Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Predictions April 30th 2025

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The Timberwolves (+187) are on a two-game winning streak and have a record of 49-33. They are 6th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest Division. The Lakers (-225) are 3rd in the West and have lost two straight. The over/under line is 209.5 and tip-off is at 10:00 ET. TNT will televise the game from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.

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Minnesota is a 5.5-point underdog and the Lakers are favored. This is a Western Conference matchup.

Timberwolves vs. Lakers Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Lakers
  • Where: Los Angeles at Crypto.com Arena
  • Date: Wednesday, April 30th
  • Betting Odds LAL -5.5, MIN +187 | LAL -225 O/U 209.5

The Timberwolves Can Win If…

Minnesota improved to 49-33 this season with a 116-113 win over the Lakers on Sunday. The Timberwolves were favored by 2.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 229 points exceeded the 208.5-point line.

After a 14-0 run by the Lakers, Minnesota rallied in the 4th quarter, outscoring L.A. 32-19 to complete the comeback.

Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves to a 116-113 win over the Lakers, scoring 43 points and adding 9 rebounds and 6 assists. He hit 5 threes at a 50% rate and shot 52.2% from the field overall. Edwards was especially dominant in the 4th quarter, scoring 16 points.

Julius Randle contributed 25 points, with 13 coming in the 1st quarter, despite shooting 40.9% from the field. Jaden McDaniels added 16 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 54.5% and hitting 2 of 3 threes. The Timberwolves made 14 threes as a team, shooting 38.9% from deep, but struggled overall, shooting 42.2% from the field.

Anthony Edwards of the Minnesota Timberwolves in a navy blue jersey (#5), yelling with intensity during a game

Despite giving up 113 points, the Timberwolves’ defense stepped up in the 4th quarter, allowing just 19 points to help secure the win. They also had a solid 2nd quarter, giving up 26 points. Overall, Minnesota allowed the Lakers to shoot 45% from the field.

The Timberwolves struggled to defend the three, with the Lakers hitting 19 threes at a 40% clip. Minnesota sent the Lakers to the line 25 times, where they made 22 free throws. The Timberwolves finished with 31 defensive rebounds, gave up 11 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals.

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
  • Over their last three games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
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The Lakers Can Win If…

The Lakers fell to 50-32 on the season after a 116-113 road loss to the Timberwolves on Sunday. Los Angeles, who entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 229, exceeding the pre-game O/U line of 208.5 by 20.5 points.

After a 14-0 run put the Lakers up 75-60, they appeared in control. They led 94-84 heading into the 4th quarter, but a 32-19 final period in favor of the Timberwolves turned the game around.

In the Lakers’ 116-113 loss to the Timberwolves, Luka Dončić led the way with 38 points, hitting 5 threes at 41.7%. LeBron James added 27 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 55.6% from the field, while Rui Hachimura contributed 23 points, also making 5 threes at 50% efficiency.

The Lakers connected on 19 threes as a team, shooting 40.4% from beyond the arc, though their overall field goal percentage was 45%. Austin Reaves chipped in 17 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter.

Three Los Angeles Lakers basketball players in yellow jerseys, including numbers 7, 77, and 15, smiling and interacting during a game

Defensively, the Lakers had a strong 3rd quarter, holding the Timberwolves to 23 points, but they allowed 32 points in the 4th, contributing to their 116-113 loss. Overall, they gave up 33 points in the 2nd quarter as well. Despite the loss, they held Minnesota to 42% shooting from the field.

The Lakers allowed 14 three-pointers on 38% shooting. They also sent the Timberwolves to the free-throw line 33 times, where they made 26. On the boards, the Lakers gave up 18 offensive rebounds. They finished with 6 steals and 7 blocks.

  • Through their last three home games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 99 points per game.
  • As the betting favorite, the Lakers have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
  • In their last five games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Not only do we have the Lakers winning this one by a score of 170-147, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Lakers at -5.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 209.5 and given that our model is projecting 317 points between the teams, we like the over.

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Lakers Fight for Survival as Timberwolves Eye Series Win in Game 5

The Minnesota Timberwolves will take their first of three chances to close out their first-round Western Conference playoff series on Wednesday night when they visit the Los Angeles Lakers for a critical Game 5.

Edwards Shines as Timberwolves Take Control

Minnesota earned a 3-1 series lead thanks to a dominant fourth-quarter performance in Game 4, outscoring the Lakers 32-19 en route to a 116-113 win. Anthony Edwards carried the team with 16 of his 43 points in the final frame, hitting three of his five 3-pointers during that stretch.

“There wasn’t any panic,” Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said. “It’s been a hallmark of this team in the second half of the season. … The guys always have a belief they can come back.”

Counting the regular season and playoffs, Minnesota is now 20-5 since March 2. The team has found its identity following Julius Randle’s midseason return from injury, and their momentum is surging.

Jaden McDaniels added 16 points and 11 rebounds in Game 4, while Randle contributed 25 points. Edwards finished with nine rebounds and six assists to go with his scoring barrage.

For bettors assessing player momentum and team chemistry, the current NBA Game Previews offer a deep look into the Timberwolves’ upward trend.

Lakers Face Must-Win Scenario

The Lakers now face elimination and must win three straight games to extend their season. LeBron James and Luka Doncic combined for 65 points in Game 4, but it wasn’t enough to prevent the late-game collapse.

Doncic, fresh off recovering from a stomach bug in Game 3, dropped 38 points. James nearly recorded a triple-double with 27 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists, but the Lakers shot just 27.8 percent in the fourth quarter.

“I don’t think fatigue had anything to do with that,” James said. “Just missing some point-blank shots. We were getting into what we wanted to get into. We just weren’t able to convert.”

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Despite shooting 45 percent overall, the Lakers couldn’t keep pace with Minnesota’s late-game execution. Now, first-year head coach JJ Redick must find a way to rally his squad with their season on the line.

“Obviously, you don’t think about winning three, you think about just getting the next one,” James added. “That’s the only thing that matters because if not, obviously, the offseason (begins). It’s all about Wednesday. That’s what’s important.”

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