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Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks host the Toronto Raptors on Friday, November 7, 2025, at State Farm Arena in an NBA Cup showdown between two 4-4 Eastern Conference teams. Toronto enters on a three-game win streak, including a dominant 128-100 victory over Milwaukee, while Atlanta has won three of its last four despite missing All-Star guard Trae Young. Both teams are 1-0 in Group Play and looking to build momentum in the tournament and the standings.
Line Movement and Odds
Atlanta is a slight 1.5-point home favorite. The total is set at 235.5. The Hawks are -120 on the moneyline, while the Raptors are +100. Toronto has covered in three straight games, while Atlanta is 2-1 ATS since Young’s injury. Full odds breakdown available on ScoresAndStats NBA Odds.
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Matchup Breakdown
Toronto Raptors Outlook
Scottie Barnes continues to lead Toronto’s resurgence, averaging 20.9 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 5.1 assists. He had 22 points, 9 assists, and 6 rebounds in the season-opening win over Atlanta and followed it up with 23 points, 4 steals, and 2 blocks against Milwaukee. RJ Barrett and Brandon Ingram are both averaging over 20 points per game, and Jakob Poeltl’s return adds rebounding and rim protection. Toronto ranks 6th in scoring (120.5 ppg), 4th in field goal percentage (50.1%), and leads the league in assists (30.5 apg). Their ball movement and defensive energy have fueled their turnaround after a 1-4 start.
Atlanta Hawks Outlook
Without Trae Young, Atlanta has leaned on a committee approach at point guard. Nickeil Alexander-Walker scored 20 points against Orlando but had seven turnovers. Dyson Daniels added 18 points on 88.9% shooting, while Keaton Wallace has provided steady minutes. Rookie Zaccharie Risacher, the No. 1 overall pick, scored a season-high 21 points with three triples despite playing through a sprained ankle. Jalen Johnson continues to contribute with 17 points and 6 rebounds. Atlanta ranks 11th in field goal percentage (48.6%) and 8th in two-point percentage, showing offensive efficiency even without their star playmaker.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Scottie Barnes vs. Atlanta’s rotating backcourt will be pivotal. Barnes has historically performed well against the Hawks, averaging 20.5 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 5.4 assists in 15 career games. Toronto’s edge in ball movement and shooting efficiency could expose Atlanta’s defensive gaps, especially in transition. For the Hawks, Daniels and Alexander-Walker must limit turnovers and create clean looks for Risacher and Johnson. If Atlanta can control pace and get balanced scoring, they can protect home court. Toronto’s depth and chemistry give them a slight edge, especially if Poeltl continues to stabilize the interior.
Injuries / Availability
Trae Young remains out with a sprained MCL and is expected to miss several more weeks. Jakob Poeltl is active but still working back to full strength after missing three games with a sore back. All other key players are expected to be available.
Environment
Game is at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, where the Hawks are 2-1 this season. Toronto begins a five-game road trip and will be tested by back-to-back games and travel fatigue. Both teams are 1-0 in NBA Cup play and looking to advance in Group A.
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Best Bets and Prediction
- Toronto Raptors +1.5
- Under 235.5
Toronto’s offensive rhythm and defensive versatility give them a slight edge. Our model projects a 121-118 Raptors win, making them a solid pick against the spread. While both teams can score, Toronto’s improved defense and Atlanta’s playmaking uncertainty lean toward the under 235.5.
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