Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Picks and Predictions May 27th 2025

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The Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks are set to meet for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Pacers lead the series 2-1 after a tough loss to the Knicks in Game 3. The game will take place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday, May 27, 2025, at 8:00 PM, and will be broadcast on TNT.

The Knicks are coming off a 106-100 victory, where they overcame a 20-point deficit. Karl-Anthony Towns was key in the win, scoring 20 of his 24 points in the fourth quarter. For the Pacers, Aaron Nesmith’s status is uncertain due to an ankle injury, which could impact their strategy. The game is crucial for both teams as the Pacers look to extend their lead, while the Knicks aim to level the series.

Knicks vs Pacers Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
  • Date: Tuesday, May 27, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Knicks Spread -2.0 (-107), Pacers Spread +2.0 (-112), Knicks MoneyLine +114, Pacers MoneyLine -134, Over/Under 220.5 (-110)

The Knicks Can Win If…

In their latest game, the New York Knicks pulled off a 106-100 win against the Indiana Pacers. Karl-Anthony Towns was key, scoring 20 of his 24 points in the fourth quarter. His 15 rebounds also helped the Knicks control the boards and secure the victory.

Jalen Brunson of the New York Knicks celebrating on the court after a play.

The Knicks’ strong road performance is highlighted by their 6-1 ATS record away from home in the postseason. Their defense is solid, allowing just 108.2 points per game, which ranks 11th in the league. These stats suggest they can limit the Pacers’ scoring and keep the game within reach.

New York’s ability to come back from large deficits, like their 20-point comeback in Game 3, shows their resilience. They have been successful as underdogs, with a 6-2 ATS record in that role. With Jalen Brunson having an impressive playoff run, the Knicks have the potential to win and even the series.


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The Pacers Can Win If…

The Indiana Pacers are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the New York Knicks in Game 3. Despite the setback, Tyrese Haliburton led the team with 20 points and six assists. Myles Turner also contributed with 19 points and solid shooting, showing the team’s depth and potential to win.

Statistically, the Pacers are strong offensively, ranking second in points per game at 117.6. They lead the league in field goal percentage at 49.9% and three-point percentage at 39.6%. Their ability to score efficiently gives them a solid chance to secure a victory in the next game.

Indiana Pacers players celebrating together on the basketball court during a game.

The Pacers have shown resilience in the postseason with a 9-4 ATS record. They are particularly strong as underdogs, holding a 7-2 ATS record in such situations. With Aaron Nesmith potentially returning from injury, the team could receive a boost in their defensive lineup, increasing their chances of success in Game 4.

The Lean

For the point spread pick, consider taking the Knicks at +2.0. The Pacers are the favorites, but the Knicks’ defense allows only 108.2 points per game, which ranks 11th. Our model projects a close game with the Knicks winning by a score of 110 to 108.

For the over/under pick, the recommendation is to go with the under 220.5. The Knicks’ games often involve lower scores, with their offense averaging 108.8 points per game. Our model projects a total score of 218, which suggests the under is a safer choice.

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Knicks Looking for Series Comeback vs. Pacers After Game 3 Rally

The New York Knicks were staring down a 3-0 hole in the Eastern Conference finals. Instead, they showed once again that no deficit is too daunting.

On Tuesday night, they’ll aim to even the series at 2-2 against the Indiana Pacers after staging their third 20-point comeback win of the postseason, stealing Game 3 on the road 106-100.

Much like their stunning wins against Boston in the previous round, New York clawed back behind a 36-20 fourth quarter, powered by a monster surge from Karl-Anthony Towns and rock-solid poise from Jalen Brunson.

“We saw that we were on the brink of it looking pretty dark for us. And the way we responded, I think it brings us closer together.”
— Jalen Brunson, Knicks Guard


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Towns’ Fourth Quarter Heroics Fuel Knicks

Karl-Anthony Towns exploded for 20 of his 24 points in the fourth quarter, joining Brunson as the only Knicks players ever to score 20+ in a playoff quarter. He added 15 rebounds, asserting himself as the team’s interior anchor just when it mattered most.

“The game wasn’t looking great for me or all of us… It’s a testament to my teammates to have trust in me.”
— Karl-Anthony Towns, Knicks Forward

Meanwhile, head coach Tom Thibodeau credited the comeback to pure playoff reality — no lead is safe in a game driven by pace and the 3-point shot.

Indiana Reeling, Nesmith Questionable

Indiana had all the momentum after building a 20-point lead but failed to close the door. Tyrese Haliburton acknowledged his struggles down the stretch and took responsibility for the Pacers’ stagnant offense in the second half.

Haliburton, who is averaging 21.7 points and 9.7 assists in the series, will need a stronger fourth-game showing to counter a Knicks team that seems unfazed by adversity.

The Pacers may also be without forward Aaron Nesmith, who sprained his right ankle in Game 3. Though he returned in the final quarter, he was clearly limited and is listed as questionable.

Game 4 Outlook

With New York thriving under pressure and Indiana looking to stabilize after letting a golden opportunity slip away, Game 4 promises to be another physical, emotional showdown. Bettors should keep a close eye on NBA Picks and Predictions for expert insights on where the value lies in this even matchup.


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