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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets visit the Phoenix Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Saturday NBA Cup action. Denver enters with a 13-5 record and elite offensive metrics, while Phoenix looks to defend home court and snap back from a narrow loss. Bettors must weigh the Nuggets’ scoring efficiency against the Suns’ perimeter shooting and defensive balance.
Line Movement and Odds
- Nuggets Spread: -5.5 (-113)
- Suns Spread: +5.5 (-107)
- Nuggets MoneyLine: -218
- Suns MoneyLine: +187
- Total: 233.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Denver opened as road favorites given their offensive dominance. See full NBA odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Denver Nuggets Outlook
Denver fell 139-136 to San Antonio despite Jamal Murray’s 37 points on 65% shooting and Nikola Jokić’s near triple-double. The Nuggets lead the league in scoring (124.5 PPG) and effective FG% (58.0). They shoot 38.0% from three and rank 13th in points allowed (115.2). Their rebounding edge (46.0 per game) and ability to limit opponents to 32.5% from deep give them control of possessions and pace.
Phoenix Suns Outlook
Phoenix dropped a 4-point decision to Oklahoma City, with Devin Booker scoring 21 and Collin Gillespie adding 24. The Suns rank sixth in threes made (15.1 per game) and fifth in three-point percentage (37.7). Defensively, they allow 113.2 points per game (seventh) and hold opponents to 34.6% from three. Their balanced shooting and defense provide a path to compete against Denver’s firepower.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Denver’s offensive efficiency vs Phoenix’s perimeter defense. If the Nuggets maintain shooting splits and rebounding control, they can cover. The Suns must spike three-point volume and force Denver into contested looks to stay inside the number.
Injuries / Availability
Denver reports a healthy rotation led by Jokić and Murray. For full player status, check the Nuggets injury report.
Phoenix lists no major new injuries. See the Suns injury report for latest updates.
Environment
Mortgage Matchup Center provides Phoenix a strong home edge (8-3). Denver’s 7-2 road record shows resilience, but pace and shot quality will dictate totals. Both teams thrive in high-possession games, favoring an over lean.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Nuggets 124, Suns 116
- Nuggets -5.5 (-113) → Best Bet. Denver’s offensive metrics and rebounding edge suggest they cover on the road.
- Over 233.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 241 points, leaning over given both teams’ scoring profiles.
Denver’s efficiency and depth should secure the win, while Phoenix’s perimeter shooting keeps it competitive. Expect the Nuggets to cover with the total trending over.
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