PGA Betting Picks | 2019 FedEx Cup Playoffs TOUR Championship

This is the end….my only friend, the end. After 10 months and 46 PGA tournaments, this is the end of the PGA season. Just 30 players are in the field for the TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

Beginning this year, the tournament is using a new format so that its winner will also be the FedEx Cup champion. In other years, FedEx Cup points were reset for each qualifying player based on seeding. This year, the tournament will begin with the #1 overall seed starting at 10 under par. The second seed will start at -8, the third seed at -7, and so on down to the fifth seed at -5. Seeds 6-10 will begin at -4; seeds 11-15 will begin at -3; and so on. Players that are seeded 26-30 will start at even par.

 

Here are the 30 golfers in the field for the 2019 FedEx Cup Playoffs TOUR Championship and their scores as they’re heading to the first tee:

1. Justin Thomas: -10 (1)

2. Patrick Cantlay: -8 (2)

3. Brooks Koepka: -7 (3)

4. Patrick Reed: -6 (4)

5. Rory McIlroy: -5 (5)

T-6. Jon Rahm: -4 (6)

T-6. Matt Kuchar: -4 (7)

T-6. Xander Schauffele: -4 (8)

T-6. Webb Simpson: -4 (9)

T-6. Abraham Ancer: -4 (10)

T-11. Gary Woodland: -3 (11)

T-11. Tony Finau: -3 (12)

T-11. Adam Scott: -3 (13)

T-11. Dustin Johnson: -3 (14)

T-11. Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (15)

T-16. Paul Casey: -2 (16)

T-16. Justin Rose: -2 (17)

T-16. Brandt Snedeker: -2 (18)

T-16. Rickie Fowler: -2 (19)

T-16. Kevin Kisner: -2 (20)

T-21. Marc Leishman: -1 (21)

T-21. Tommy Fleetwood: -1 (22)

T-21. Corey Conners: -1 (23)

T-21. Sungjae Im: -1 (24)

T-21. Chez Reavie: -1 (25)

T-26. Bryson DeChambeau: E (26)

T-26. Louis Oosthuizen: E (27)

T-26. Charles Howell III: E (28)

T-26. Lucas Glover: E (29)

T-26. Jason Kokrak: E (30)

 

This is an interesting event to handicap with such a limited field and all players currently at the top of their game. I got you covered though, and we are looking to end a great year of betting golf on a high note.

>>> FIND A TRUSTED SPORTSBOOK TO BET THE PGA TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP <<<

 


2019 TOUR Championship

Where: East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia

Par: 70

Length: 7,346 yards (6,717 meters)

Course Rating: 76.2

Slope Rating: 144

When: August 22nd - 25th, 2019

Purse: $46,000,000

Winner’s Share: $15,000,000

Defending Champion: Tiger Woods

TV Coverage:Golf Channel, NBC


 

I hope you rode my picks last week, because I absolutely killed it! I usually like 4 or 5 guys, and spread my weekly PGA betting  budget out evenly. Last week I LOVED Justin Thomas, and had him as a 2-3-unit play. If you followed at 3-units (like I did), that was a $3450-sized chunk of change in your account.

 



 

I also had Finau (4), Rory (T19), Horschel (T37) and DJ (T57). But enough about me…it’s the TOUR Championship for god sakes!

Odds courtesy of America’s Bookie

Rory McIlroy +700

Starting at -5, Rory possibly has the best value at +700. Remember these stats?

Strokes Gained: Tee to Green: 1st

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee: 1st

Driving Distance: 2nd

Strokes Gained: Putting: 22nd

Those still apply, other than his SG: Putting ranking rising to 25th after last week.

At +700, just like last week, there is still money to be made betting Rory. He won this event, and the FedEx Cup in 2016, and will make a serious run at the $15 million winner’s share.

Webb Simpson +1950

Simpson holds some great value as well, being in great form and finishing T4 last year and T13 two years ago here in the TOUR Championship. Last year, Webb fired rounds of 69, 70, 68, 67, but finished 5 stokes off the pace set by Tiger.

Like JT last week, Webb is without a PGA victory this year, making him possible the best golfer of 2019 without a victory. The 35-year-old, who turned Pro in 2008, had 6 kids to feed, so you can bet the poor guy needs the $15M. (insert sarcasm)

 


CHECK OUT THIS EAST LAKE GOLF COURSE FLYOVER


 

Justin Thomas +185

That escalated quickly. JT’s odds went from +1150 to +185 in a week, but looking at the starting handicaps for this event, his current form and past play here, it’s hard to bet against him.

Obviously Justin Thomas offers zero value, but I just couldn’t in my right mind leave him off this list. I predict who will win tournaments, and there’s a really good chance JT wins. His last 3 years at the TOUR Championship? T7, 2 and T6.


2019 TOUR Championship, Betting Odds and Prediction


Brandt Snedeker +8500

I’m going for some deep value here, because starting at -2 really has Snedeker behind the 8-ball. Still, he has finished T6 and T5 in the last two playoff events, and even though he hasn’t played in the TOUR Championship the past 2 years, 3 years ago he finished T17 with two rounds of two-over 72.

If Brandt can catch fire and go real low in a couple rounds, he has a chance to win this and give us some massive betting value.

In case you’re interested, here is the 2019 PGA TOUR Championship purse, winner’s share and entire prize money payout:

1. $15,000,000

2. $5,000,000

3. $4,000,000

4. $3,000,000

5. $2,500,000

6. $1,900,000

7. $1,300,000

8. $1,100,000

9. $950,000

10. $830,000

11. $750,000

12. $705,000

13. $660,000

14. $620,000

15. $595,000

16. $570,000

17. $550,000

78. $535,000

19. $520,000

20. $505,000

21. $490,000

22. $478,000

23. $466,000

24. $456,000

25. $445,000

26. $435,000

27. $425,000

28. $415,000

29. $405,000

30. $395,000

Picks by Joe Berra

Posted August 21st, 2019

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