Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets Picks and Predictions January 12th 2026

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Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions – January 12, 2026

The Brooklyn Nets head south to face the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Monday, January 12, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET as the Mavericks look to continue climbing in the Western Conference standings, while Brooklyn fights to stay in the East play-in mix. Dallas opens as a 4-point home favorite, with the total set at 221.5. The moneyline odds are Brooklyn +141 and Dallas -168.

This is the only regular season meeting between these two squads, and while it may not feel marquee at a glance, there’s sneaky betting value depending on how you view late-game execution and pace control. The Mavs have won five of six and are stabilizing with a mostly healthy roster. Brooklyn remains volatile, flashing upside one night and going cold the next. Both teams are in relatively normal rest spots, so we should get a fair fight — and an edge to bet into.

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Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

These are the current lines for Nets vs Mavericks. As always, monitor the latest NBA odds closer to game time for movement on the spread or total.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Brooklyn Nets+141+4.0 (-111)O 221.5 (-111)
Dallas Mavericks-168-4.0 (-110)U 221.5 (-111)

Brooklyn Nets Betting Form

Brooklyn enters at 18–21, sitting 10th in the East and clinging to play-in relevance. The Nets are 7–13 on the road and just 3–7 ATS in their last 10. It’s been a season of inconsistent stretches: defensive effort comes and goes, and the offense can dry up when Cam Thomas or Mikal Bridges isn’t carrying them.

Offensively, the Nets play at a below-average pace and lean on quick swing passes to generate threes. They rank 9th in 3-point attempt rate but just 19th in efficiency, so it’s high variance. Their offense struggles late in games due to a lack of a true initiator — Spencer Dinwiddie has regressed, and Ben Simmons remains limited. Their half-court sets often stall unless Thomas gets hot in isolation.

Defensively, Brooklyn is middle-of-the-pack in efficiency. They struggle defending the rim (bottom 10 in opponent FG% at the rim) and allow a lot of offensive rebounds. That’s a problem against teams with spacing, as they’re often pulled out of position. Still, when Claxton is active, the Nets can at least contest at the point of attack and keep things respectable.

Monitor the Brooklyn Nets injury report for updates on Simmons and DFS, as both swing their defensive ceiling. For deeper numbers and recent game trends, check the Brooklyn Nets stats and results.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Form

The Mavericks sit at 24–15 and 4th in the Western Conference, going 12–7 at home and 5–1 in their last six overall. Luka Dončić continues to post MVP-level numbers, and with Kyrie Irving back in the mix, Dallas has two top-tier shot creators in crunch time — a huge advantage against teams like Brooklyn that struggle to close.

Dallas plays a methodical style (24th in pace), but their offense is elite in half-court execution. They rank 3rd in offensive efficiency and 4th in 3-point rate. Spacing is a strength — Grant Williams, Tim Hardaway Jr., and rookie Olivier-Maxence Prosper have provided competent perimeter shooting, keeping defenders honest. Luka controls tempo and draws help on nearly every touch, which creates clean catch-and-shoot looks across the board.

Defensively, Dallas is vulnerable inside. They give up the 3rd-most points in the paint and struggle with second-chance points. But they rarely foul and force mid-range attempts, so their overall defensive efficiency is passable. They’re 4–2 ATS in their last six and continue to trend upward now that rotations have stabilized.

Watch the Dallas Mavericks injury report for any late scratches — especially for Kyrie or role players. For more form analysis, see the full Dallas Mavericks schedule and stats.

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Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks Matchup Breakdown

This is a clash of styles. Brooklyn wants to keep the game slow, avoid transition, and make it a rock fight. Dallas is happy to do the same — but the difference is, they’re far better at executing in those conditions.

The Mavericks should be able to get quality threes and deep paint touches through Luka’s drives and pick-and-roll action. Brooklyn’s defense often collapses and gives up corner looks, which Dallas is equipped to knock down.

Key angles to consider:

  • Dallas shoots more threes (4th in 3PA%) and makes more (6th in 3P%) than Brooklyn.
  • Mavs have a massive edge in late-game creation (Luka/Kyrie vs Thomas/Bridges).
  • Rebounding is close, but Claxton gives Brooklyn a slight edge on the glass.
  • Both teams are bottom 10 in pace — so total projects cleanly to the Under unless it gets up-tempo early.

Brooklyn may try to attack Luka defensively, but he’s improved at walling off drives and gets help quickly. If the Nets can’t create turnovers and push in transition, they’ll likely need a hot shooting night to cover or win. This feels like a slow, structured game where Dallas controls tempo and leverages spacing.

Want to learn more about how pace, efficiency, and shot profiles affect lines? Our NBA betting guide has everything from basic terms to advanced strategies.

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Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Best Bets

Let’s be clear: Dallas is the better team in almost every category that matters here. They’ve been stronger at home, are healthier, and have a major edge in creation. The spread feels short at -4, especially given how poorly Brooklyn executes late. If this line stays under -5, it’s a play on the Mavs.

The Nets will keep it close if they get a ceiling performance from Cam Thomas or if Dallas goes cold from three. But both feel unlikely in this spot. Expect the Mavs to get separation in the third and fourth quarters once Luka starts hunting switches.

As for the total, 221.5 is in the right range but leans slightly high. With both teams playing slow, few transition points, and minimal free-throw volume, this shapes up as a grind. The Under has value unless either team shoots well above expected from deep.

If you’re looking for derivative angles, Dallas team total Over 112.5 or Brooklyn Under 109.5 might pop, but the main play here is side value.

Best Bet: Mavericks -4.0 (-110).

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