Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Predictions November 17th 2025

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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Milwaukee Bucks at Rocket Arena in a Central Division clash. Cleveland enters at 9-5, riding Donovan Mitchell’s late-game heroics, while Milwaukee sits at 8-6 after a blowout loss to the Lakers. Bettors will weigh the Cavaliers’ home-court advantage against the Bucks’ elite shooting efficiency led by Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Cavaliers Spread: -6.5 (-111)
  • Bucks Spread: +6.5 (-110)
  • Cavaliers MoneyLine: -260
  • Bucks MoneyLine: +214
  • Total: 237.5

Cleveland opened as a moderate home favorite, reflecting their stronger record and Milwaukee’s inconsistency. See full NBA odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Cleveland Cavaliers Outlook

Donovan Mitchell scored 30 in the win over Memphis, sparking a decisive fourth-quarter run. Evan Mobley added 22 points and 13 rebounds, while Jarrett Allen chipped in 16. Cleveland averages 121.1 points per game, ranking 7th, and leads the league in three-point attempts (46.1 per game). Injuries to Darius Garland, Jaylon Tyson, and Max Strus have hurt depth, but Mitchell’s scoring keeps them competitive.

Milwaukee Bucks Outlook

Giannis Antetokounmpo posted 32 points, 10 rebounds, and 5 assists in the loss to the Lakers. Milwaukee ranks 3rd in FG% (50.2%) and 2nd in three-point percentage (41.1%), showing elite efficiency. Their effective field goal percentage leads the league at 58.9%. Secondary scoring remains inconsistent, with Myles Turner and Kyle Kuzma combining for just four points in their last outing.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The Cavaliers must rely on Mitchell’s scoring and Mobley’s rebounding to offset injuries. The Bucks need Giannis to dominate while finding consistent support from role players. Cleveland’s pace and perimeter volume versus Milwaukee’s efficiency will decide the outcome.

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Injuries / Availability

Cleveland lists Darius Garland (toe), Jaylon Tyson (concussion), and Max Strus (foot) as out. For full player status, check the Cavaliers injury report.

Milwaukee has no major new injuries reported, though fatigue has been a factor in recent games. See the Bucks injury page for latest updates.

Environment

The game tips at Rocket Arena, where Cleveland is 6-2 at home. Milwaukee is 3-4 on the road, wrapping up a three-in-four stretch. Expect Cleveland’s pace to push possessions, while Milwaukee leans on efficiency to stay close.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Cavaliers 120, Bucks 115

  • Best Bet: Bucks +6.5
    Milwaukee’s shooting efficiency and Giannis’ production give them value to cover in a tight contest.
  • Total: Under 237.5
    Our model projects 235 points, leaning under given both teams’ defensive metrics.

Cleveland’s home-court edge makes them favorites, but Milwaukee’s efficiency suggests a close finish. Expect a competitive divisional matchup that trends under the total.

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