Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions January 22nd 2026

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Game Preview

Golden State is adjusting on the fly with Jimmy Butler done for the season, and that has opened the door for Jonathan Kuminga to re-enter the rotation in a real way. The first look was encouraging — energy, rim pressure, and instant scoring off the bench — and that matters because the Warriors need secondary punch behind their top options.

Dallas is playing some of its cleanest basketball of the season, but the rotation is still thin. When the Mavericks are short-handed, the margin comes down to pace, shot-making, and whether they can survive the non-creator minutes without giving up a run.

Warriors vs Mavericks Odds

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Golden State Warriors	-205	-5.5 (-110)	O 233.5 (-108)
Dallas Mavericks	+170	+5.5 (-110)	U 233.5 (-112)

Golden State Warriors Betting Form

Golden State’s path without Butler is pretty clear: defend hard enough to keep the game from turning into a track meet, then manufacture efficient offense through ball movement and decisive bench minutes. Kuminga matters because he gives them a direct rim-attacking option that can punish second units and keep the offense from becoming too jump-shot heavy.

For recent results, splits, and matchup context, use the Golden State Warriors team page.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Form

Dallas has been winning with pace and confidence, and the bench has carried real minutes during this run. That’s the good news. The challenge is sustainability when you’re missing multiple rotation pieces — it shrinks the number of ways you can score when the opponent tightens the screws defensively.

For home splits and current form, use the Dallas Mavericks team page.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Matchup Breakdown

This matchup is about depth minutes and control.

• Golden State’s edge: more lineup flexibility and more ways to create offense without needing one guy to play hero ball every trip. If Kuminga and the second unit win their minutes, Golden State can separate.
• Dallas’ edge: pace and spacing. If the Mavericks are making threes early, they can keep this in the one- to two-possession range deep into the fourth.
• Swing factor: who survives the cold stretch. Dallas can’t afford long empty runs with a thin rotation, and Golden State is more built to weather five-minute scoring droughts.

Latest Betting Trends

• The market is pricing Golden State as the road favorite in the mid-single digits.
• The total is sitting in the low 230s range, signaling an expectation of pace and made threes.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Best Bets

I’m laying it with Golden State. Dallas has been sharp, but the matchup gets tougher when the opponent can bring multiple scoring waves, and the Warriors’ rotation has a clearer path to winning the middle of the game if Kuminga stays aggressive again.

Best Bet: Warriors -5.5 (-110) 

Picks and Handicappers

For the full slate, start with NBA picks and compare game context across the NBA previews hub so you’re not betting one matchup in a vacuum. Keep NBA odds in your workflow for number discipline as lineups update closer to tip, and use the NBA expert betting guide to stay consistent on sides, totals, and timing when the market moves late. If you want to follow proven long-term performance, check the handicappers leaderboard, and if you’re ready to scale volume with more structure, you can buy picks and build your card around repeatable edges instead of chasing last game’s box score.