Last week was a tough one for Coach Rick. Trying to find solid moneyline underdogs turned out to be pretty difficult in Week 10. Of the 13 NFL games last week, the favorite won 11 times (Read our NFL game recaps).
Coach did hit one moneyline dog on the Giants who, believe it not, moved into second place in the NFC East with their second straight win. The victory gave the Giants a 3-7 overall record.
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Are there any valuable moneyline underdogs in Week 10? Coach Rick does his best to find them for you.
Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens Picks
The 6-3 Titans are a flawed football team. We knew that from the start of the season when they needed last-minute field goals to win their first three games against Jacksonville, Denver, and Minnesota. Those three are not exactly the cream of the NFL crop.
Now, the Titans look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time since September of last season. Tennessee will attempt to do so as a six-point underdog to the same Baltimore team it destroyed in last season’s playoffs.
Derrick Henry rushed for 195 yards as Tennessee beat Baltimore handily 28-12 in the AFC postseason. Fast forward and the Titans are coming off a bad 34-17 loss to Indianapolis. Henry, who still leads the league in rushing yards, only averaged 89.5 yards a game over the Titans last four three of which have been losses.
Road underdogs coming off a loss this season are 27-20 against the spread. The Titans need their defense to step up, slow down the Ravens run game, and keep this one close. Then, they can win it on a late field. They’ve done it before this season.
Best Moneyline Pick: TITANS +215
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Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts Picks
Green Bay heads to Indianapolis as a 2.5-point underdog in a showdown of veteran quarterbacks – the Packers Aaron Rodgers and the Colts Philip Rivers. Both teams are coming off wins last week and the Colts, having played last Thursday, get an extra three days of preparation.
They will need it. Indianapolis is 6-3, but look at their wins. Before finally beating a true contender last week in Tennessee, the Colts had wins over Minnesota, the Jets, Chicago, Cincinnati, and Detroit. None of those teams have a winning record.
The Colts defense is stout and the Packers do not have a great track record playing in Indy. In their last five trips to face the Colts, Green Bay is 0-4-1 straight up. Rodgers and the Packers know that and, more importantly, they want a shot at the NFC’s No. 1 seed in the postseason.
Best Moneyline Pick: PACKERS +125
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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Picks
With Drew Brees likely out for the Saints, Coach Rick likes the veteran QB Matt Ryan over the guy that threw 33 interceptions last year as Tampa Bay’s starter. That would be Jameis Winston and that is why taking the Falcons on this one is worth it.
Winston will likely be asked to do much less as he has talent like Alvin Kamara around him, but still the guy just makes too many mistakes. Some like to point to last year’s 5-0 Saints record with Brees out of the lineup. If your memory fails you, remember the Saints did that with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. Winston is no Bridgewater.
Best Moneyline Pick: FALCONS +200
