Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons Picks and Predictions March 8th 2025

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons March 8th 2025

At 8:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-238) will host the Detroit Pistons (+197) in a non-conference matchup. The Warriors are currently favored by 6.5 points and have won three straight games. The Pistons are 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 35-28, while the Warriors are 6th in the Western Conference with the same record.

This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line for this game is 233.5 points.

Pistons vs. Warriors Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Detroit Pistons at Golden State Warriors
• Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
• Date: Saturday, March 8th
• Betting Odds GS -6.5, DET +197 | GS -238 O/U 233.5

The Pistons Can Win If…

The Pistons fell to 35-28 on the season after a 123-115 road loss to the Clippers on Wednesday. Detroit, favored by 3.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 238, surpassing the over/under line of 220.5 by 17.5 points.

Detroit overcame an early 12-0 run by the Clippers and took a 57-56 lead at halftime. However, after a tight 3rd quarter, the Pistons couldn’t keep up in the 4th, where they were outscored 32-26.

In the Pistons’ 123-115 loss to the Clippers, Cade Cunningham led the way with 37 points, 10 assists, and 7 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field. Dennis Schröder added 21 points, hitting 5 threes at 55.6% efficiency, while Malik Beasley contributed 14 points, making 4 threes at 40%.

Detroit shot 52.3% overall, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 31.4% with 11 made threes. Cunningham scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, and Beasley added 9 in the 4th.

Defensively, the Pistons struggled against the Clippers, giving up 123 points on 55% shooting. Detroit allowed 32 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters and 34 in the 3rd, though they did hold the Clippers to 25 points in the 2nd.

From beyond the arc, the Clippers hit 13 threes at a 54% clip. The Pistons sent the Clippers to the line 26 times, where they made 22 free throws. Detroit finished with 29 defensive rebounds, allowing 6 offensive boards, and recorded 5 steals and 2 blocks.

• When looking at their past five road matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 130 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
• Detroit has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
• Over their last five games, the Pistons have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors improved to 35-28 this season with a 121-119 win over the Nets on Thursday. Despite being favored by 11 points, Golden State didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 240 points exceeded the O/U line of 225.5 by 14.5 points.

Golden State’s comeback began after the Nets went on a 17-0 run early in the game. The Warriors responded by outscoring Brooklyn 40-25 in the 2nd quarter. They continued to chip away at the lead, heading into the 4th quarter down 89-86, and finished strong by outscoring the Nets 35-30 in the final period.

Stephen Curry’s 40-point performance, including 14 in the 4th quarter, led the Warriors to a 121-119 win over the Nets. Curry hit 7 threes, shooting 53.8% from deep and 60% overall. Jimmy Butler added 25 points, with 11 in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 4th.

Golden State shot 48.8% from the field, making 12 threes at a 37.5% clip. Gary Payton contributed 16 points, scoring 6 in both the 1st and 4th quarters.

Despite giving up 119 points on 50% shooting, the Warriors managed to hold off the Nets on Thursday. Golden State’s defense tightened up in the 2nd quarter, allowing just 25 points, but they still gave up 30 in the 4th.

The Warriors struggled to defend the three, with Brooklyn hitting 15 threes at a 45% clip. Golden State sent the Nets to the line 18 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Warriors finished with 30 defensive rebounds, allowing 8 offensive boards, and recorded 3 steals and 4 blocks.

• When looking at their past three matchups at home, Golden State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
• In their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.

The Lean

As the underdogs with a spread of +6.5, we recommend going with the Pistons on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 233.5, and our model projects the Pistons and Warriors to reach a combined total of 241 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

Streaking Warriors Open Homestand vs. Surging Pistons

The Golden State Warriors can finally settle in at home after a successful five-game road trip, and they’ll do so with plenty of momentum.

Winners of 10 of their last 12 games, the Warriors return to Chase Center for a season-long seven-game homestand, starting with a matchup against the red-hot Detroit Pistons on Saturday night.

Warriors Catching Fire, Led by Scorching Stephen Curry

Golden State capped its road trip with a thrilling 121-119 victory over Brooklyn on Thursday, overcoming a 22-point deficit behind a vintage 40-point performance from Stephen Curry.

Curry was unstoppable during the road swing, averaging 34.8 points and hitting 32-of-62 three-pointers (51.6%) across the five-game stretch.

“Steph just had an incredible trip,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. “Put on a show in every city. What he does, it’s amazing. The show he puts on, the joy that he brings to so many fans who come to see him play. Every fan base loves Steph.”

Now, Warriors fans at Chase Center get to enjoy Curry’s dominant stretch up close as the team prepares for two weeks at home.

Jimmy Butler’s Arrival Has Changed Everything

Golden State’s dramatic turnaround coincides with the blockbuster trade for Jimmy Butler, a move that reshaped the team’s identity and elevated its confidence.

Butler delivered 25 points, six assists, and three steals in the win over Brooklyn, and he’s averaging 17.1 points, 5.4 assists, and 5 rebounds in 11 games with the Warriors.

The impact of his presence goes beyond the numbers, as his leadership and defensive tenacity have fueled Golden State’s surge.

“We can get great looks, and ultimately we know we can get stops,” forward Draymond Green said. “When you have confidence in both of those, there’s no need to waver. Steph was right. We were not built to come back like that (before the trade). But this is a totally different team. Totally different confidence level in this team.”

Pistons Also Rolling Despite Recent Setback

Like the Warriors, the Pistons have won 10 of their last 12 games, emerging as one of the hottest teams in the league.

However, Detroit suffered a 123-115 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday, as James Harden erupted for 50 points and went to the free-throw line 20 times.

“Give (Harden) a ton of credit,” Pistons coach JB Bickerstaff said. “But if you’re not allowed to put your body on him legally, and he’s allowed to shoot 20 free throws, you’re not going to be able to guard it.”

Despite the loss, Cade Cunningham continued to shine, posting 37 points and 10 assists.

Cunningham has established himself as the Pistons’ undisputed leader, but he was frustrated with the lack of foul calls compared to Harden’s frequent trips to the line.

“He’s been in this league killing for a long time, so I understand that. I respect it,” Cunningham said. “It’s hard for me to respect getting hit and not getting a call.”

Explore the latest NBA Championship odds and expert predictions to uncover which teams are primed for the title

What’s at Stake?

For the Warriors, this homestand represents an opportunity to solidify their playoff push, with a chance to continue climbing the Western Conference standings.

For the Pistons, a win over a streaking Golden State squad on its home floor would serve as further proof that their recent surge is no fluke.

With two of the NBA’s hottest teams colliding, expect a high-energy showdown as Curry and Butler lead Golden State against Cunningham and the upstart Pistons.