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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets host the Golden State Warriors on Friday, November 7, 2025, at Ball Arena in a pivotal NBA Cup matchup. The Nuggets need a win to stay alive in West Group C after a narrow loss to Portland, while the Warriors begin their tournament campaign looking to bounce back from a short-handed loss to Sacramento. This is the second meeting between the teams this season — Golden State won the first 137-131 in overtime behind a late Steph Curry surge.
Line Movement and Odds
Denver enters as a 10-point home favorite. The total is set at 228.5. The Nuggets are 4-0 at home this season and have covered in three of those games. Golden State is 5-4 overall but just 1-4 on the road. The Warriors are +329 on the moneyline, while the Nuggets are -425. Full odds breakdown available on ScoresAndStats NBA Picks.
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Matchup Breakdown
Denver Nuggets Outlook
Nikola Jokic continues to dominate, averaging 24.1 points, 13.4 rebounds, and 12 assists per game. He’s already recorded five triple-doubles this season and led Denver to a 122-112 win over Miami with a 33-15-16 line. The Nuggets are second in the NBA in scoring at 124.6 points per game and third in field goal percentage (50.3%). Jamal Murray (22.7), Aaron Gordon (20.4), and Christian Braun (12.4) provide consistent support, while Tim Hardaway Jr. leads the bench with 11.3 points and 44.7% shooting from deep. Denver’s only offensive concern is Cameron Johnson, averaging just 8.6 points — his lowest since his rookie year.
Golden State Warriors Outlook
The Warriors are expected to get Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler, and Draymond Green back after all three missed the Sacramento game. Curry leads the team with 26.8 points per game, Butler adds 19.0, and Green anchors the defense with 6.4 assists. Rookie Will Richard made the most of his opportunity, scoring 30 points in 34 minutes, while Moses Moody added 28. Golden State leads the league in three-pointers made per game (16.4) and ranks 11th in effective field goal percentage (56.4). Their ability to score from deep keeps them competitive, even when short-handed.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Jokic vs. Green will be the focal point. Denver’s offense flows through Jokic’s vision and post presence, while Green’s defensive IQ and physicality could disrupt that rhythm. Golden State must limit turnovers and hit threes at volume to stay in the game. If Curry and Butler are sharp, the Warriors can push Denver late. For the Nuggets, controlling the glass and maintaining their offensive tempo will be key to covering the spread and securing a must-win NBA Cup victory.
Injuries / Availability
Stephen Curry (illness), Jimmy Butler (back), and Draymond Green (ribs) are expected to return. Denver has no major injuries reported and will have its full rotation available.
Environment
Ball Arena has been a fortress for the Nuggets, who are 4-0 at home this season. Golden State has struggled on the road, dropping four of five away games. The altitude and Denver’s offensive pace could wear down a Warriors team still regaining full health.
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Best Bets and Prediction
- Warriors +10.0
- Under 228.5
Golden State’s perimeter shooting and returning stars give them a chance to keep this close. Our model projects a 120-115 Denver win, making the Warriors a strong pick to cover. While both teams can score, their defenses are underrated — the under 228.5 is a solid lean in what could be a tighter contest than expected.
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