The vibe around the Dallas Mavericks is one of a total teardown, and it’s been a rough ride for the fan base. Dallas enters Tuesday’s contest at the Mortgage Matchup Center sitting on a seven-game losing streak and a 19-33 record. The franchise is still navigating the fallout of the Luka Doncic trade, and while rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has been on a historic scoring tear, it hasn’t translated into wins. Jason Kidd’s group is playing at the fastest pace in the league, but they’ve struggled to find defensive consistency since reshaping the roster at the trade deadline.
Phoenix is in a much better spot at 31-22, holding the 7th seed in the West, though they’ve hit a bit of a mid-season lull. Jordan Ott’s squad has dropped three of its last four, but the return of Devin Booker and Jalen Green from the injury report provides a massive boost. The Suns have been one of the most efficient three-point shooting teams in the league, and they’ll look to exploit a Mavericks defense that is still learning how to play together after the departure of Anthony Davis. Tip-off is set for 9:00 PM on KFAA.
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Odds
The betting market has the home team as a solid favorite, reflecting both the Mavs’ recent struggles and the return of the Suns’ backcourt stars. For the most up-to-date numbers, bettors should check the latest NBA odds before locking in their plays.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Dallas Mavericks | +236 | +7.5 (-111) | O 227 (-110) |
| Phoenix Suns | -287 | -7.5 (-110) | U 227 (-110) |
Dallas Mavericks Betting Form
Dallas is leaning into a youth movement centered around Cooper Flagg. The Mavericks are a high-variance team right now; they lead the NBA in possessions per game (102.2) and ranking near the top in rebounding at 45.1 boards per contest. However, that speed comes at a price, as they are allowing over 117 points per game. The recent trade for Khris Middleton and Tyus Jones was intended to add some veteran stability, but with Middleton’s status uncertain for tonight, the burden once again falls on Flagg and Marvin Bagley III. You can track their progression on the Dallas Mavericks stats and results page.
Injury management is a major story for the Mavs as they approach the All-Star break. Kyrie Irving remains out following his ACL injury, and veteran Klay Thompson is a candidate for rest tonight. The roster is a bit of a revolving door at the moment, which makes them difficult to price accurately. Make sure to refresh the Dallas Mavericks injury report before tip, as the availability of their newly acquired veterans will drastically shift their offensive ceiling.
Phoenix Suns Betting Form
The Suns are ready to get back to full strength. Having both Booker and Green available changes the entire geometry of the court for Phoenix. They rank 8th in the league in three-pointers made (14.6 per game) and feature a top-five scoring defense, allowing just 111.4 points per contest. When their backcourt is healthy, they possess an elite transition game that can punish teams that turn the ball over. For more on their home-court trends, visit the Phoenix Suns schedule and stats page.
While the return of the stars is the headline, the Suns are still missing some rotation depth. Grayson Allen is a key floor spacer who remains out, and Isaiah Livers is also sidelined. This may force Dillon Brooks and Collin Gillespie into more prominent roles. Despite these minor absences, Phoenix’s core is intact, and they should have the continuity advantage over a Dallas team that is still learning each other’s names on the floor. Keep an eye on the Phoenix Suns injury report to see if any late scratches emerge among the bench unit.
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Matchup Breakdown
This game is a collision of styles. Dallas wants to turn this into a track meet, using their league-high pace to overwhelm the Suns’ half-court defense. Phoenix, on the other hand, is much more disciplined. The Suns’ ability to limit opponents from the three-point line—where Dallas takes a high volume of shots—will be the deciding factor. If the Suns can force the Mavs into a grind-it-out game, Dallas simply doesn’t have the scoring depth outside of Flagg to keep pace.
The rebounding battle is another area to watch. Dallas is surprisingly strong on the glass, but the Suns’ frontcourt, led by Mark Williams, is excellent at neutralizing second-chance points. If the Mavericks can’t win the possession game through offensive boards, they’ll have to shoot significantly above their season average to stay within the 7.5-point spread.
- Dallas leads the league in pace (102.2 possessions).
- Phoenix is 5th in the league in scoring defense (111.4 PPG).
- The Mavericks have lost seven straight games SU.
- The Under has hit in four of the last six meetings between these teams.
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Best Bets
The spread of 7.5 feels like the right number, but there’s a case to be made for the Mavericks to cover. Dallas has shown a weird resilience on the road this season, and despite the losing streak, they’ve kept several games close until the final minutes. Cooper Flagg is essentially unguardable right now, and if the Suns are a little rusty with Booker and Green returning to the lineup, Dallas could easily hang around. I think Phoenix wins the game, but 7.5 is a lot of points for a team that has been as inconsistent as the Suns lately.
I’m actually more interested in the total here. Both teams have the personnel to score, but Dallas’ defensive numbers are skewed by their pace. The Suns have a very high-level defense when focused, and with Booker and Green back, they may prioritize defensive stops to get back into their rhythm. I think the 227 total is a bit inflated due to Dallas’ recent 138-125 loss to the Spurs. A more typical Suns-paced game should land in the 220-225 range.
Best Bet: Under 227 (-110).
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