Green Bay is coming off a tough loss to Indianapolis last week. They will try to recover at Lambeau Field on Sunday against NFC North rival Chicago. The Packers-Bears rivalry is the oldest in the NFL dating back to the early 1920s.
With Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, the Packers have been very good against the spread at home. In fact, they are 55-32-3 ATS with Rodgers under center. Green Bay has also excelled against its divisional opponents sporting a record of 44-26 ATS in the NFC North.
Now, against NFC North foes at Lambeau Field, Rodgers is 22-12 ATS. You can see where this is headed. For good measure though, add in Bears head coach Matt Nagy’s recent numbers.
Nagy had an outstanding first season in Chicago when the Bears won the division and went to the postseason. The Bears were good to bettors too posting a 12-5 ATS record for the season. Since then, Bears opponents are 17-8-1 ATS. Oh, and Nagy is 0-2 when his Bears are coming off a bye week, which is the case this Sunday.
The Browns are 7-3 for the first time in a very long time. They head to Jacksonville as 6.5-point favorites. Cleveland’s offense has not been that great the past few weeks, but the Browns did thrive earlier in the season against inferior defenses.
Cleveland put up 35 on Cincinnati, 34 on Washington, and 49 on Dallas in the first four weeks of the season. They also put up 32 against Indianapolis, one of the better defenses in the league.
They will face a Jags defense that ranks last or near the bottom in most every defensive statistical category. Plus, Mike Glennon, who hasn’t started an NFL game since 2017, will start at quarterback. This is a strong play with Cleveland -6.5. With the tease, this is a given.
The Jets are big home underdog, which is no surprise. New York hasn’t won a game this season and hasn’t tasted victory since December of last year. One of their victories last December came at home against … you guessed it … the Miami Dolphins.
The Jets are not very good. The defense allows 5.9 yards per play. For those that don’t understand, that’s terrible. The Jets are 31 st in defensive passing success rate and allow 8.0 yards per pass attempt.
Plus, Miami shut out the Jets in their first meeting this season. In that 24-0 loss, the Jets threw for just 148 yards. They aren’t very good on offense either.
Still, QB Sam Darnold practiced this week and could start on Sunday. If he does, it could be just the spark the Jets need. If there is a game on the schedule that will prevent the Jets from going 0-16, this is it.
Coach Rick doesn’t know if they will win, but the Dolphins are ripe for another upset having been beaten by Denver last week when QB Tua Tagovailoa was benched. The Jets might be able to surprise the Dolphins and keep this one closer than most think.
A native of Western Pennsylvania, Rick, a Generation X-er, who now lives just north of the Motor City, Detroit, Michigan. A former high school, college, and professional football player, Rick now spends his time as a high school coach and as a personal quarterback trainer. An all-state high school quarterback, he went on to become an Academic All-American at Division II Indiana University of PA. He later coached at his alma mater helping lead the program to the 1990 NCAA Division II national championship game. Rick has also served as a high school head coach and as an assistant in Pennsylvania, New York, and Michigan.
His passion for sports writing started when he was the sports editor for his high school newspaper and continued when he worked as a sportswriter for the Jamestown (New York) Post-Journal in the early 1990s. A true sports fanatic, Rick enjoys all things Pittsburgh: Steelers, Pirates, and Penguins. The Immaculate Reception, the 1979 We Are Family Pirates, and the ’91-’92 Penguins are among his favorites. After working as an educator and athletic director for several years, he again took up sports writing and has contributed to several websites and publications, including Coach & Player magazine, X & O Labs, American Football Monthly, and many others.
When not consumed with coaching, watching, thinking about, or writing about football and other seasonal sports, he finds himself working out like he was still in college and reading everything from military history to Brad Thor novels. Rick has also been chasing rock god stardom as a drummer who has played with bands that have opened for the likes of Fuel, Days of the New, and Alien Ant Farm. He continues to play with his church worship group. Most importantly, Rick is married to the love of his life, Lisa, and has two beautiful daughters.