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Game Preview Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat
The Milwaukee Bucks will travel to the Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday, November 26, as both teams open their NBA regular season campaigns. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET and the game will be broadcast on FDSS.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup struggling with an 8-10 record and sits 11th in the Eastern Conference. Head coach Doc Rivers is looking to end a five-game losing streak and reestablish momentum for a squad that has shown signs of offensive explosiveness, even in the absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo.
The Heat, on the other hand, are off to a red-hot start. With a 12-6 record and a five-game win streak, Miami has climbed to 3rd in the East. Head coach Erik Spoelstra has guided his team to an 8-1 home record behind a balanced offense and elite defense. The recent return of Tyler Herro adds even more scoring depth to an already dangerous team.
This early-season Eastern Conference battle could have postseason implications, especially as teams jockey for positioning in the NBA playoff race.
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Odds and Key Information
Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Spread: Heat -7.5 (-110), Bucks +7.5 (-111)
Moneyline: Heat -305, Bucks +245
Over/Under: 237.5
Track all game odds and movement in real time on the NBA scores and odds board.
Milwaukee Bucks Outlook
Milwaukee enters this matchup in a slump, having lost five straight games. Their most recent setback was a 115-103 loss to Portland. Bobby Portis led the team with 22 points on 60% shooting, while Myles Turner chipped in with 13 points and 11 rebounds.
Despite the losing streak, Milwaukee maintains impressive shooting metrics. They lead the league in effective field goal percentage (58.1%) and rank second in three-point percentage (41.3%). Their spacing and perimeter shooting remain key weapons, especially with Giannis sidelined.
The Bucks also operate at a high tempo, averaging 100.4 possessions per game. This pace can force defenses into uncomfortable positions, especially when Milwaukee’s shooters catch fire. However, their current form and lack of late-game execution continue to be major concerns.
Find out how the Bucks compare in NBA Central Division odds.
Miami Heat Outlook
The Heat have won five straight games and hold a dominant 8-1 home record. Their latest victory was a 106-102 win over the Dallas Mavericks, led by Tyler Herro’s 24 points in his return from ankle surgery. Kel’el Ware also posted a double-double with 20 points and 18 rebounds.
Miami is averaging 123.9 points per game, the highest in the NBA, and leads the league in possessions per game (105.6). The offense is bolstered by elite ball movement (3rd in assists per game) and rebounding (3rd overall). Their fast-paced attack puts pressure on defenses from start to finish.
Defensively, Miami has been equally strong. They allow just 117.9 points per game and hold opponents to 43.1% from the field, the second-lowest mark in the NBA. They also rank first in opponent three-point shooting percentage (31.6%), which directly challenges Milwaukee’s perimeter-based offense.
Explore Miami’s postseason potential in the NBA Eastern Conference futures blog.
Key Matchup Table
| Category | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Points Per Game | 118.4 (9th) | 123.9 (1st) |
| Opponent PPG Allowed | 120.6 (28th) | 117.9 (15th) |
| 3PT % | 41.3% (2nd) | 38.1% (7th) |
| Effective FG% | 58.1% (1st) | 55.4% (6th) |
| Home/Away Record | 3-6 (Away) | 8-1 (Home) |
Miami’s superior defense and home-court dominance provide a notable edge.
Betting Trends
- Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games
- Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games overall
- The Over has hit in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games
- The Under is 5-2 in Milwaukee’s last 7 games
- Heat are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Bucks
For more trend insights, visit the NBA betting picks section.
The Lean
Miami is in elite form and returns home with momentum, while Milwaukee is still searching for answers during Giannis’s absence. That said, the Bucks’ strong shooting metrics give them a chance to keep it close.
Our model projects a final score of Heat 121, Bucks 115, making Milwaukee +7.5 the smart side against the spread. The Bucks’ three-point shooting (41.3%) can help them stay within striking distance.
For the total, the line is set at 237.5. Both teams can score, but Miami’s defense should slow the Bucks down just enough. The projection of 236 combined points favors a narrow Under lean.
Spread Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +7.5
Total Pick: Under 237.5
Projected Final Score: Miami Heat 121, Milwaukee Bucks 115
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