Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland-cavaliers Picks and Predictions December 17th 2025

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Match Facts

ItemDetail
MatchupCleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls
DateWednesday
VenueUnited Center (Chicago)
Recent formCavaliers 3-6 last nine; Bulls have dropped eight of last nine
Series trendCleveland has won five straight vs. Chicago and 12 of the last 13
Recent meetingCavaliers won 128-122 on Nov. 8

For matchup pages and team context, use NBA teams.

Line and Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers -5.5
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers -199 / Bulls +166
  • Total: 243.5
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Trusted Records, Winning Consistency

This line is pricing Cleveland as the more stable team even while they’re struggling, largely because Chicago’s defense has been bleeding points and the Bulls’ late-game execution has been messy. The total is the more interesting number: both teams have had stretches of poor shot quality and uneven pace control, so if this turns into a half-court game with longer possessions (especially if Cleveland is protecting a lead late), the under becomes live even with the high posted number. For the live board and movement, check NBA scores and odds.

Movement Matchup

Cleveland’s issue isn’t talent, it’s consistency in effort and shot discipline. When the Cavs settle for early-clock threes and stop putting pressure on the rim, their offense becomes streaky, and that feeds the frustration that has led to boos at home. On the road, their simplest path is to get downhill early through Garland/Mitchell actions, force rotations, and live at the rim or the line instead of relying on jumpers.

Chicago’s issues are more structural. Over this recent stretch, the Bulls have been giving up efficient looks and then compounding it with turnovers in the fourth quarter. If they want to flip the script, they need cleaner spacing and quicker decisions so they aren’t playing against a set defense, plus more physicality in the paint to avoid being pushed around by Cleveland’s size.

Breakdown Injury Reports

Cleveland Cavaliers

PlayerStatusNotes
Evan MobleyOutCalf
Larry Nance Jr.OutCalf
Max StrusOutFoot
Sam MerrillOutHand

Chicago Bulls

PlayerStatusNotes
Ayo DosunmuDay-to-dayThumb
Noa EssengueOutShoulder (season)

For market selection guidance tied to injuries, pace, and matchup type, use the NBA betting guide.

Cleveland Cavaliers Recent performance

The Cavaliers’ slump has been driven by uneven execution and cold shooting nights at the worst time. The overtime loss to Charlotte was a snapshot: the effort wasn’t the problem every possession, but the shot-making and spacing broke down, and Donovan Mitchell’s inefficient night dragged the offense into mud despite Darius Garland’s production.

Mobley being out matters because it impacts both ends. Cleveland loses rim pressure, interior finishing, and a major defensive safety net, which forces them to be sharper with perimeter containment and defensive rebounding. The upside is that Cleveland has already shown they can score enough to win this matchup, and they’ve dominated the series lately by applying steady pressure over four quarters.

Chicago Bulls Recent performance

Chicago’s last nine games have been rough at both ends. The defense has allowed too many clean looks, and the offense has leaned heavily on threes even when they aren’t falling. The loss to New Orleans was another example: the game was there early in the fourth, then turnovers and empty possessions decided it.

Coby White’s shooting dip is a key storyline. If he’s not punishing defenses from deep, Chicago’s spacing tightens and it becomes harder to create easy paint looks without forcing tough drives. The Bulls have enough playmaking to keep this close, but they need a cleaner fourth quarter than they’ve shown recently, and they can’t afford to spot Cleveland extended runs.

Cleveland has the more reliable “floor” even with their recent struggles, mainly because Chicago’s defense and late-game ball security have been unstable. The Bulls can absolutely cover if they shoot well and keep turnovers down, but that’s been the exact problem area.

The total is the swing market. A 243.5 number assumes sustained scoring, but both teams have been inconsistent in shot quality and rhythm. If Cleveland plays with more control to stop the bleeding and Chicago has another poor three-point night, the scoring can land well below the number even if the pace looks decent early.

If you’re also tracking how this game fits into the division picture, use NBA Central Division odds.

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Best bet and Prediction

Best bet: Under 243.5.

This is the best bet because both teams are currently playing like groups trying to stop mistakes, not teams operating with clean offensive flow. Cleveland’s recent issues include inefficient shooting nights, and Chicago’s offense has been streaky while their turnovers create empty possessions that kill scoring pace. With Mobley out, Cleveland is also more likely to simplify into slower, more deliberate possessions rather than play a wide-open game for 48 minutes.

Prediction: Cavaliers 121, Bulls 115.

For additional angles and slate context, use NBA picks.

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