2022 Valspar Championship Odds and Picks

2022 Valspar Championship Odds and Picks

The Valspar Championship returned last year after a season off due to Covid and Sam Burns making the best of it! He won the event by four strokes over Keegan Bradley which was the largest Valspar Championship margin of victory since 2006. Now Burns comes in at +2000 and is ready to defend his title. But he has some other players riding the top of the odds list to get past.

Justin Thomas and Viktor Hovland both enter the opening round on Thursday at +1000 with Collin Morikawa at +1100. After those three the list remains tight but Hovland comes in following his great debut at this event last season where he finished T3 and he’s notched a win on the season at Mayakoba.

Thomas didn’t repeat last week at the Players but he has carded three top 20s here. As for Burns? If he can win the Valspar and defend his title he’ll be only the third player to do so since the event was founded in 2000. This event is always tight as a one-stroke win is a norm with three playoff finishes since 2012.

The Valspar has plenty of talent in the field which is at full strength following last week's rain- delayed PLAYERS Championship. Fatigue may play a factor with such a quick turn-a-round – that may be something to consider.

Here are the favorites to win the 2022 Valero Texas Open outright:

Justin Thomas +1000

Viktor Hovland +1000

Collin Morikawa +1100

Dustin Johnson +1400

Xander Schauffele +2000

Louis Oosthuizen +2000

Sam Burns +2000

2022 Valspar Championship Preview

Where: Palm Harbor, Florida

Course: Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club / Copperhead Course

Format: Stroke Play

Par: 71

Length: 7,099

When: March 17 – 20

Purse: $7.8 Million.

TV Coverage: CBS/Golf

Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club and the Copperhead Course have made for some eventful finishes over the years as the Valspar Championships have been won by one stroke, or a playoff, nine of the last eleven times. This list of players pushing a playoff during that time without getting the win includes Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed, Kevin Na, Webb Simpson, Patrick Cantlay, among others.

Like last week at the PLAYERS, the weather could come into play with some high winds and a chance of rain. That will make tee shots all the more important. It has a full load of par four and five holes that demand long and low drives.

2022 Valspar Championship Predictions

Viktor Hovland +1000

Hovland has been playing strong all season and that includes his win at Mayakoba. He’s also had a T2 a few weeks ago at the Arnold Palmer and a T4 at The Genesis Invitational. He's played his first Valspar last season and finished T3. He’s finished in the top ten in five of his last events. His short game has been fantastic as of late and that’s needed at Copperhead.

Sam Burns +2000

Sam Burns played a great tournament last season when he grabbed the win by four strokes over Keegan Bradley. Burns won by going 17-under for the tournament at an event where the finishes are usually determined by one or two strokes or possibly a playoff. Burns was a co- leader last week before some hard stumbles that saw him finish T24. Still, he’s been one of the more consistent players on Tour in recent weeks.

Corey Conners +2000

The Copperhead Course needs a tee-to-green marksman and Corey Conners fit that model. Conners has had an impressive run of top-ten finishes this season including four in his last six outings. He finished third at the Arnold Palmer and was 7th at the PLAYERS Championship followed by a T8 at the Masters.

Keegan Bradley +4000

Speaking of Keegan Bradley, he was in the hunt here last season and gave Burn’s all he could handle. Last week at the PLAYERS, Bradley finished lone 5th, and the week before he was T11 at Bay Hill. He seems to be back on track after a string of three events where he finished outside of the 25th spot.

Others I Like: Bubba Watson (+5000) finished T3 and T14 in his last two Valspar Championship. This would be a great course for him to get his short irons fired up. Paul Casey was a player I was leaning towards but he pulled out of the event so my eyes settled on Harold Varner III (+6600) who looked solid last week at the PLAYERS with a T6 finish.

