patient approach and extra-base power can snowball. - Woo’s Leverage Counts
When Woo stays ahead, his carry fastball plays at the top of the zone and sets up the put-away slider. Keeping Lindor and the top third quiet is key. - Late-Inning Execution
New York’s recent losses have tilted late. Clean defense and bullpen command are mandatory to protect any lead. To see which analysts are hottest at identifying late-inning edges, check the best handicappers leaderboard.
Betting Outlook
Seattle’s form and Woo’s stability create an edge against a debut arm, but volatility is high with a first-timer and a Mets offense that can spike runs. Consider waiting for confirmed lineups and bullpen availability before locking totals. If you want premium analysis, projections, and vetted cards from top performers, you can secure them on the buy picks page.
For more angles across the day’s board, including derivative markets and player props, browse all MLB previews and line those up with today’s consensus MLB picks. If you’re building a longer-term approach, keep this expert MLB betting guide bookmarked for week-to-week updates.
Bottom Line
The path for New York is clear: let McLean’s stuff play in the zone early and tighten the late innings. Otherwise, a locked-in Seattle lineup and Woo’s strike-throwing give the Mariners the inside track. Keep tabs on how these trends evolve by checking fresh MLB game results throughout the weekend.