Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Predictions December 12th 2025

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Golden State Warriors (13-12) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (15-9) on Friday night at Chase Center. Stephen Curry is expected to return from injury, while Anthony Edwards continues his scoring tear for Minnesota.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Golden State Warriors Spread: -4.5 (-109)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves Spread: +4.5 (-113)
  • Golden State Warriors MoneyLine: -167
  • Minnesota Timberwolves MoneyLine: +140
  • Total: 228.5

Golden State opened as a modest home favorite, with the line reflecting Curry’s anticipated return and the Warriors’ strong perimeter shooting. Minnesota’s offensive surge, led by Edwards’ recent 40-point games, has kept the spread relatively tight. The total of 228.5 points suggests expectations for a high-scoring contest, with both teams ranking among the league’s top offenses. Bettors will weigh Golden State’s defensive efficiency against Minnesota’s ability to push tempo and score in bunches. See updated numbers and market shifts on the NBA Odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Golden State Warriors Outlook

The Warriors swept Cleveland and Chicago without Curry, showing resilience. Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III, and Quinten Post stepped up offensively. Golden State leads the league in three-pointers made (15.9 per game) and ranks fourth in points allowed (111.7). Curry’s return adds elite scoring and playmaking, while Draymond Green and Al Horford remain sidelined. Jonathan Kuminga’s role is uncertain after recent struggles, but the Warriors’ depth has carried them through.

Minnesota Timberwolves Outlook

Minnesota fell 108-105 to Phoenix despite Edwards’ 40-point effort. Edwards has four 40-point games in his last nine outings, cementing his status as one of the league’s premier scorers. Jaylen Clark’s defensive presence has boosted the Timberwolves, who are unbeaten when he plays 14+ minutes. Minnesota averages 119.6 points per game (7th in NBA) and shoots 38.3% from three. Their defense allows 114.8 points per game but limits opponents to 46.3% shooting, giving them balance on both ends.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Curry’s perimeter shooting against Minnesota’s defensive schemes is the focal battle. The Warriors must capitalize on their three-point advantage, while the Timberwolves rely on Edwards’ scoring and Clark’s defensive impact to stay competitive.

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Injuries / Availability

Golden State: Stephen Curry (quad) expected to return; Draymond Green (foot) out; Al Horford (back) out.
Minnesota: Full roster available.

  • Golden State has won two straight games without Curry.
  • Minnesota is 12-0 when Jaylen Clark plays 14+ minutes.
  • Anthony Edwards has four 40-point games in his last nine outings.
  • The Warriors lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Golden State 115, Minnesota 113

  • Pick: Minnesota +4.5. Edwards’ scoring and Minnesota’s balanced attack should keep this close.
  • Total: Under 228.5. Both defenses are capable of slowing pace enough to keep scoring just below the line.

Expect a competitive battle, with Curry’s return boosting Golden State but Minnesota’s offense keeping the game tight.

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