Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Predictions January 7th 2026

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Golden State resumes a critical homestand Wednesday night with Milwaukee visiting Chase Center. The Warriors are in the middle of a stretch with 10 of 11 games at home, making every result meaningful as they try to stabilize after injuries and uneven execution. Stephen Curry scored 27 in Monday’s narrow loss to the Clippers, but foul trouble and late-game chaos defined the finish.

Milwaukee arrives playing confident basketball. The Bucks have won four of five and are coming off a dominant road win in Sacramento, where Giannis Antetokounmpo posted 37 points and 11 rebounds in only 32 minutes. The supporting cast continues to grow, and Milwaukee’s offense looks sharper with improved guard play.

For broader matchup context, visit the NBA previews hub.

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Line Movement and Odds

Milwaukee opened -3 and has moved to -4, driven by Giannis’ availability and recent form. Golden State sits at +4, drawing interest from bettors backing the home-heavy schedule and bounce-back potential.

The total opened at 234.5 and has ticked up to 236, reflecting Milwaukee’s offensive efficiency and Golden State’s willingness to push pace at home. Moneyline pricing favors the Bucks, with spread and total seeing the most action.

Track real-time changes on the NBA odds board.

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Matchup Breakdown

Golden State’s path is perimeter execution and ball security. Curry remains the engine, and Jimmy Butler III provides secondary creation when spacing holds. The Warriors defended well against the Clippers and forced turnovers, but shot-making deserted them. If those looks fall, Golden State can stay competitive.

Milwaukee’s advantage is inside-out pressure. Giannis collapses defenses, opening space for shooters and cutters. Ryan Rollins and Kevin Porter Jr. have added stability to the backcourt, and Rollins’ ability to handle extended minutes changes Milwaukee’s pace. The Bucks also punished Golden State earlier this season, even without Giannis.

For additional betting perspectives, review the latest NBA picks.

Injuries and Conditions

Golden State Warriors

  • Draymond Green, rib contusion, probable
  • Andrew Wiggins, knee, questionable

See full Golden State Warriors injury report.

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Khris Middleton, ankle, probable
  • Brook Lopez, back, probable

See full Milwaukee Bucks injury report.

This game is indoors. No weather impact.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Milwaukee enters with the more consistent offense and a clear interior edge. Golden State’s defensive effort has improved, but scoring droughts remain an issue late in games. The matchup leans toward the Bucks unless the Warriors shoot efficiently from deep.

Projected Score: Bucks 121, Warriors 114
Best Bet: Bucks -4
Secondary Lean: Over 236

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