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Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions – January 13, 2026
The Golden State Warriors return to Chase Center on Tuesday night to host the struggling Portland Trail Blazers. Tipoff is set for 10:00 PM ET in San Francisco, with the Warriors sitting at 20–19 and pushing for position in the Western Conference Play-In mix. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers enter at 10–28, firmly in developmental mode and riding a five-game losing streak.
Golden State wrapped up a four-game road trip with a convincing win over Chicago and now benefits from two full days of rest before this matchup. Portland is in the opposite spot — playing their third game in four nights and coming off a 127–96 blowout loss to the Suns. With that schedule imbalance and the sharp contrast in current form, the Warriors are heavy -9.5 favorites, with the total sitting at 224.5. The moneyline favors Golden State at -421, while Portland sits at +329.
NBA Lines Before They Move
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Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Odds
Here are the current betting lines for Tuesday’s matchup. Always track movement on the latest NBA odds page to stay updated as injury news and betting action shift prices.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers | +329 | +9.5 (-106) | O 224.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | -421 | -9.5 (-114) | U 224.5 (-110) |
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Form
There’s no sugarcoating it — Portland is outmatched most nights. The team is 2–8 SU in its last ten and just 3–7 ATS in that span. Offensively, they lack a true engine. Anfernee Simons is doing his best to carry the load, but without consistent support and efficient spacing, the Blazers rank near the bottom of the league in offensive rating. Their three-point volume is average, but they convert at just 34.1%, and their shot diet is overly reliant on mid-range looks that don’t stretch defenses.
Defensively, the issues are even more glaring. Over the last ten games, Portland is allowing 120.7 points per 100 possessions, bottom-three in the NBA. They’ve also allowed opponents to shoot 39.4% from three in that stretch, a nightmare when facing a Warriors team that thrives on perimeter movement. The Blazers don’t generate many deflections or steals either, ranking 28th in turnover rate forced, so they rarely flip momentum with their defense.
Rebounding is another recurring problem. Deandre Ayton has missed time, and without him, the Blazers rank 26th in defensive rebounding rate. That leaves them vulnerable to second-chance points — another area where Golden State can capitalize.
Availability remains a concern, so be sure to check the Portland Trail Blazers injury report leading up to tip. You can also dig into Portland Trail Blazers stats and results for a deeper read on their trends.
Golden State Warriors Betting Form
The Warriors aren’t lighting up the standings, but their form has improved significantly since Draymond Green’s return and some rotation tweaks by Steve Kerr. They’ve won three of their last four and covered the spread in each of those wins. Most importantly, they’ve tightened things up on the defensive end — a trend that makes them more trustworthy against bad teams.
Golden State remains a perimeter-heavy offense, ranking top five in 3PT attempt rate and assists per made basket. Stephen Curry is still the focal point, but the bench has stepped up lately, with Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, and Moses Moody contributing valuable minutes. That depth advantage should matter in a game where pace and fatigue will play a role.
At home, the Warriors typically play with more tempo and spacing. They’re averaging 118.6 points per game at Chase Center and have covered in four of their last six home contests. Against bad defenses, their system usually generates open looks early in the shot clock — and if Portland doesn’t rotate or contest, this could turn into a runaway.
Defensively, they’ve looked more disciplined in recent games, switching less aimlessly and cleaning up some help-side breakdowns. They’ve held three of their last five opponents under 110 points, and with Portland ranking 28th in offensive efficiency, the Under is definitely live here.
Monitor the Golden State Warriors injury report and check the Golden State Warriors schedule and stats for situational trends before making your final bet.
Golden State Warriors
vs
Portland Trail Blazers
Open
vs
Jan 13, 2026 23:10 EST
–
Score
–
-10.50 -110
Spread
+10.50 -110
o+225.50-110
Total
u+225.50-110
-400
Moneyline
+310
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Atlanta Hawks
Open
vs
Jan 13, 2026 22:40 EST
–
Score
–
+2.00 -110
Spread
-2.00 -110
o+234.50-115
Total
u+234.50-105
+112
Moneyline
-132
Oklahoma City Thunder
vs
San Antonio Spurs
Open
vs
Jan 13, 2026 20:10 EST
–
Score
–
-6.50 -110
Spread
+6.50 -110
o+228.00-110
Total
u+228.00-110
-278
Moneyline
+220
Trail Blazers vs Warriors Matchup Breakdown
This is a bad situational and stylistic spot for Portland. They’re coming off a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. Golden State is rested and has the depth to push the pace without tiring out early. That alone creates a big possession and efficiency gap.
Matchup-wise, the Warriors should dominate in several areas:
- Turnovers: Warriors generate more takeaways; Blazers cough it up frequently, especially against pressure.
- Three-point shooting: Portland is bottom-five in opponent 3P%; Golden State thrives on off-ball movement and open threes.
- Rebounding: Without Ayton, the Blazers are soft on the glass; Warriors have been improving in second-chance points.
- Transition scoring: Warriors rank top 10 in transition offense; Blazers allow 1.15 points per transition possession, per tracking data.
Portland also lacks the defensive personnel to chase Golden State off the line. Simons and Scoot Henderson have been targeted regularly on switches, and with Golden State’s screening and spacing, breakdowns feel inevitable.
The total is tricky. If Portland can score even moderately well, the Over has a path — but their floor is so low that even a Warriors explosion might not be enough. Golden State has also slowed games late when up big, and Portland doesn’t foul often in garbage time, which could keep the scoring total in check.
If you want more nuance on this kind of stylistic capping, check out our NBA betting guide for advanced tips and strategy.
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Trail Blazers vs Warriors Predictions and Best Bets
There’s no debate about who the better team is — but laying -9.5 always requires a bit of caution. Still, in this case, I believe the market is correct. The Warriors have the rest, the depth, the motivation (tight Western standings), and the matchup edges across the board. Portland’s travel and fatigue factor just compound the mismatch.
Golden State should control the tempo, punish Portland’s transition defense, and bury them early from three. If they come out focused, this could be over by halftime. I’m not looking to get cute with Portland covering late — their bench is inefficient, and late-game variance works against them here.
As for the total, I lean Under 224.5. Portland doesn’t have the firepower to keep pace for four quarters, and Golden State doesn’t run up the score unless necessary. There’s blowout risk, which often stalls second-half scoring. If you want a tighter angle, consider the Portland team total Under.
Final note — if props are available, look at Kuminga points or Warriors 3PT props. Portland’s defense gives up both with ease.
Best Bet: Warriors -9.5 (-114).
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