MLB Parlay Picks for Thursday, June 17th

Wow - all of a sudden we have another thing to handicap in Major League Baseball. Of course, we are flying blind to an extent, because we have no way of knowing for certain which pitchers have been adversely affected by having to lay off the "prohibited substances" they use to get a better grip on the baseball and thus increase their "spin rate." In other words, the sticky stuff.

Could it be that one of them is San Diego's Joe Musgrove, who was unhittable for about three or four starts and then got hit somewhat hard in his last two? We know that Gerrit Cole has been affected, and, well, if you saw his press conference you know he doesn't even know how to respond to the allegations of "cheating."

In the midst of all this, we have pieced together a parlay in three-parts for MLB bettors that we think is cashing for Thursday's action.

"Stick" with us.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Preview

Cubs vs. Mets Betting Report

When: 7:10 PM ET

MLB Odds: Mets (Stroman) -130 / Cubs (Hendricks) +110

Total: Over 7.5 Runs -110 / Under 7.5 Runs -110

Marcus Stroman, the New York kid, has firmly established himself among a triumvirate of Mets' pitchers who have really lit it up on the way to first place in the East. Taijuan Walker has been the low-cost free agent surprise, while Jacob deGrom keeps amazing people and, after leaving his last start with right flexor tendinitis, "passed" his MRI, which showed nothing serious.

Stroman's last two outings have produced victories over the San Diego Padres. The only run he allowed on Saturday was a home run to Fernando Tatis. He's never been a big strikeout pitcher, but as you probably know, he forces a lot of ground ball outs - way more than the major league average, although we do agree his ground ball / fly ball ratio has decreased in the last couple of seasons.

Kyle Hendricks, who had a sizzling 8-to-1 ratio of strikeouts to walks last season, has allowed a big league-high 19 homers in 74-2/3 innings (three round-trippers free and clear in that category); that's the same number he yielded two seasons ago in 177 frames.

The Play: METS / STROMAN (-130)

Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies Preview

Brewers vs. Rockies Betting Report

When: 8:40PM ET

MLB Odds: Brewers (Woodruff) -160 / Rockies (Marquez) +140

Total: Under 10 Runs -120 / Over 10 Runs +100

Well, Brandon Woodruff has given up a .400/.450/.571 slashline at Coors Field. But that's in just two starts (with one blowup) and the last one was in 2018.

Yes, the Rockies have been a headache to teams at home (22-14). But if you're going to be laying this price on the road, you could have a lot worse in the way of choices than a guy who is first in the majors in WAR (Wins Above Replacement) for a pitcher, third in ERA, first in WHIP ratio, second in hits per nine innings allowed, fifth in FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), with a 0.67 ERA as the visitor, with hitters SLUGGING .115 against him.

The Play: BREWERS / WOODRUFF (-160)

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners Preview

Rays vs. Mariners Betting Report

When: 10:10 PM ET

MLB Odds: Rays (Hill) -175 / Mariners (Dunn) +155

Total: Over 8 Runs -120 / Under 8 Runs +100

Ever since Rich Hill came back to the major leagues as a starter with the Boston Red Sox in 2015, has there been any season when he really failed to deliver something of value? Not really.

This year, at age 41, the guy's making $2.5 million (very low) and has given up 6.1 hits per nine innings. He also had the American League's best ERA during the month of May (0.87). What we found interesting, however, was that Hill was very outspoken about the sudden rule change against performance-enhancing stick'em, or whatever you want to call it. He sounds like he may be a user.

Justin Dunn's BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play) is way up from last year, although it's still respectable (.242). He just came off the injured list with shoulder inflammation, and may not be all the way back, having been hammered for nine hits and five runs in just three innings against Cleveland. This guy just gives up two many walks (5.4 per nine).

The Play: OVER 8 (-120)

About the Author

Charles Jay is unlike most analysts associated with handicapping and the gaming industry, in that he also has had extensive experience in the so-called "mainstream" media as well.

He has been involved with professional sports industry for almost two decades, working in all capacities, as a matchmaker, booking agent, manager, and also as an editorial consultant on USA Network's "Tuesday Night Fights," which, for a time, carried "Charles Jay's Line" on upcoming fights. As a broadcaster, he has called world title fights around the world for various outlets, and has served as a color commentator for Sunshine Network and Prime Network.

His radio experience includes being the host of numerous programs, including "Sportswatch with Charles Jay" on KDWN in Las Vegas, "Total Action" on WAXY 790 in Miami, and "Charles Jay's Winning Edge", syndicated into 55 markets by the American Radio Networks, and he's done podcasts on all subjects related to sports, gaming and popular culture.

Working within the casino industry, he has a special events consultant for Casino Magic in Mississippi, as that venue established itself in the early 1990s as a hotbed of boxing activity in particular. Prior to this, he had been engaged as a casino gaming columnist for, among others, Casino Player, Card Player and Sports Form (now known as Gaming Today), specializing in blackjack. And later on, his investigative series on boxing, entitled "Operation Cleanup," won him much critical acclaim, including the 2003 "Dignity" Award, in the category of "Best Sports Writer," as bestowed by the Retired Boxers Foundation, a non-profit organization dedicated to rendering assistance to ex-fighters in need.

In 2006 he established a content services division of his company, which has eventually evolved in JayWords, and he is arguably the world's most prolific sports & gaming writer, with over 20,000 articles to his credit, the vast majority of which have been sports handicapping pieces. So you might say he has analyzed as many sporting events as anyone alive during this period. He has also brought some interest with his so-called "gimmick" odds on special events, including the Academy Awards, the NFL Draft, and the Super Bowl, for which he posted dozens and dozens of different odds propositions with various sportsbooks.

This renaissance man is a winner of the Retired Boxers Foundation's "Dignity Award" and a member of the Florida Boxing Hall of Fame; graduate of the University of Miami (Florida) who currently resides in the South Florida area.