Top MLB Hits Props Picks for Saturday, July 24

If you have been following any of this, you know that we like to follow individual players and how they do against individual pitchers. Sometimes a hitter has a rough time of it against one specific hurler, and mentally, they just can't get over it.

Over the course of time, this provides a pattern. That, among other factors, goes into the way we look at these props, and we think we have some for you today when it comes to base hits. It's a tricky one- will a player get a base hit or won't he?

We don't mean to imply that it's rocket science, but it's more complicated than just looking at a batting average.

MLB Hits Player Props Five Pack for Saturday

Blue Jays vs. Mets Betting Preview

Best Bet: Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Hits (+125)

You don't have to look too hard to notice that Michael Conforto, who's having a tough enough year as it is (.203, 53 K's, 39 hits) has been baffled by Ryu. He has come to the plate 12 times against the Korean,a former ERA champ who once toiled for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and has very little to show for it - two singles and six strikeouts. Ryu, it should be pointed out, has a 0.53 ERA and has given up just one walk in his last five starts vs. the Mets, with a 0.772 WHIP ratio.

Cardinals vs. Reds Betting Preview

Best Bet: Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Hits (+165)

I don't know how to put this gently, but if you were in the middle of a potential big inning against Luis Castillo, and you needed one guy to keep it going, that guy would not be Tyler O'Neill.

Success against Castillo has been hard for him to attain, as although he's hit a couple of homers against him, this prop is not about that. The fact is, those homers are the only hits he has against Castillo in 21 plate appearances, and he's been struck out five times. So while he has a slugging average of .444, the batting average is only .111.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Betting Preview

A.J. Pollack Under 0.5 Hits (+180)

Pollack has actually done very well against Freeland over the course of his career, going 9-for-25 with a pair of home runs. But when we do these props we have to consider the price, because everything is relative. And we'd much rather be on this side of the proposition than in laying -250 on him to get a base hit.

White Sox vs. Brewers Betting Preview

Best Bet: Jose Abreu Under 0.5 Hits (+140)

Corbin Burnes has given up just 18 hits over his last 27-1/3 innings. So maybe he's going to be hard for anyone to hit right now. He's faced Jose Abreu twice, and in one of those trips Abreu hit a two-run homer. So does the reigning MVP have his number? Not sure about that. Let's expect Burnes, who if you recall, started out the season as if he was not going to give anyone a free pass to first base, to pitch a little different to Abreu, who has not quite averaged one hit per game. This "under" price isn't bad for a guy who is pretty much "feast or famine," with 92 K's in 337 official at bats.

Nationals vs. Orioles Betting Preview

Best Bet: Trey Mancini Under 0.5 Hits (+145)

Max Scherzer has not been effective in his first starts before and after he made his start in the Al-Star Game. In fact,he's given up 11 earned runs in 10-2/3 innings. But he has owned Maikel Franco, who is just 4-of-27 lifetime against him,. although Franco does have a homer to show for his efforts. As for tonight's purposes, Home Run Derby runner-up Trey Mancini has one hit and three strikeouts in seven career plate appearances against Scherzer, and we can get better odds on him.

Read our MLB home run props betting guide and MLB total bases props betting guide.

About the Author

Charles Jay is unlike most analysts associated with handicapping and the gaming industry, in that he also has had extensive experience in the so-called "mainstream" media as well.

He has been involved with professional sports industry for almost two decades, working in all capacities, as a matchmaker, booking agent, manager, and also as an editorial consultant on USA Network's "Tuesday Night Fights," which, for a time, carried "Charles Jay's Line" on upcoming fights. As a broadcaster, he has called world title fights around the world for various outlets, and has served as a color commentator for Sunshine Network and Prime Network.

His radio experience includes being the host of numerous programs, including "Sportswatch with Charles Jay" on KDWN in Las Vegas, "Total Action" on WAXY 790 in Miami, and "Charles Jay's Winning Edge", syndicated into 55 markets by the American Radio Networks, and he's done podcasts on all subjects related to sports, gaming and popular culture.

Working within the casino industry, he has a special events consultant for Casino Magic in Mississippi, as that venue established itself in the early 1990s as a hotbed of boxing activity in particular. Prior to this, he had been engaged as a casino gaming columnist for, among others, Casino Player, Card Player and Sports Form (now known as Gaming Today), specializing in blackjack. And later on, his investigative series on boxing, entitled "Operation Cleanup," won him much critical acclaim, including the 2003 "Dignity" Award, in the category of "Best Sports Writer," as bestowed by the Retired Boxers Foundation, a non-profit organization dedicated to rendering assistance to ex-fighters in need.

In 2006 he established a content services division of his company, which has eventually evolved in JayWords, and he is arguably the world's most prolific sports & gaming writer, with over 20,000 articles to his credit, the vast majority of which have been sports handicapping pieces. So you might say he has analyzed as many sporting events as anyone alive during this period. He has also brought some interest with his so-called "gimmick" odds on special events, including the Academy Awards, the NFL Draft, and the Super Bowl, for which he posted dozens and dozens of different odds propositions with various sportsbooks.

This renaissance man is a winner of the Retired Boxers Foundation's "Dignity Award" and a member of the Florida Boxing Hall of Fame; graduate of the University of Miami (Florida) who currently resides in the South Florida area.