The Week 14 Sunday Night Football game is a huge matchup between AFC contenders as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Houston Texans. Each team is in need of a win to improve their Playoff chances.

The Texans (7-5) have won four games in a row with three of those wins against teams that currently hold a Playoff spot: Colts, Bills, and Jaguars. Their Week 13 win over the Colts boosted Houston’s chances in the AFC South where they are one game back of the top spot.

The Chiefs (6-6) are free falling and in danger of missing the Playoffs if they don’t turn things around. They’ve dropped three of their last four games including a Thanksgiving defeat at Dallas. The other two losses were against the Broncos and Bills, which sets them back further in regards to tie breakers.

If they lose to Houston this week, then KC will be on the wrong side of tie breakers for each team ahead of them in the standings. The Chiefs were a Super Bowl favorite up until November. Now, they will be lucky to make the Playoffs.

Let’s dive deeper into the latest NFL betting odds for SNF, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Week 14 NFL predictions for the Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs.

What Channel Is Sunday Night Football On?

• Sunday Night Football Channel: NBC/Peacock
• Sunday Night Football Time: 8:20pm ET
• Sunday Night Football Announcers: Mike Tirico and Chris Collinsworth

The Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs will take place at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO. Kickoff time is expected to be at 8:20 pm ET.

Sunday Night Football Odds

The following Sunday Night Football odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for SNF and monitor how the lines change from now until kickoff.

The Kansas City Chiefs initially opened as a 6.5-point favorite for this Week 14 SNF matchup. Since then, that line has slowly come down to the current 3.5 point spread. Additionally, the Chiefs fell from a -258 favorite to a current range of -185 to -195 odds.

The Houston Texans opened as a +210 Underdog. Would’ve been great to get Houston’s line and spread when those odds first came out. Even just prior to Thanksgiving, these odds were still at +5.5 points and a +184 line. Eventually, Houston’s odds have come down to +160.

The Total opened at 45.5 points and has trickled down to a current O/U of 41.5 points, which is one of the lowest totals for the week.  

Last week, the Denver Broncos won as we predicted. So, our record has improved to 8-5-1 on the season. We’ve also won four of our last five picks.

In addition to our Week 14 Sunday Night Football preview below, if you are in need of more NFL predictions for this weekend or the rest of the season, then check out the industry’s best handicapping membership. And, you can test it out for free!

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Sunday Night Football Betting Trends

The following Sunday Night Football betting trends include data from last season:

Houston Texans Betting Trends

• 5-1 SU in last six games
• 6-1 SU in last seven AFC games
• 6-3 ATS in last nine games
• Under is 5-2 in last seven road games

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

• 5-0 SU in last five home games
• 1-4 ATS in last five games
• 4-1 ATS in last five December games
• 2-5 ATS in last seven Week 14 games
• Under is 4-1 in last five AFC games
• Under is 8-3 in last 11 AFC South games

Sunday Night Football Matchup

These two NFL teams have played against each other 16 times and the Kansas City Chiefs hold the advantage with an 11-5 series record. Furthermore, the Chiefs are 5-1 SU in their last six home games against the Houston Texans. If that weren’t concerning enough for Houston, the Chiefs have won five straight games in this rivalry.

Their last matchup took place in the Playoffs earlier this year, where the Chiefs won at home 23-14. Sunday’s game marks the 5^th time in the last six meetings that this game has taken place at KC. It’s the third straight time that Houston has played at Arrowhead.

Sunday Night Football Predictions

Let’s take a look at the participants in the Sunday Night Football game tonight, and make our winning NFL picks: 

Houston Texans Sunday Night Football

As mentioned, the Houston Texans have won four games in a row and have turned their season around. They even put together that winning streak with CJ Stroud missing most of those games due to a concussion.

Now that Stroud is back, the Texans are even more dangerous. He returned to face the Colts in Week 13, and Stroud threw for 276 yards as Houston beat Indy 20 to 16. They held the Colts to 281 total yards and I can see the Texans doing that this weekend against the Chiefs.

Houston’s defense is the best in the NFL at this point of the season. In fact, this is the type of defense that can win a championship all by itself.

The Texans’ defense leads the NFL with the fewest yards (265.7 ypg) and points (16.5 ppg) per game. They also sit 4^th in rushing yards (91.7 ypg) and passing yards (174.0) per game.

But that’s not all. Houston’s defense also ranks 6^th in sack rate (8.31%) and it’s getting better each week. That’s a scary reality for the rest of the AFC. Lastly, the Texans rank 5^th in takeaways at 1.6 per game.

And, if that weren’t enough to convince you of their dominance, Houston features the no.2 third-down defense that allows first downs on a 33.77% clip.

So, not only are they stingy against points and yards, but the Texans’ defense also forces turnovers and the second highest rate of three-and-outs. Patrick Mahomes will need his best performance this weekend to beat Houston’s defense.

Kansas City Chiefs Sunday Night Football

Kansas City’s defense is a Top 10 unit and will provide issues for Houston’s offense. KC allows 19.6 ppg (7^th), 306.7 total yards per game (9^th), and 100.9 rushing yards per game (9^th). Their passing defense ranks 12^th as they do allow 205.8 ypg. However, they’ve given up a ton of passing yards in three of their last four games (all losses).