2022 Valspar Championship Betting Lines

Justin Thomas +1000

Viktor Hovland +1000

Collin Morikawa +1100

Dustin Johnson +1400

Xander Schauffele +2000

Louis Oosthuizen +2000

Sam Burns +2000

Tyrrell Hatton +2200

Shane Lowry +2500

Matt Fitzpatrick +2500

Brooks Koepka +2500

Abraham Ancer +2800

Jason Kokrak +3300

Tommy Fleetwood +4000

Keegan Bradley +4000

Alex Noren +5000

Gary Woodland +5000

Jason Day +5000

Bubba Watson +5000

Webb Simpson +5000

Adam Hadwin +5000

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000

Kevin Kisner +6600

Russell Knox +6600

Cameron Tringale +6600

Harold Varner III +6600

Mackenzie Hughes +6600

Brian Harman +6600

Aaron Wise +6600

Denny McCarthy +8000

Bernd Wiesberger +8000

Jhonattan Vegas +8000

Lanto Griffin +10000

Francesco Molinari +10000

Matthias Schwab +10000

Kevin Streelman +10000

Mito Pereira +10000

Patton Kizzire +10000

Martin Laird +10000

Carlos Ortiz +12500

Scott Stallings +12500

Doc Redman +12500

Pat Perez +12500

Nick Taylor +12500

Charley Hoffman +12500

C T Pan +12500

Joel Dahmen +12500

Alex Smalley +12500

Brendon Todd +12500

Adam Svensson +12500

Martin Kaymer +12500

Matt Kuchar +15000

Sahith Theegala +15000

Taylor Moore +15000

David Lipsky +15000

Troy Merritt +15000

Branden Grace +15000

Matthew Nesmith +15000

Zach Johnson +15000

Adam Long +15000

Stewart Cink +15000

Brian Stuard +15000

Sam Ryder +15000

Danny Willett +15000

Chez Reavie +15000

Emiliano Grillo +15000

JJ Spaun +15000

Greyson Sigg +15000

Chad Ramey +15000

Michael Thompson +15000

Graeme McDowell +15000

Nate Lashley +15000

Lee Hodges +20000

Kramer Hickok +20000

Andrew Putnam +20000

John Huh +20000

Matt Wallace +20000

Hank Lebioda +20000

Danny Lee +20000

JT Poston +20000

Henrik Stenson +20000

Harry Higgs +20000

Brandon Wu +20000

Wyndham Clark +20000

Davis Riley +20000

Trey Mullinax +20000

Luke Donald +20000

Adam Schenk +25000

Ryan Brehm +25000

Vincent Whaley +25000

Joseph Bramlett +25000

Vaughn Taylor +25000

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +25000

Peter Malnati +25000

Brice Garnett +25000

Stephan Jaeger +25000

Kyle Stanley +25000

Sunghoon Kang +25000

Jim Herman +25000

Charl Schwartzel +25000

Sean O'Hair +25000

Kevin Yu +25000

Hayden Buckley +25000

Austin Smotherman +25000

Chun-An Yu +30000

Dylan Wu +30000

Max McGreevy +30000

Tyler Duncan +30000

Jimmy Walker +30000

Henrik Norlander +30000

Scott Piercy +30000

James Hahn +30000

Andrew Novak +30000

Bill Haas +30000

Callum Tarren +30000

Roger Sloan +30000

Kurt Kitayama +30000

Wesley Bryan +30000

Austin Cook +35000

Andrew Landry +35000

Robert Streb +35000

Cameron Percy +35000

Bronson Burgoon +35000

Curtis Thompson +35000

Tommy Gainey +40000

William McGirt +40000

Brian Gay +40000

Richy Werenski +40000

Chesson Hadley +40000

Seth Reeves +40000

Seung-Yul Noh +40000

Brandon Hagy +50000

Kelly Kraft +50000

Jonas Blixt +50000

Paul Barjon +50000

Mark Hensby +50000

Jackson Suber +50000

Luke Guthrie +50000

Andrew McCain +50000

Davis Love III +75000

Martin Trainer +75000

Alex Fitzpatrick +75000

Blake Kennedy +75000

Greg Koch +100000

Omar Uresti +100000