Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions December 12th 2025

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Philadelphia 76ers (13-10) host the Indiana Pacers (6-18) on Friday night at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Joel Embiid and Paul George continue to build chemistry, while Indiana looks to extend its recent momentum.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Philadelphia 76ers Spread: -7.5 (-107)
  • Indiana Pacers Spread: +7.5 (-114)
  • Philadelphia 76ers MoneyLine: -285
  • Indiana Pacers MoneyLine: +236
  • Total: 229.5

Philadelphia opened as a 7.5-point home favorite, reflecting their stronger record and star power despite Embiid’s recent struggles. Indiana’s improved play, winning four of its last six, has kept the line from widening further. The total of 229.5 points suggests expectations for a fast-paced contest, with both teams ranking in the top half of the league in possessions per game. Bettors will weigh Philadelphia’s offensive efficiency against Indiana’s ability to draw fouls and capitalize at the free-throw line. See updated numbers and market shifts on the NBA Odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Philadelphia 76ers Outlook

The 76ers fell 112-108 to the Lakers despite Tyrese Maxey’s 28-point, nine-assist performance. Embiid shot just 4-for-21, highlighting the need for improved rhythm alongside Paul George. Philadelphia averages 116.9 points per game and ranks sixth in free-throw percentage (81.5%), giving them an edge in close contests. Luka Doncic and LeBron James add depth, while Andre Drummond continues to provide rebounding and interior defense.

Indiana Pacers Outlook

Indiana defeated Sacramento 116-105, led by Andrew Nembhard’s 28 points and 12 assists. Bennedict Mathurin added 25 points, while Pascal Siakam chipped in 23. The Pacers rank eighth in free throws made per game, showing their ability to capitalize on foul opportunities. Despite Tyrese Haliburton’s absence, Indiana has won four of its last six, with Carlisle nearing his 1,000th career win. Their offensive depth makes them a dangerous underdog.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Philadelphia’s star trio of Embiid, George, and Maxey versus Indiana’s balanced scoring attack is the focal battle. The 76ers must find offensive rhythm and efficiency, while the Pacers rely on Nembhard and Mathurin to keep pace and exploit defensive lapses.

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Injuries / Availability

Philadelphia: Embiid and George expected to play; both managing knee/ankle issues.
Indiana: Tyrese Haliburton (season-ending injury) out; full roster otherwise available.

  • Philadelphia has won three of its last five games.
  • Indiana has won four of its last six games.
  • The 76ers average 116.9 points per game.
  • The Pacers rank eighth in free throws made per game.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Philadelphia 115, Indiana 109

  • Pick: Indiana +7.5. The Pacers’ recent form and balanced scoring give them value to cover the spread.
  • Total: Under 229.5. Both teams’ defensive adjustments point to a slightly lower-scoring contest.

Expect Philadelphia to secure a home win, but Indiana’s offensive depth should keep the game competitive.

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