2025 Kansas NASCAR AdventHealth 400 Odds and Predictions

On Sunday, May 11, NASCAR’s Cup Series celebrates Mother’s Day by heading to Kansas Speedway for the AdventHealth 400. This weekend’s race marks the 12^th of the season and the first of two annual trips to Kansas. The second trip will be the Hollywood Casino 400 in the Fall.

Last weekend, Joey Logano finally got into the win column with a thrilling overtime win in the Wurth 400 at Texas Motor Speedway. It was the type of NASCAR race result that we’ve been waiting for the last three months. This week, Logano is in the middle of the pack for betting odds to win at Kansas.

Kyle Larson enters as the clear-cut odds-on favorite to win this Kansas NASCAR race. He’s followed by Ryan Blaney, Tyler Reddick, Denny Hamlin, and his teammate William Byron.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NASCAR Kansas odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our AdventHealth 400 predictions for this weekend’s Kansas NASCAR Cup Series race.

AdventHealth 400 Race Profile

The Kansas Speedway first broke ground in May 1999, and opened for racing in June 2001. Since then, NASCAR has been running at least one race at this track. Eventually, the Cup Series made Kansas home to two annual events after adding this spring Kansas Race in 2011.

The speedway is an asphalt track with a lap distance of 1.5 miles and four turns with banking of 17 to 20 degrees. The front stretch has 10-degree banking and the backstretch has 5 degrees of banking.

Sunday’s AdventHealth 400race breaks down as follows:

• Total Miles: 400.5 miles
• Total Laps: 267 laps
• Stage 1: 80 laps
• Stage 2: 80 laps
• Final Stage: 107 laps

The AdventHealth 400 is set to begin at 3 pm ET and will air live on FS1.A.

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Previous AdventHealth 400 Winners

Since this race began in 2011, Denny Hamlin holds the most victories with three. Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski are tied for second with two wins apiece.

The following is a list of the most recent spring Kansas NASCAR winners:

• 2024: Kyle Larson
• 2023: Denny Hamlin
• 2022: Kurt Busch
• 2021: Kyle Busch
• 2020: Denny Hamlin
• 2019: Brad Keselowski
• 2018: Kevin Harvick
• 2017: Martin Truex Jr.
• 2016: Kyle Busch
• 2015: Jimmie Johnson

Joe Gibbs Racing leads the field with six wins in this race. Toyota leads all manufacturers with eight victories including three of the last four.  

AdventHealth 400 Betting Odds

Check out the latest NASCAR Kansas AdventHealth 400 odds:

AdventHealth 400 Favorites

The following drivers are considered by oddsmakers to be the odds-on favorites to win the AdventHealth 400:

Kyle Larson +375   

• Driver Standings: 2
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 7
• Top 10: 8

Another week, and another Top 5 finish for Kyle Larson who sits second in the driver standings just 13 points behind his teammate Byron.

Last week in Texas, Larson won the Xfinity Series race after filling in for an injured Connor Zilisch with JR Motorsports. He then finished 4^th in the Cup Series race.

That was Larson’s 5^th Top 5 in the last six races. If it weren’t for a suspension issue at Darlington, Larson’s last two months of races would be absolutely unparalleled.

At Kansas, Larson has two wins, eight Top 5s, 11 Top 10s, and a 13.0 average finish in 20 starts. He won this race last year and the fall race in 2021. Over that span, Larson has two wins, four Top 2s, five Top 5s, and six Top 8s in the last seven Kansas races.

I believe Larson is the man to beat this weekend as he’s usually good at the 1.5 mile tracks and is coming into the Mother’s Day race with plenty of momentum. Larson is a Top 10 car with a race winning ceiling.

Ryan Blaney +600

• Driver Standings: 7
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 4
• Top 10: 5

Like Larson, Ryan Blaney is starting to pick up some momentum on the season. He has three Top 5s in the last four races, which includes a third-place finish at Texas last weekend. In fact, Blaney was in the lead in the final restarts before fading to third.

Blaney’s lone blemish over the last month was at Talladega where he crashed out of the Jack Link’s 500.

In 20 Kansas starts, Blaney has no wins, four Top 5s, eight Top 10s and a 15.4 average finish. He was 4^th in the fall race last year and has six consecutive Top 16 finishes.

Considering his decent history at Kansas, along with his recent momentum, I see the #12 car being a Top 10 driver with a Top 5 ceiling.

Tyler Reddick +700           

• Driver Standings: 5
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 4

Tyler Reddick was making a move in the standings, but has put together three finishes of 18, 14, and 21 over the last three weeks. Although he sits 5^th in the standings, Reddick has just four Top 10s in 11 races. That’s not the Playoff driver we saw last year.

