Betting on the NFL is one of the most popular wagers in the industry. If you are a traditional bettor betting on just moneylines, point spreads, and totals; you are missing a big part of the action. There are a number of prop bets that can help any bettor pad a bankroll.
One of the most exciting and well-paying NFL player prop bets involves touchdown scorers. Bettors can choose from a few different touchdown scorer prop bets including anytime touchdown, first touchdown, and last touchdown.
Here, we explain each and offer bettors tips on how to succeed.
Betting on an NFL Player to Score a TD Anytime
The anytime touchdown scorer bet is a simple one that often offers tremendous value. The wager itself is easy to understand. Bettors put money on a player to score a touchdown at any time in a game. Here’s an example.
Player A +105
Player B +150
Player C +350
Player D +600
The principle is simple. A $100 bettor would win $350 if Player C scored one touchdown in the game. Player A is the most likely to score a touchdown. Notice that all bets are at plus-money. Bettors can find real value as they look down the board.
It’s important to understand what constitutes a touchdown. A quarterback that throws a touchdown pass gets credit for the score in his stats. He does NOT, however, get credit for an anytime touchdown. Only the player that crosses into the end zone is credited with a touchdown for touchdown scorer prop bet purposes.
To win that $350 on Player C, a bettor would need Player C to rush for a touchdown, catch a pass for a touchdown, or score on some sort of return. Player C would need to cross the goal line and score a touchdown in order to win the bet.
First and Last Touchdown Scorer Props
Bettors can also wager on the first player to score a touchdown or the last player to score a touchdown in a given game. The odds on this bet are a little longer. Take, for example, Player A who is listed at +105 on the anytime touchdown scorer board.
To score the first touchdown in the same game, Player A’s odds could be as high as +2000. The same goes for the last touchdown scorer. The odds will be higher than on the anytime scorer prop.
Tips for Winning NFL Touchdown Scorer Props
The first and last touchdown scorer props are more unpredictable. It can depend upon a coin flip. If the Kansas City Chiefs get the ball first in a game, it’s possible one of their stars scores the first touchdown. Still, it’s largely unpredictable.
The anytime scorer prop is a bit different. Bettors can look at statistics and get an idea of which players have been scoring a lot. Then, bettors can look at matchups. When a high-powered offense meets one of the NFL’s worst defenses, it is safe to assume a number of touchdowns will be scored.
Let’s say Player A is leading the league in rushing and is averaging 0.89 touchdowns per game. A wager on Player A at +105 is a sound bet. Player D might be a Pro Bowl wide receiver who hasn’t scored a ton but is due for a big game against a poor defense. That’s a value pick at +350.
As with any bet, do the homework first and make good betting decisions. Doing so can help you capitalize on Touchdown Scorer proposition bets.
Read our guide on betting college football touchdown scorer props next.