Top Five NFL Week 3 ATS Picks (Against the Spread)

Coach Rick battled back from a tough Week 1 to deliver four out of five wins in Week 2. Baltimore’s narrow 36-35 win over Kansas City was the only loss of the week.

We head to Week 3 on the lookout for the best bets against the spread. Here are the top five NFL Week 3 ATS picks.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Rams

Buccaneers vs. Rams Best Bets

Timing is everything on this one. The line on Sunday’s Bucs-Rams game opened with LA as a 1.5-point favorite. You could find it as high as -2.5, but the line continues to shift as the money flows in on Tampa Bay as an underdog. What’s not to love about that?

The defending Super Bowl champs are 2-0 with a Tom Brady-led offense putting up over 30 points a game. The Rams are also 2-0, but didn’t look as good in Week 2 in their win over Indianapolis. As much as you want to rave about Matthew Stafford and the Rams offense, it just doesn’t approach Brady and the Bucs.

Yes, the Rams are one of the best defenses in the NFL. Yes, the Rams won last year, but the Bucs are 10- 0 straight up in their last ten games and 4-1 ATS in their last five. Whenever Brady has been an underdog since 2010, his teams are 12-3 ATS. Remember last year’s Super Bowl?


Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants Best Bets

Falcons vs. Giants Best Bets

The only thing worse than the Giants after two weeks is Atlanta. Well, there’s more, but for purposes of this game, the Falcons have been awful in Weeks 1 and 2. Last week, Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense actually outgained Tampa Bay, but two pick-six touchdowns led to a 48-25 loss.

The Giants lost last Thursday on a last-second field goal. They actually looked good, which is par for the course for New York. They play well on the road and suck at home. With Daniel Jones at quarterback, the Giants are 10-4 ATS on the road. At home with Jones, they are 4-10 ATS.

The G-men are laying a field goal here, which might be a bit much. Don’t forget. Jones has thrown 22 picks and lost 30 fumbles in just 29 career games.


New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos

Jets vs. Broncos Best Bets

Betting this game comes down to one thing – Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback for Denver. Sure, the Broncos are 2-0 and the Jets are two games into another dumpster fire of a season, but it’s Bridgewater that is the key.

Bridgewater has started games for four NFL teams – his current one, Denver, New Orleans, Carolina, and Minnesota. In 51 career starts, Bridgewater’s teams have covered 73 percent of the time. That’s an ATS record of 37-14.

The line on this game opened at Denver -7.5. It has slowly crept up reaching the Broncos -10.5. At game time, that spread is still likely to be double digits. Doesn’t matter. Denver with Bridgewater covers.


Baltimore Ravens vs. Detroit Lions

Ravens vs. Lions Best Bets

There is a reason why the Ravens are an 8.5-point favorite over Detroit this week. Part of the reasoning was evident in the first half of the Lions’ Week 1 loss to San Francisco. The other part was their follow up on a Monday night in Week 2.

The Lions were outscored 31-10 in the first half against the 49ers and then lost 35-14 to Green Bay on Monday night. The Ravens have won 13 of their last 17 games on the road and they happen to be 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Detroit won’t have an answer for the Ravens running game which put up 251 yards on the Chiefs last week.


New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots

Saints vs. Patriots Best Bets

Bill Belichick’s defense has been outstanding thus far this season. That has allowed him and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels to take it slowly with QB Mac Jones. Now, the Patriots will go up against New Orleans.

Belichick will surely get after Saints QB Jameis Winston who followed up his five-touchdown performance in Week 1 with a more Jameis-esque two picks and four sacks in a loss to Carolina. This should be a close one but keep in mind New England is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. The Saints, meanwhile, are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games.


About the Author

A native of Western Pennsylvania, Rick, a Generation X-er, who now lives just north of the Motor City, Detroit, Michigan. A former high school, college, and professional football player, Rick now spends his time as a high school coach and as a personal quarterback trainer. An all-state high school quarterback, he went on to become an Academic All-American at Division II Indiana University of PA. He later coached at his alma mater helping lead the program to the 1990 NCAA Division II national championship game. Rick has also served as a high school head coach and as an assistant in Pennsylvania, New York, and Michigan.

His passion for sports writing started when he was the sports editor for his high school newspaper and continued when he worked as a sportswriter for the Jamestown (New York) Post-Journal in the early 1990s. A true sports fanatic, Rick enjoys all things Pittsburgh: Steelers, Pirates, and Penguins. The Immaculate Reception, the 1979 We Are Family Pirates, and the ’91-’92 Penguins are among his favorites. After working as an educator and athletic director for several years, he again took up sports writing and has contributed to several websites and publications, including Coach & Player magazine, X & O Labs, American Football Monthly, and many others.

When not consumed with coaching, watching, thinking about, or writing about football and other seasonal sports, he finds himself working out like he was still in college and reading everything from military history to Brad Thor novels. Rick has also been chasing rock god stardom as a drummer who has played with bands that have opened for the likes of Fuel, Days of the New, and Alien Ant Farm. He continues to play with his church worship group. Most importantly, Rick is married to the love of his life, Lisa, and has two beautiful daughters.