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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets begin their 2025-26 season with a trip to San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors on Thursday night at Chase Center. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Golden State opened its campaign with a 119-109 win over the Lakers, led by Jimmy Butler’s 31 points and Jonathan Kuminga’s all-around effort. Denver, coming off a two-game edge over the Warriors in last year’s standings, will test its new roster anchored by Nikola Jokić and first-year starter Cameron Johnson.
The matchup renews a rivalry between recent NBA champions, and bettors can follow every update on our live NBA odds page
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Line Movement and Odds
Early action pushed the line from Nuggets -2 to roughly Warriors -1, showing support for the home side. The total sits around 233 after opening slightly higher. Public tickets have leaned toward Golden State, but early sharp money landed on Denver.
Last season, the Warriors went 28-14 ATS at home, while the Nuggets covered only 42 percent of their road games. That home/away split has driven much of the movement on this game. For full line updates and betting percentages, stay on top of the NBA odds feed.
Matchup Breakdown
Golden State’s offense showed balance against Los Angeles, with Butler drawing fouls and Kuminga adding scoring depth. Stephen Curry, who averaged 27.0 points in last year’s series with Denver, remains the key against the Nuggets’ slower-paced defense.
Denver adds Jonas Valančiūnas as a stabilizer behind Jokić, improving front-court depth that was thin last season. The Nuggets ranked top-five in assists but bottom-ten in opponent 3-point percentage. If the Warriors find rhythm beyond the arc, Denver could be chasing.
Visit our NBA previews section for more matchup breakdowns and team reports before placing any tickets.
Injuries and Conditions
Golden State Warriors
- Moses Moody (out, calf)
- De’Anthony Melton (out, knee)
Denver Nuggets
- No new reported injuries; full rotation expected.
Get real-time updates from the Warriors injury report and Nuggets injury report
Indoor venue, no weather factors.
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Best Bets and Prediction
The Warriors’ pace and shot quality at home point toward value on the home side ATS. Denver’s offense should find its rhythm later in the season as new pieces mesh.
Projected score: Warriors 116, Nuggets 112
Best Bet: Warriors -1 spread
Secondary lean: Under 233 total
For more betting analysis, check our expert Bettors Handbook and the latest free NBA picks from top handicappers.
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