Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic Picks and Predictions April 11th 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic April 11th 2025

The Pacers (-317) will host the Magic (+257) at 7:00 ET in a matchup between two Eastern Conference teams. Indiana is favored by 7.5 points and has won six straight games. Orlando is currently on a four-game win streak and is 7th in the East.

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and can be seen on FDSI. The over/under line for this game is 218.5 points.

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Magic vs. Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers
• Where: Indianapolis at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Friday, April 11th
• Betting Odds IND -7.5, ORL +257 | IND -317 O/U 218.5

The Magic Can Win If…

Orlando moved to 40-40 on the season with a 96-76 win over the Celtics on Wednesday. The Magic were favored by eight points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 172 points fell well short of the 206-point over/under line.

Orlando took control with a 12-0 run, extending their lead from 29-23 to 41-23. They outscored Boston 31-20 in the third quarter and entered the fourth with an 80-61 lead, holding the Celtics to just 15 points in the final period.

In their win over the Celtics, the Magic scored 96 points, shooting 40.7% from the field. They hit 16 threes, shooting 35.6% from beyond the arc.

Franz Wagner led the way with 23 points and 8 rebounds, while Cole Anthony added 18 points, hitting 5 threes. Paolo Banchero contributed 15 points, with 9 coming in the 3rd quarter.

The Magic put on a defensive clinic against the Celtics, holding them to just 76 points. Orlando’s defense was consistent throughout, giving up 21 points in the 1st quarter and then tightening up even more, allowing 20 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, and just 15 in the 4th.

Orlando’s perimeter defense was especially strong, as they held Boston to 17% shooting from three-point range, with only 7 threes made. The Magic also sent the Celtics to the free-throw line just 6 times. Defensively, they grabbed 37 rebounds while allowing 9 offensive boards, and they added 5 steals and 3 blocks.

• In their last ten games away from home, the Magic have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 109 points per game in this stretch.
• Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Orlando has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the Magic have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

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The Pacers Can Win If…

With a 114-112 win over the Cavaliers on Thursday, the Pacers improved to 49-31 for the season. Indiana, who were favored by 10 points, didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 226 points fell short of the 234.5 O/U line.

Indiana went on a pivotal 12-0 run, turning a 76-68 deficit into an 80-76 lead. They entered the 4th quarter trailing 82-81 but outscored Cleveland 33-30 in the final period to secure the win.

In their win over the Cavaliers, the Pacers hit 14 threes, shooting 34.1% from deep and 46.2% overall. Tyrese Haliburton led with 23 points, 10 assists, and 4 threes, while Aaron Nesmith added 22 points, hitting 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

Jarace Walker contributed 15 points, making 3 threes at 75%. Haliburton scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter and 8 in the 4th, while Walker added 10 points in the final period.

Despite giving up 112 points, the Pacers’ defense held strong enough to secure the win over the Cavaliers. Indiana allowed 23 points in the 1st quarter and 26 in the 3rd, but Cleveland put up 33 in the 2nd and 30 in the 4th. Overall, the Pacers held the Cavaliers to 43% shooting from the field.

Indiana struggled to defend the three-point line, where Cleveland hit 17 threes on 45% shooting. The Pacers sent the Cavaliers to the free-throw line 13 times, where they made 9. On the boards, Indiana gave up 11 offensive rebounds while recording 3 steals and 11 blocks.

• The Pacers are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
• In their last three contests as the favorite, Indiana has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.
• In their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Pacers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 128-117. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Pacers at -7.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 218.5 and our model has the Magic and Pacers finishing with a combined 245 points. Our pick is to take the over.

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Magic, Pacers Clash With Playoff Positioning in Sight

With postseason positions nearly secured, the Indiana Pacers and Orlando Magic will square off Friday night with a mix of momentum and rest management on the minds of both teams.

Before diving into who’s in and who’s out, be sure to check out our expert NBA picks and predictions to get the edge you need on this late-season matchup.

Indiana (49-31) punched its ticket to a top-four seed and locked in home-court advantage in the first round with a gritty 114-112 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Despite the milestone, head coach Rick Carlisle kept things grounded.

“Congratulations to the fans who were a big part of it. But it’s not a destination. It’s simply a tool,”

– Pacers head coach Rick Carlisle on clinching a top-four seed.

The Pacers sit one game behind the No. 3 seed New York Knicks with two games left to play. A win on Friday would also secure Indiana’s first 50-win season since 2013-14. They’ve caught fire in 2025, going 33-13 since January.

Tyrese Haliburton continues to drive Indiana’s engine, contributing 23 points, eight boards, and 10 assists in Thursday’s victory. The Pacers are now 25-3 this season when Haliburton scores 20 or more.

“We’re a game away from a 50-win season. It’s a special year, especially how it started. We don’t take that lightly,”

– Tyrese Haliburton on Indiana’s growth this season.

Meanwhile, Orlando (40-40) clinched the No. 7 seed and home-court for the Eastern Conference play-in game with a 96-76 win over Boston. The Magic have now won four straight and are peaking at the right time.

Franz Wagner dropped 23 points in the win—his 12th straight game with 20+—while Cole Anthony added 18 off the bench in a solid all-around team effort.

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“Everyone contributed… That’s a good win, and we have to keep building off of this,”

– Magic guard Cole Anthony on Orlando’s team performance.

Injuries could factor into Friday’s contest. Orlando listed Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope as questionable. Caldwell-Pope was limited to just seven minutes against Boston. Indiana, playing on the second night of a back-to-back, may also opt to rest starters.

Orlando has won two of the first three meetings this season, including a 94-90 win on Nov. 13, when Wagner scored 29 points. But Indiana, now winners of six straight, has momentum and a 50-win season within reach.