At Kansas, Reddick has one win, one Top 5, four Top 10s, and a 17.8 average finish. He won the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 race, but has five finishes of 20^th or worse in the last seven Kansas events.

Reddick is a Top 10 driver at best this weekend. I would avoid the #45 car this Sunday.

Denny Hamlin +700

• Driver Standings: 3
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 5
• Top 10: 6

Denny Hamlin has also seen his hot streak come to an end over the last few weeks. The #11 car had four Top 5s and two wins over the previous month heading into Talladega two weeks ago. He ended up 21^st there, and then finished 38^th last weekend in Texas due to engine failure.

However, Kansas is a track where Hamlin can turn things around and pick up his third win of the season. In 33 starts, Hamlin has four wins, 14 Top 5s, 16 Top 10s, and a 12.2 average finish which is second best among the field.

Hamlin has seven straight races of 8^th or better and six of those finishes were in the Top 5. Other than Larson, Hamlin is the one driver that I think has the best shot at winning on Sunday. Let’s not forget, he’s won this race three times already. The last time was in 2023.

William Byron +800          

• Driver Standings: 1
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 5
• Top 10: 7

A big reason why William Byron remains on top of the standings is due to his series leading 8.5 average finish and finishing every race. Byron finished 13^th last weekend in Texas after three consecutive Top 6 finishes.

If you can believe it, that 13^th finish was the third worst result for the #24 car this season. At Kansas, Byron has been a solid driver just like he has all season long.

In 14 starts at this speedway, Byron has three Top 5s, eight Top 10s, a 13.9 average finish and two DNFs. Yet, he hasn’t had a DNF in the last 12 Kansas starts. He was runner-up in the fall race here last year and has three Top 6 finishes in the last five races.

I think Byron could be a Top 5 car on Sunday with a Top 3 ceiling.

Christopher Bell +1000

• Driver Standings: 6
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 5
• Top 10: 7

With other drivers taking the spotlight the last month or so, Christopher Bell has become a forgotten man. And, yet, he still leads the series with three wins. Furthermore, Bell has four Top 9 finishes in the last five races. A crash at Talladega is the one blemish in the last month.

At Kansas, Bell has two Top 5s, seven Top 10s, and a 13.4 average finish in 10 starts. He’s tallied six Top 8s in the last seven races. A crash in the 2023 spring Kansas race is his one blackmark.

Bell has three Top 8 results over his last three appearances at this track. I see the #20 car flying under the radar and being a Top 10 driver with a Top 3 ceiling. A little luck, and we could see Bell win his fourth race of the season.

The Best AdventHealth 400 Betting Value

The following drivers are my NASCAR picks for the best betting value in the AdventHealth 400 based on their previous success at the Kansas Speedway:

Chase Elliott +1600

• Driver Standings: 4
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 6

Chase Elliott has yet to win this season, but his consistency has kept him 4^th in the standings with six Top 10s so far. Elliott has finished in the Top 20 for all 11 races this season so far. He was 16^th last weekend in Texas.

At Kansas, Elliott leads the field with a 10.1 average finish. In 18 starts, he has one win, seven Top 5s, and 12 Top 10s.

Elliott has finished in the Top 9 for seven of the last nine races, including four in a row. He was 3^rd in this race last year and 7^th in 2023. I think Elliott can be a Top 5 driver who competes for a checkered flag. Additionally, I love his Top 10 odds, which I will dive into further below.

Joey Logano +2200

• Driver Standings: 9
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 1
• Top 10: 2

Last weekend, the reigning NASCAR Cup Series champ Joey Logano returned to victory lane by winning the Wurth 400.

Not only was it Logano’s only win of the season so far, but it was his first Top 5 result and his second Top 10 in 11 races. It’s safe to say that the Texas win saved his season so far. The #22 car was in a major slump until then.

I think that win will give Logano some momentum moving forward into the summer. And this weekend’s race could continue his recent success.

In 31 Kansas starts, Logano has three wins, nine Top 5s, 12 Top 10s and a 16.8 average finish. Logano’s been a mixed back at Kansas over the last five years with one win, two Top 5s, four Top 10s, and eight Top 17s over the last nine races at this track.

I think Logano offers value to crack the Top 10 (+130), which is not farfetched considering his eight Top 17s in the last nine Kansas races.

The Top AdventHealth 400 Longshot

Brad Keselowski (+4000) is my longshot of choice as he’s in a major slump this season. Currently, the #6 car sits 32^nd in the standings with zero wins, Top 5s, or Top 10s. But he does have four DNFs.

