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Phoenix-Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder April 9th 2025
The Suns will host the Thunder at PHX Arena in Phoenix. The Suns are 11.5-point underdogs and have lost seven straight games. The over/under line is 230 points.
This Western Conference matchup will tip-off at 10:00 ET and can be seen on AZFa.
Thunder vs. Suns Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns
- Where: Phoenix at PHX Arena
- Date: Wednesday, April 9th
- Betting Odds OKC -11.5, OKC -588 | PHO +431 O/U 230
The Thunder Can Win If…
The Thunder improved to 65-14 this season with a 136-120 win over the Lakers on Tuesday. At home, OKC was favored by 9.5 points and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 256, surpassing the 230-point O/U line.
OKC went on a 10-0 run early, stretching the score from 54-52 to 64-52. After a rough 3rd quarter where they were outscored 26-17, the Thunder bounced back in the 4th, holding the Lakers to 22 points while scoring 39 of their own.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander poured in 42 points and 6 assists, hitting 5 threes at 55.6% as the Thunder defeated the Lakers. OKC connected on 18 threes, shooting 48.6% from deep and 50% overall. Jalen Williams added 26 points, and Luguentz Dort contributed 17 points, making 5 threes at 62.5%.
Gilgeous-Alexander scored 15 points in the 1st quarter, while Dort added 12. Jalen Williams had 13 points in the 2nd quarter, and Cason Wallace scored 7 of his 11 points in the 4th.
Despite a rough start, giving up 43 points in the 1st quarter, the Thunder tightened up defensively, allowing just 77 points over the final three quarters in their 136-120 win over the Lakers. Oklahoma City gave up 120 points on 46% shooting from the field.
The Thunder struggled to defend the three-point line, where the Lakers hit 18 threes at a 45% clip. Oklahoma City also sent the Lakers to the free-throw line 37 times, where they converted 28. The Thunder finished with 9 steals and 5 blocks.
- Oklahoma City has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 113 points per game while allowing 108. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
- The last three games that Oklahoma City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
- Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
The Suns Can Win If…
The Suns dropped to 35-44 on the season after a 133-95 home loss to the Warriors on Tuesday. Phoenix, who entered the game as +10 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 228, just over the O/U line of 227.5.
Golden State took control early, outscoring the Suns 37-24 in the 1st quarter and 32-19 in the 2nd. Phoenix trailed 95-61 going into the 4th, where they put up 34 points but still lost the quarter 38-34.
In their 133-95 loss to the Warriors, the Suns struggled offensively, shooting just 39.8% from the field and hitting only 27.9% of their three-point attempts. They made 12 threes in the game, with Grayson Allen connecting on 3 of his attempts at a 50% rate.
Devin Booker led the Suns with 21 points, scoring 11 in the 1st quarter and another 10 in the 2nd. Allen and Ryan Dunn each added 12 points, with Dunn contributing 5 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
Defensively, the Suns struggled against the Warriors, giving up 133 points in the loss. They allowed 37 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, with a slightly better 3rd quarter where they gave up 26 points. Overall, the Warriors shot 48% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Suns allowed 15 threes on 37% shooting. They sent the Warriors to the line 34 times, where they made 28 free throws. The Suns also gave up 19 offensive rebounds but managed to record 12 steals and 4 blocks.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 0-5 in their last five games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
- In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Our bet is on the Thunder for a win, and we project the score to be 138-110. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Thunder with the spread at -11.5.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 230 and our model has the Thunder and Suns finishing with a combined 248 points. Our pick is to take the over.
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Can Phoenix Still Squeeze Into the Play-In Tournament?
The Phoenix Suns are clinging to their last shred of hope.
With just three games left in the regular season, Phoenix (35-44) trails the Dallas Mavericks by three games for the final spot in the NBA Western Conference play-in. It’s now or never as the Suns get ready to host the red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder this Wednesday.
After that, they’ll close the season with home games against San Antonio on Friday and then wrap up in Sacramento on Sunday.
Phoenix in Freefall: What Went Wrong?
The Suns are riding a brutal seven-game losing streak, their longest slump since 2019. And Tuesday night’s 133-95 blowout loss to Golden State was the low point.
Bradley Beal didn’t mince words:
“We might as well not showed up.”
With Kevin Durant still sidelined by an ankle injury, the pressure’s now squarely on Beal and Devin Booker to turn things around—fast.
Booker, reflecting on how close the Suns came just a few seasons ago, said:
“When you have a season this bad, it’s a bunch of things… the most frustrating part is being that close a few years ago, and now, back to where we are.”
Phoenix fans are left wondering if the team that made the NBA Finals in 2021 is gone for good.
Thunder Riding High and Eyeing the Title
While Phoenix is stuck in survival mode, Oklahoma City (65-14) is in cruise control. The top seed in the West is locked up, and they’re using every game to prep for the playoffs.
Their 136-120 win over the Lakers on Tuesday snapped a rare two-game skid. And coach Mark Daigneault is treating every challenge as playoff training.
“All the things we experienced in these last couple games we are going to experience going into the playoffs,” he said.
MVP Watch: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Leads the Way
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder’s breakout star and frontrunner for NBA MVP, isn’t letting off the gas.
“We use the regular season to build habits,” he explained.
“That only prepares you for the stage that we’re about to go on.”
OKC closes their regular season with games against Utah and New Orleans, both out of playoff contention. But first, they’ll aim for a season sweep of the Suns—having already taken two wins, including a 140-109 blowout in February.
