Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions November 14th 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

Minnesota opens this NBA Cup matchup in strong form. The Wolves have won five of six and continue to lean on a defense that has tightened at the right time. Their 144-117 win over Sacramento earlier this week showed what happens when their pace and physicality sync up. Rudy Gobert said the team’s urgency has improved, and it shows in the way Minnesota closes possessions and limits second-chance looks.

Sacramento enters after four straight losses. Doug Christie challenged his players after a 133-100 loss to Atlanta and made it clear the team must compete harder. Zach LaVine, who missed the Hawks game, is back and should help stabilize the offense. This group still plays fast and shoots well from deep, but the defensive issues remain a problem against a Wolves team that thrives when games get physical.

For more matchup context and recent performance trends, check the full NBA previews page.

Line Movement and Odds

Minnesota opened around -10.5 and has moved to -11.5 behind heavier sharp support. Sacramento sits at +11.5, with the public leaning toward the favorite after the recent 144-117 result.

The total opened at 239.5 and has climbed to 240.5, driven by projected pace and Minnesota’s efficiency. The Wolves are taking most of the moneyline action at roughly -600, with Sacramento around +450.

Compare these numbers to the live NBA odds board for updates.

Matchup Breakdown

Minnesota is scoring efficiently, ranking near the top of the league in effective field goal rate. Anthony Edwards is playing at an elite level, and the Wolves’ isolation-heavy sets keep spacing clean. If they continue to rebound and limit fouls, their defensive floor remains high.

Sacramento can hang around if their pace and perimeter shooting hold. They hit 37.3 percent from deep and remain dangerous in transition. LaVine and DeMar DeRozan need a strong combined outing to keep this close. Sabonis’ ability to pass out of pressure will be tested by Gobert’s interior presence.

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Injuries and Conditions

Minnesota Timberwolves

• Jaden McDaniels, knee soreness, practiced in full
• Rudy Gobert, ankle, probable
• Julius Randle, rest management, expected to play

See full Minnesota Timberwolves injury report.

Sacramento Kings

• Zach LaVine, thigh, cleared
• Keon Ellis, ankle, questionable
• Malik Monk, shoulder, out

See full Sacramento Kings injury report.

This game is indoors, so no weather concerns.

Best Bets and Prediction

Minnesota has covered four of its past six. The Wolves’ defensive ceiling and isolation efficiency match well against a Kings roster struggling to defend any primary action. Sacramento’s pace can push this total higher, but Minnesota’s defense at home makes the side more reliable.

Projected Score: Timberwolves 124, Kings 112
Best Bet: Timberwolves -11.5
Secondary Lean: Under 240.5

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