His abysmal season should be a turn off, and most of the time it is. However, Keselowski has raced well at Kansas in his career. In 30 starts at this venue, he has two wins, seven Top 5s, 14 Top 10s and the 4^th best average finish (12.5).

What I like the most for Keselowski this weekend is his longshot odds to finish in the Top 10 (+220). He has an 8.3 average finish in his last six spring Kansas races and was 11^th in this event last year.

AdventHealth 400 Predictions

My Top 5 drivers are Larson, Hamlin, Byron, Elliott, and Bell. In other words, I expect the AdventHealth 400 to come down to a battle between Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing.

Now, JGR has the advantage in this race, but Larson is the defending race winner. And, with the way that he, along with his teammates of Byron and Elliott have fared at Kansas, I think a Hendrick driver will win.

I really like the race win to come down to Hamlin, Larson and Elliott with the latter as the sneaky play here. His Top 10 odds is my favorite bet of the weekend. Yet, when I saw that Kansas was on the calendar, I immediately thought of Larson.

With the way he’s been driving as of late, the #5 car is hot. I think that translates into a Mother’s Day win at Kansas. If you prefer, Hamlin and Elliott also make for race-winning bets with great value and both drivers should contend for the checkered flag.

Bet: Kyle Larson (+375)

NASCAR AdventHealth 400 Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best AdventHealth 400 prop bets:

Either To Finish In The Top 3 at Kansas

As you can see from above, I picked Bell and Hamlin to finish in the Top 5. Both drivers have been solid this year as they’ve won five of the 11 races so far. Additionally, they have solid resumes at Kansas as well.

When you look at this prop bet, this is the best value for two drivers with a strong chance to finish in the Top 3.

Bet: Christopher Bell or Denny Hamlin (-115)

The Best Top 5 Bet for the AdventHealth 400

Christopher Bell (+180) is one of my sleepers this weekend. Although he has just two Top 5s in 10 Kansas starts, Bell has a 6.6 average finish in the last three Kansas races. He also has a 70% Top 10 finishing rate, which means he’s been very close to the Top 5 each time.

On the season, Bell has five Top 5s in 11 starts, and two in the last five races. That’s a 45.5% Top 5 finishing rate on the year. At +180 odds, we’re getting fantastic value.  

Bet: Christopher Bell (+180)

The Best Top 10 Bet for the AdventHealth 400

Chase Elliott (-125) finishing in the Top 10 is my favorite NASCAR bet this weekend. On the season, Elliott has six Top 10s in 11 starts, which is a 54.5% Top 10 finishing rate. He’s also never finished outside of the Top 20 this year.

At Kansas, Elliott leads the field with a 10.1 average finish. He has four consecutive Top 10 finishes and 12 Top 10s in 18 starts which is a 66.7% Top 10 finishing rate.

Any way you slice this Kansas pie, Elliott is finishing in the Top 10.

Bet: Chase Elliott (-125)

Winning Manufacturer

• Chevrolet (+120)
• Toyota (+170)
• Ford (+300)

Three of my Top 5 drivers are in Chevys. Although Toyota has won eight of the spring Kansas races, I like Chevy to win for a second straight year.

Bet: Chevrolet (+120)

Team of Race Winner

• Hendrick Motorsports (+150)
• Joe Gibbs Racing (+375)
• Team Penske (+450)
• 23XL Racing (+475)
• RFK Racing (+1200)
• Trackhouse Racing (+1600)
• Richard Childress Racing (+2000)
• Spire Motorsports (+2000)

This prop bet is a good opportunity to hedge our bets with Larson winning the AdventHealth 400 on Sunday.

Three of my Top 5 drivers are Hendrick cars, but the other two are Joe Gibbs Racing cars. Furthermore, JGR has won this race six times including from 2020 to 2023. I’m going with JGR for this prop bet.

Bet: Joe Gibbs Racing (+375)

Winning Car Number

• Over 16.5 (-125)
• Under 16.5 (-105)

This one is an easy Under 16.5 for me. And, it’s my second favorite NASCAR Kansas bet of the weekend.

The Under 16.5 includes: Chastain (1), Cindric (2), Larson (5), Keselowski (6), Busch (8), Elliott (9), Hamlin (11), and Blaney (12).

In fact, I would take this lineup for most races on the season. Larson, Blaney and Hamlin are all in the Top 5 odds-on favorites to win this race. And, Elliott is a driver that I’m extremely high on for Kansas.

Bet: Under 16.5 (-105)