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New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions – January 14, 2026
The New York Knicks head west to face the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday night, with tipoff set for 10:00 PM ET. The Knicks are red-hot and come into this matchup as heavy -11.5 favorites after winning 8 of their last 10 games. The Kings, on the other hand, are struggling both on the floor and in the market, entering this one as +11.5 underdogs and priced at +215 on the moneyline. The total sits at 227.5.
This isn’t your typical East vs West battle — the Knicks have quickly become one of the NBA’s toughest outs, while Sacramento has dropped into a slump that’s put their playoff hopes in jeopardy. Let’s break it all down from a betting perspective.
NBA Lines Before They Move
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New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings Odds
These are the current odds for the matchup. Always check the latest NBA odds for any changes tied to injury news or market movement.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | -263 | -5.5 (-118) | O 227.5 (-110) |
| Sacramento Kings | +215 | +5.5 (-102) | U 227.5 (-110) |
New York Knicks Betting Form
The Knicks are cooking right now. Since acquiring OG Anunoby and reshaping their rotation, they’ve climbed into the top-4 mix in the East and have become an elite defensive team again. They’re 8–2 over their last 10 games, covering the spread in seven of them, and doing it with grit.
Jalen Brunson continues to look like one of the most underrated stars in the league. He’s averaging 27.4 PPG on 49% shooting with a near 3-to-1 assist-to-turnover ratio in January. Julius Randle’s offensive rhythm has improved significantly, while Anunoby gives them a reliable 3&D presence who’s thriving in Tom Thibodeau’s halfcourt system.
New York plays slow (bottom five in pace), but they control tempo, dominate the defensive glass, and generate efficient looks in the mid-post. They’ve also become a top-10 team in effective field goal percentage — a big shift from earlier in the season.
Defensively, they’ve been suffocating. Since Anunoby joined, they’re holding opponents to under 110 points per game and rank top-3 in opponent field goal percentage.
For current status on Randle or any rotation tweaks, check the New York Knicks injury report. You can also visit the Knicks team stats page for matchup trends.
Sacramento Kings Betting Form
The Kings are slumping at the wrong time. Sacramento has dropped 5 of its last 6 games and looks disjointed offensively. De’Aaron Fox continues to score, but the ball movement that defined their success last season has regressed. Domantas Sabonis remains a triple-double threat, but his efficiency has dipped, and opposing defenses are collapsing on him in the paint.
Sacramento’s main issue is perimeter defense. They rank bottom-10 in both opponent 3PT% and opponent assist rate — two red flags against a Knicks team that thrives on drive-and-kick execution and mid-range creation.
They also haven’t been good at home recently. The Kings are just 2–5 ATS in their last seven games at Golden 1 Center, with losses to underwhelming teams like the Spurs and Hornets.
Injuries have been part of the problem, and rotation inconsistency has killed their bench production. Malik Monk has been hot and cold, while Kevin Huerter and Harrison Barnes have gone through long scoring droughts.
Track injury news on Fox or Sabonis through the Sacramento Kings injury report and check overall form on the Kings stats and trends page.
Sacramento Kings
vs
New York Knicks
Open
vs
Jan 14, 2026 22:10 EST
–
Score
–
+10.50 -110
Spread
-10.50 -110
o+231.50-110
Total
u+231.50-110
+420
Moneyline
-556
Dallas Mavericks
vs
Denver Nuggets
Open
vs
Jan 14, 2026 21:40 EST
–
Score
–
+1.00 -110
Spread
-1.00 -110
o+224.50-112
Total
u+224.50-108
+100
Moneyline
-118
Philadelphia 76ers
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Open
vs
Jan 14, 2026 19:10 EST
–
Score
–
-1.50 -110
Spread
+1.50 -110
o+239.50-115
Total
u+239.50-105
-118
Moneyline
+100
Knicks vs Kings Matchup Breakdown
This game comes down to a few core matchup factors:
- Pace and Control: The Knicks want to grind possessions, slow the game, and win with efficiency. Sacramento needs tempo and transition to generate easy points. If New York controls the clock, they likely cover.
- Defensive Execution: New York has been elite at contesting threes and forcing long mid-range shots — an issue for a Kings team that relies on spacing and quick-trigger movement.
- Paint Defense vs Sabonis: Mitchell Robinson’s injury still looms, but Isaiah Hartenstein has stepped up big, especially on the boards. If Sabonis doesn’t get easy touches, Sacramento stalls.
- Bench Minutes: New York’s second unit, led by Josh Hart and Quentin Grimes, has outplayed expectations. Sacramento’s bench has been unreliable — both scoring-wise and defensively.
Also worth noting: This is the third game in four nights for Sacramento, while New York is on a two-day rest advantage. That matters in fourth-quarter legs and late cover potential.
Looking for a deeper breakdown of betting concepts? Our NBA betting guide dives into pace, defensive matchups, and spot value.
Data-Driven NBA Picks
Where Matchups Turn Into Profits
Knicks vs Kings Predictions and Best Bets
This is a bad matchup for Sacramento and a strong situational edge for New York. The Knicks are defending at an elite level, have rest, and are locked in with a healthy rotation. Sacramento, meanwhile, can’t string together stops, and their offense has been inconsistent against stronger defensive units.
Lean: Knicks -5.5 (-118). The market hasn’t fully caught up to how sharp the Knicks have looked post-trade. They’ve covered this number repeatedly on the road and shouldn’t struggle to build and maintain a lead.
The total at 227.5 is sharp, but I lean Under based on tempo. The Knicks control pace better than most teams, and the Kings have averaged just 108 PPG over their last six. If Sacramento doesn’t get hot early, this could land around 215.
Alternative angles:
- Knicks 1H -2.5 is worth a look — they’ve led at half in 9 of their last 11 wins.
- Julius Randle Over 21.5 points — he’s hit that in 5 of his last 6, and the Kings struggle with physical forwards.
Best Bet: Knicks -5.5 (-118).
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