Offensively, the Chiefs have the no.2 passing offense. Mahomes is having a strong season but the team’s record does not reflect it.

When it comes to running the ball, KC ranks 15^th at 118.3 ypg. However, they seem to lack any consistency in the run game and it has yet to really help the Chiefs win a game this season. There is a clear lack of balance on this offense, which could hurt them on SNF.

The Chiefs have the third lowest turnover rate at 0.7 per game. Unfortunately, they have the 7^th lowest takeaway rate at 0.8 per game. KC can’t afford to turn the ball over since they’re unable to get many takeaways.

Who Is Winning Sunday Night Football?

The recent trends favor the Chiefs in this matchup. They’ve won five in a row over the Texans and are 5-1 SU in their last six home games versus Houston.

However, this Texans’ team is just as good as KC is right now. And, that wasn’t the case in the last handful of meetings between these franchises.

This Houston defense is too good for KC to play anything less than their best. They will definitely make Mahomes’ Sunday Night Football experience a miserable one. Yet, I think the star QB has enough magic to pull off a late-game victory.

With that in mind, I do like for Houston to cover the 3.5 points. I’m surprised that this spread sits above a field goal when it should be closer to 2.5 points considering the quality of Houston’s team. I have a hard time thinking KC will lose for a fourth time in the last five weeks. Yet, if there’s one team that can make it happen, it’s the Texans and their defense.

Bet: Kansas City Chiefs -190, Houston Texans +3.5 (-110), Total (pass)

Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best Player props and Game prop bets for this Sunday Night Football matchup:

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards

• Over 239.5 yards (-110)
• Under 239.5 yards (-110)

The Texans might have the no.4 passing defense that allows only 174 ypg, but I see Mahomes going Over 240 passing yards on SNF. Partly because they won’t have success running the ball. Also, due to Houston giving up more than this mark to Josh Allen a few weeks ago when he eclipsed 250 passing yards.

Mahomes has thrown for 240 yards or more in 10 of his 12 starts, which includes nine games in a row. Against Indy two weeks ago, he threw for 352 yards and KC won by three points.

Bet: Over 239.5 passing yards (-110)

JCJ Stroud Passing Yards

• Over 224.5 yards (-110)
• Under 224.5 yards (-110)

If you don’t include his injury in the Denver game on November 3, Stroud has five straight games of throwing for 225 yards or more. Last week, he returned and threw for 276 yards against the Colts. The Chiefs have given up passing yards of 320 (Prescott), 181 (Jones), 295 (Nix), and 273 (Allen) in their last four games.

I see Stroud getting at least 230 to 250 yards on SNF and putting Houston in a strong to position to win this game outright.

Bet: Over 224.5 yards (-110)

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards

• Over 25.5 yards (-110)
• Under 25.5 yards (-110)

After missing nearly a month, Isiah Pacheco returned to action on Thanksgiving. However, the Chiefs only gave him three rushes and he totaled 16 yards.

Houston’s no.4 ranked run defense allows just a tad over 91 yards per game. I don’t see Pacheco or Kareem Hunt finding much success. In fact, I can see KC abandoning the run at some point this game. Go with the Under until KC proves that Pacheco is their top running back once again.

Bet: Under 25.5 yards (-110)

Best Bets For Sunday Night Football

Check out our best bets for Sunday Night Football:

• Kansas City Chiefs (-190)
• Houston Texans +3.5 (-110)
• CJ Stroud Over 224.5 passing yards (-110)

I really like the Houston Texans in this matchup as they have the league’s top defense. However, the return of CJ Stroud is a huge boost to this offense that looks ready to get revenge on KC’s defense from the 2024-25 Playoffs. So, I am taking the Texans to cover the 3.5-point spread and wouldn’t be surprised if they won outright.

With that said, I will keep with the Chiefs winning this game since their season is on the line. If they lose this matchup, then KC’s chances to make the Playoffs will be the lowest in the Mahomes era. Will we see KC win or will this be the first year they miss the postseason with Mahomes as their starting QB?

Last week, we nailed all four of our player props but our three-leg parlay fell short as Denver failed to cover the spread against Washington. However, if you decide to put these best Week 14 SNF bets into a parlay, then you will win $456 for every $100 wagered.

If this excites you, then check out our best NFL parlays of the week. We also have weekly College Football parlays, as well. So, take a peek and possibly even combine the two.

Sunday Night Football Schedule 

Sunday Night Football Song

When Sunday Night Football debuted in 2006, singer-songwriter Pink sang the theme song for SNF. She reworked Joan Jett’s “I hate Myself for Loving You” and retitled it “Waiting All Day For Sunday Night.”

From 2007-2012, Faith Hill took over for Pink to a mixed reaction. In 2013, Carrie Underwood has been the SNF singer. Since then, Underwood and NBC attempted a few different opening songs but they were met with a furious backlash. So, they returned to “Waiting All Day for Sunday Night” as we wait for the upcoming SNF game.

Sunday Night Football Record

The following list is of each team’s all-time record on Sunday Night Football. This also includes postseason games as well: