Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards Picks and Predictions December 1st 2025

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena in Monday NBA action. Milwaukee snapped a seven-game skid with Giannis Antetokounmpo back in the lineup, while Washington continues to struggle despite Alex Sarr’s emergence. Bettors must weigh the Bucks’ shooting efficiency against the Wizards’ perimeter accuracy at home.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Bucks Spread: -10.0 (-110)
  • Wizards Spread: +10.0 (-111)
  • Bucks MoneyLine: -439
  • Wizards MoneyLine: +341
  • Total: 234.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Milwaukee opened as double-digit favorites given their talent edge. See full NBA odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Milwaukee Bucks Outlook

Milwaukee ended its skid with a 116-99 win over Brooklyn. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 29 points in 19 minutes, while Kevin Porter Jr. returned with 13 points and six assists. AJ Green added 15 points, hitting 11 threes over his last two games. The Bucks rank first in three-point percentage (41.0%) and third in FG% (49.2), showing elite efficiency. Their pace (99.5 possessions, 9th) fuels scoring volume. With Antetokounmpo healthy, Milwaukee regains balance.

Washington Wizards Outlook

Washington fell 119-86 to Indiana despite Alex Sarr’s 23 points and nine rebounds. Sarr leads the team with 19.1 points and 8.6 rebounds per game, while CJ McCollum adds 17.8. The Wizards rank fifth in three-point shooting (37.4%), providing perimeter upside. They snapped a 14-game skid with a 132-113 win over Atlanta, showing flashes of potential. Injuries to Corey Kispert (thumb) and Tre Johnson (hip) limit depth, but home court provides opportunity.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Bucks’ efficiency vs Wizards’ perimeter shooting. Milwaukee must lean on Antetokounmpo’s dominance and Porter’s playmaking, while Washington needs Sarr and McCollum to sustain scoring. Rebounding and defensive rotations will dictate outcomes.

Injuries / Availability

Milwaukee lists Taurean Prince (herniated disc) out indefinitely. For full player status, check the Bucks injury report.
Washington lists Corey Kispert (thumb) and Tre Johnson (hip) out. See the Wizards injury report for latest updates.

Environment

Capital One Arena provides Washington a home edge, but Milwaukee’s shooting and depth travel well. Expect pace and perimeter play to drive totals.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Bucks 122, Wizards 110

  • Bucks -10.0 (-110) → Best Bet. Milwaukee’s efficiency and Antetokounmpo’s return suggest they cover comfortably.
  • Under 234.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 232 points, leaning under given Milwaukee’s defense and Washington’s inconsistency.

Milwaukee’s balance should secure the win, while Washington’s perimeter shooting keeps it competitive early. Expect the Bucks to cover with the total trending under.

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Gain sharper perspectives on this matchup by checking our Best Handicappers, following the Leaderboard, and reviewing premium plays in Buy Picks.

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