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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees September 3th 2025
The New York Yankees will play against the Houston Astros at Daikin Park. The Yankees have a record of 77-61 and are third in the AL East. They have won eight of their last ten games. Their manager is Aaron Boone, and their starting pitcher for this game is Will Warren, who has an ERA of 4.30.
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The Astros have a record of 76-63 and are first in the AL West. They have won five of their last ten games. Joe Espada is their manager, and Jason Alexander will be their starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.61. The game is set for Wednesday, September 3, 2025, at 8:10 PM, and will be broadcast on AMZP.
Yankees vs Astros Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
- Venue: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
- Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
- Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -128, Astros Moneyline +109
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are coming off a strong win against the Houston Astros, with a score of 7-1. Max Fried led the pitching with seven solid innings, allowing only one run. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Trent Grisham powered the offense, combining for three home runs and seven RBIs.
The Yankees’ lineup is one of the best in the league. They rank first in slugging percentage and home runs, with 236 homers this season. Their on-base percentage is second, which shows their ability to get runners on base and score.
Will Warren will start for the Yankees, and he has a 4.30 ERA. The Yankees’ pitching staff ranks third in strikeouts, which can help them control the game. With their strong hitting and solid pitching, the Yankees have a good chance to win this game.
The Astros Can Win If…
The Houston Astros are looking to bounce back from a 7-1 loss against the New York Yankees. In their most recent game, Framber Valdez pitched five innings, striking out eight batters. Despite the loss, Yainer Diaz and Carlos Correa each managed a hit, showing potential for the upcoming game.
The Astros have a strong chance to win with their solid team stats. They rank 6th in batting average at .252 and 7th in strikeouts with 1,319. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.84, ranked 7th, and a batting average against of .232, ranked 4th, which shows they can limit the opposing team’s scoring opportunities.
Key players like Jeremy Peña and Christian Walker lead the offense. Peña has a batting average of .304, while Walker has hit 21 home runs this season. With Jason Alexander on the mound, who has a 4-1 record, the Astros have a good chance to secure a win against the Yankees.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored on the moneyline at -128, while the Astros are at +109. The Yankees have a strong slugging percentage and lead in home runs, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Yankees to win with a score of 5-4. Based on these factors, I recommend picking the Yankees to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -110 and the under at -111. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Yankees having a slightly better ERA. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given the strong pitching and the projected score, I recommend taking the under 9.0.
Stanton Starts in Left as Yankees Handle Astros in Series Opener
In a surprise lineup change, Giancarlo Stanton made his first start in left field this season as the New York Yankees rolled to a 7-1 win over the Houston Astros Tuesday night in the opener of a playoff-caliber three-game set.
Though Stanton went 0-for-4 at the plate, his move to left signals a strategic adjustment from Yankees manager Aaron Boone, who had been playing Stanton mostly in right field while Aaron Judge took on DH duties after returning from the IL on August 5
Boone noted Houston’s Daikin Park doesn’t pose the same left field challenges as Fenway Park, making it a comfortable place to make the shift.
Wednesday Matchup: Warren vs Alexander
Will Warren will take the mound for New York on Wednesday. The rookie right-hander is 8-6 with a 4.30 ERA, and he’s been steady lately, posting a 3.14 ERA over his last 10 starts.
Meanwhile, Jason Alexander, who’s been hot for the Astros, will look to bounce back after allowing three runs in his last outing against the Colorado Rockies.
Starting Pitcher Comparison
| Pitcher | Record | ERA | Notable Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warren (NYY) | 8-6 | 4.30 | 19 starts w/ 2 ER or fewer (2nd all-time by NYY rookie) |
| Jason Alexander (HOU) | 4-1 | 4.61 | 3-0 with 2.17 ERA in August |
Warren will be facing Houston for the first time in his career, while Alexander already owns a win over the Yankees this season, tossing six scoreless innings in a 7-1 victory on August 10.
For more matchup details and daily projections, check out MLB betting odds & scores and get sharper with the expert MLB betting guide.
Playoff Atmosphere in Early September
With both clubs hunting for division crowns, Tuesday’s opener felt more like October than early September. The Astros (76-63) are clinging to a three-game lead in the AL West after the Seattle Mariners dropped their game against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Around the League: Spotlight on Contenders
- The Baltimore Orioles are surging in the AL East.
- The Atlanta Braves remain dominant in the NL.
- Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies are making wild-card pushes.
Browse the full list of MLB teams and follow playoff chases across the league.
Yankees Looking to Stay Hot
With Stanton getting reps in left and Judge still limited to DH, Boone’s lineup flexibility could be key as New York (77-61) keeps its sights set on the AL East title.
