NFL Week 6 Team Totals Predictions

Styles make fights. That's what I learned in the boxing business. They also kind of make football games.

And what I mean by that is that sometimes what one team commonly does on defense makes it a little easier for their opponent to score. Conversely, sometimes the defensive scheme has exactly what it takes to thwart even a capable offense.

Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

Chargers vs. Ravens Prediction

Time: Sunday, October 17 at 1 PM ET

Team Totals Odds:

Ravens Over 27.5 Points (-115) / Ravens Under 27.5 Points (-115)

The Play: RAVENS OVER 27.5 POINTS (-115)

Last week we told you about how Chargers coach Brandon Staley will let opponents run the football in the interest of keeping safeties back and preventing big plays. And the Browns, tops in the league in rushing, racked up 230 yards on the ground, averaging 6.6 yards per carry.

Well, Baltimore can run too (fourth in NFL with 148.8 ypg), making this potentially a rough matchup for the Bolts as well. And it's going to be tough for Staley to "cheat" in any way; Lamar Jackson, who was 37 of 43 for 442 yards in the big comeback win against Indianapolis, is the only starting quarterback in the league to average more than ten "Intended Air Yards," that is, yards beyond the line of scrimmage, per attempt.

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Football Team

Chiefs vs. WFT Prediction

Time: Sunday, October 17 at 1 PM ET

Team Totals Odds:

WFT Over 24.5 Points (+100) / WFT Under 24.5 Points (-130)

The Play: WFT OVER 24.5 POINTS (+100)

Okay, we can't say the WFT has been completely anemic with Taylor Heinicke at the controls, although "explosive" would not be the appropriate word to describe them on offense.

But you don't have to be anything extraordinary to advance the ball against this Kansas City stop unit. The Chiefs have allowed 45.6 yards and almost 3.4 points per opponent's drive, and both of those figures are worst in the NFL.

And coordinator Steve Spagnuolo didn't seem to reveal any possible answers during his press conferences this week. It actually got embarrassing last Sunday, as Buffalo's receivers found themselves wide open in the secondary.

Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns

Cardinals vs. Browns Prediction

Time: Sunday, October 17 at 4:05 PM ET

Team Totals Odds:

Browns Over 27 Points (-110) / Browns Under 27 Points (-120)

The Play: BROWNS OVER 27 POINTS (-110)

Well, as we mentioned above, Cleveland is the #1 rushing team in the NFL, and they can hit opponents with the 1-2 punch of Nick Chubb (second in the NFL) and Kareem Hunt. Last week the team had 532 yards of offense against the L.A. Chargers and kept the ball for 36-1/2 minutes.

The Browns are second in "Adjusted Line Yards," and they get a good push from the line, obviously. Arizona's defensive line does have a decent stuff rate of 22%, but they are allowing 5.4 yards a carry (that's better than the Chargers only). The Cards defend the pass much better, which should serve to funnel activity to Chubb and Hunt.

Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots

Cowboys vs. Patriots Prediction

Time: Sunday, October 17 at 4:25 PM ET

Team Totals Odds:

Patriots Over 21.5 Points (-125) / Patriots Under 21.5 Points (-105)

The Play: PATRIOTS UNDER 21.5 POINTS (-105)

Close call last week against Houston, as the Pats found themselves down 22-9 with 24 minutes left in the game. So yeah, scoring is a struggle. Do you think Bill Belichick envisioned that his team would be averaging 80 yards a game on the ground, good for just 27th in the NFL, and that he would be throwing the ball 65% of the time with a rookie quarterback?

Mac Jones hasn't been bad - he's made less than 11% bad throws, and has been on target 83.2% of the time, second best in the league. But it's a lot of low-risk stuff. Low risk, low reward. New England has scored TD's on only 37.5% of its red zone trips, and that's 31st in a 32-team league.

About the Author

Charles Jay is unlike most analysts associated with handicapping and the gaming industry, in that he also has had extensive experience in the so-called "mainstream" media as well.

He has been involved with professional sports industry for almost two decades, working in all capacities, as a matchmaker, booking agent, manager, and also as an editorial consultant on USA Network's "Tuesday Night Fights," which, for a time, carried "Charles Jay's Line" on upcoming fights. As a broadcaster, he has called world title fights around the world for various outlets, and has served as a color commentator for Sunshine Network and Prime Network.

His radio experience includes being the host of numerous programs, including "Sportswatch with Charles Jay" on KDWN in Las Vegas, "Total Action" on WAXY 790 in Miami, and "Charles Jay's Winning Edge", syndicated into 55 markets by the American Radio Networks, and he's done podcasts on all subjects related to sports, gaming and popular culture.

Working within the casino industry, he has a special events consultant for Casino Magic in Mississippi, as that venue established itself in the early 1990s as a hotbed of boxing activity in particular. Prior to this, he had been engaged as a casino gaming columnist for, among others, Casino Player, Card Player and Sports Form (now known as Gaming Today), specializing in blackjack. And later on, his investigative series on boxing, entitled "Operation Cleanup," won him much critical acclaim, including the 2003 "Dignity" Award, in the category of "Best Sports Writer," as bestowed by the Retired Boxers Foundation, a non-profit organization dedicated to rendering assistance to ex-fighters in need.

In 2006 he established a content services division of his company, which has eventually evolved in JayWords, and he is arguably the world's most prolific sports & gaming writer, with over 20,000 articles to his credit, the vast majority of which have been sports handicapping pieces. So you might say he has analyzed as many sporting events as anyone alive during this period. He has also brought some interest with his so-called "gimmick" odds on special events, including the Academy Awards, the NFL Draft, and the Super Bowl, for which he posted dozens and dozens of different odds propositions with various sportsbooks.

This renaissance man is a winner of the Retired Boxers Foundation's "Dignity Award" and a member of the Florida Boxing Hall of Fame; graduate of the University of Miami (Florida) who currently resides in the South Florida area.