San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Predictions August 23rd 2025

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers August 23rd 2025

The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park on Saturday night. The Dodgers have a record of 73-55 and sit at the top of the NL West division. They are coming off a win and have split their last 10 games evenly. Dave Roberts leads the team, with Aaron Bates and Robert Van Scoyoc as hitting coaches, and Mark Prior as the pitching coach.

The Padres, ranked second in the NL West, have a record of 72-56. They are just one game behind the Dodgers in the division standings. The team is on a three-game winning streak and has won six of their last ten games. Mike Schildt manages the Padres, with Victor Rodriguez and Ruben Niebla as the hitting and pitching coaches, respectively. The game will feature Tyler Glasnow starting for the Dodgers and Nestor Cortes for the Padres.

Dodgers vs Padres Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
• Venue: PETCO Park in San Diego, CA
• Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
• Betting Odds: Dodgers Moneyline -140, Padres Moneyline +118

The Dodgers Can Win If…

The Los Angeles Dodgers recently played a tight game against the San Diego Padres, losing 2-1. Alex Freeland hit a home run, providing the team’s only run. Despite the loss, Blake Snell pitched well, allowing just two earned runs over seven innings.

The Dodgers have strong offensive stats this season. They are ranked second in on-base percentage (.331) and slugging percentage (.441). With Shohei Ohtani leading with 44 home runs, the Dodgers have the power to score big.

Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers, with a solid ERA of 3.12. He faces Nestor Cortes, who has a higher ERA of 5.87. This gives the Dodgers an edge in pitching for the upcoming game.

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres are coming off a 2-1 win against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Yu Darvish was strong on the mound, allowing only one hit and one run over six innings. Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. both contributed to the win with runs scored.

The Padres have been on a roll, winning four of their last five games. Their team batting average of .252 ranks 7th in the league, showing they can hit well. Their pitching staff also shines, with a 3.55 ERA that ranks 2nd, and a batting average against of .224, which is the best in the league.

Manny Machado is leading the team with a .294 batting average and 21 home runs. Ryan O’Hearn and Ramón Laureano have also been consistent, both hitting over .270. With these players in form, the Padres have a strong chance to continue their winning streak.

The Lean

The Dodgers are favored with a moneyline of -140. The Padres are at +118. The Dodgers have a strong pitching edge with a 3.55 ERA, ranked 2nd, compared to the Padres’ 4.16 ERA, ranked 18th. My model projects the Dodgers to win with a score of 5-3. I recommend taking the Dodgers on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs. The Dodgers’ offense ranks 2nd in slugging percentage, while the Padres rank 20th. My model projects a combined score of 8 runs. Given these factors, I recommend taking the under at 8.0 (-103).

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Padres Even the Race with Friday Victory

The Los Angeles Dodgers had swept the San Diego Padres last weekend, but the Padres responded on Friday night with a 2-1 win at Petco Park. That victory pulled San Diego level with Los Angeles atop the National League West. After six strong innings from Yu Darvish, Padres manager Mike Shildt handed the game over to his bullpen, and the trio of Jason Adam, Mason Miller, and Robert Suarez finished the job.

Adam noted how seamlessly Miller has blended in since arriving from Oakland at the trade deadline. The Padres’ bullpen has emerged as a strength, giving them confidence against one of baseball’s most dangerous lineups. Fans looking to follow sharp predictions on this heated rivalry can check the latest MLB picks

Saturday’s Pitching Matchup

San Diego turns to left-hander Nestor Cortes (1-2, 5.87 ERA), who looks to bounce back from a rough start against the Giants earlier this week, when three first-inning homers put his team in an early hole. Cortes has limited experience against the Dodgers, going 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career outings. His most notable moment came in last year’s World Series, giving up a walk-off grand slam to Freddie Freeman while pitching for the Yankees.

Los Angeles will counter with right-hander Tyler Glasnow (1-1, 3.12 ERA). Glasnow faced the Padres just last Sunday, tossing five innings of two-run ball with eight strikeouts in a 5-4 Dodgers win. In 29 career innings against San Diego, he owns a 2.79 ERA and 35 strikeouts. Bettors preparing for this matchup can review in-depth MLB previews to spot potential angles.

Dodgers’ Offense Stumbles

The Dodgers entered Friday night leading the majors in runs and ranking second in home runs, but they managed only three hits against San Diego’s staff. Missed opportunities late, including two walks in the eighth and two singles in the ninth, sealed their defeat.

The lineup has leaned heavily on its stars while waiting for reinforcements. Max Muncy, sidelined since August 12 with an oblique injury, is being evaluated on a week-to-week basis. Manager Dave Roberts remains hopeful for a return before season’s end. Meanwhile, infielder Tommy Edman continues to progress from an ankle issue and could provide a boost at the bottom of the order. To understand how injuries influence betting markets, visit the MLB expert betting guide

What’s at Stake

Friday’s result marked just the Dodgers’ third loss in 11 games against San Diego this season, keeping the rivalry heated. With both teams deadlocked for the division lead, every game in this series carries playoff-like intensity.

The Dodgers’ high-powered attack will look to rebound, while the Padres hope to ride their bullpen and home-field advantage to another crucial win. Bettors looking to back their instincts can access premium plays through the buy picks section while tracking performance from top experts on the handicappers leaderboard

Series Outlook

The NL West showdown remains one of the most compelling storylines of the season. With Glasnow and Cortes set for Saturday’s clash, and the series finale looming Sunday, momentum could swing dramatically for either side.

For fans following along, the latest box scores and results can be found on the MLB game results page ensuring every pitch and run is accounted for in this tight race.