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Oregon Ducks vs UC Davis Aggies Betting Preview
Oregon Ducks (4-5) host the UC Davis Aggies (5-3) on Saturday afternoon at Matthew Knight Arena. Oregon looks to snap a five-game losing streak, while UC Davis aims to notch its first win against the Ducks in program history.
Line Movement and Odds
- Oregon Ducks Spread: -12.5 (-112)
- UC Davis Aggies Spread: +12.5 (-108)
- Oregon Ducks MoneyLine: -1050
- UC Davis Aggies MoneyLine: +666
- Total: 144.5
Oregon opened as a double-digit home favorite, reflecting their stronger roster and home-court advantage despite recent struggles. UC Davis’ efficient shooting has kept bettors interested in the underdog, with the spread holding steady. The total of 144.5 points suggests expectations for a moderately paced contest, with Oregon’s offensive inconsistency and UC Davis’ road struggles shaping projections. See updated numbers and market shifts on the College Basketball Odds page.
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Matchup Breakdown
Oregon Ducks Outlook
The Ducks fell 74-63 to UCLA, continuing their skid. Jackson Shelstad led with 20 points, while TK Simpkins added 14. Oregon has a strong home record (4-1) and ranks 52nd nationally in free-throw attempts, showing their aggressive style. Injuries to Devon Pryor (groin), Nate Bittle, and Kwame Evans Jr. have limited effectiveness, but both Bittle and Evans are expected to play. Coach Dana Altman emphasized health and execution as keys to turning the season around.
UC Davis Aggies Outlook
The Aggies lost 75-69 to Hawaii but showed resilience. Nils Cooper leads with 17.1 points per game and 15 steals, while Connor Sevilla adds perimeter shooting with 20 made threes at 43.5%. Niko Rocak provides interior scoring and rebounding. UC Davis ranks 95th nationally in field-goal percentage (47.5%) and 68th in two-point shooting (57.1%), giving them efficiency to challenge Oregon. Coach Jim Les has emphasized ball movement and defensive effort to stay competitive.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Oregon’s ability to capitalize on free throws and home-court advantage versus UC Davis’ shooting efficiency is the focal battle. The Ducks must limit turnovers and get production from their frontcourt, while the Aggies rely on Cooper and Sevilla to generate offense and keep the game close.
Injuries / Availability
Oregon: Devon Pryor (groin) questionable; Nate Bittle and Kwame Evans Jr. expected to play.
UC Davis: Full roster available.
Betting Trends
- Oregon has lost five straight games.
- The Ducks are 4-1 at home this season.
- UC Davis is 1-3 on the road.
- The Aggies are 0-4 all-time against Oregon.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Oregon 75, UC Davis 68
- Pick: UC Davis +12.5. Oregon’s offensive struggles suggest the Aggies can stay within the spread.
- Total: Under 144.5. Both teams’ scoring averages point to a slightly lower total.
Expect Oregon to end its losing streak at home, but UC Davis’ efficiency should keep the margin closer than the line suggests.
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