Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions February 11th 2026

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The Sacramento Kings head to the Delta Center on Wednesday night to face the Utah Jazz in a matchup of two teams clearly focused on the 2026 NBA Draft lottery. Sacramento enters this 9:00 PM ET tip-off on a disastrous 13-game losing streak, the longest for the franchise since they moved from Kansas City. Their record has plummeted to 12-43, and the vibes are at an all-time low after DeMar DeRozan was seen slamming water bottles in frustration during a 120-94 blowout loss to New Orleans on Monday.

Utah sits at 17-37 and has looked much more competitive recently, particularly after the blockbuster trade for Jaren Jackson Jr. The Jazz are 1-1 since “Triple J” joined the lineup, most recently securing a 115-111 win over Miami. While the Jazz are technically rebuilding, the pairing of Jackson and Lauri Markkanen gives them a massive frontcourt that most teams simply can’t match. Utah is currently a 6.5-point home favorite, and with the way Sacramento has been non-competitive lately, this line feels like it could move even further before the ball is tipped.

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings Odds

The betting market is showing a lot of respect for the new-look Jazz frontcourt while completely fading a Kings team that hasn’t won a game in nearly a month. It is always smart to keep an eye on the latest NBA odds because the Jazz have a habit of resting their veterans in the fourth quarter, which can lead to late-game spread drama.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Sacramento Kings+205+6.5 (-112)O 232 (-110)
Utah Jazz-249-6.5 (-110)U 232 (-110)
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Sacramento Kings Betting Form

Sacramento’s season has effectively become a developmental laboratory. With stars like Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine sidelined, the focus has shifted entirely to rookie center Maxime Raynaud and fellow big man Dylan Cardwell. Raynaud was a lone bright spot against the Pelicans, hauling in 19 rebounds to go along with 21 points. However, the lack of experienced guard play has crippled their efficiency, and the defense is a sieve, allowing over 120 points per game. You can track their slide in the Sacramento Kings schedule and stats section.

The injury situation in Sacramento is a total mess right now. Not only are Sabonis and LaVine out, but the team will also be without Russell Westbrook and Malik Monk for Wednesday’s contest. This leaves DeMar DeRozan as the only veteran playmaker left to navigate Utah’s elite rim protection. Given the names on the Sacramento Kings injury report, I think it is hard to find a reason to trust them even with a handful of points. They are 21-34 ATS on the season, and their road struggles are well-documented.

Utah Jazz Betting Form

The Utah Jazz are a completely different animal with Jaren Jackson Jr. on the floor. In just two games, he is averaging 22 points and adding a defensive presence that Utah has lacked since the Rudy Gobert era. Jackson’s ability to space the floor while simultaneously leading the league in blocked shots per game makes life significantly easier for Lauri Markkanen. The Jazz currently rank 6th in the league in scoring at 118.2 points per game, and they are playing at the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA. Check out their recent ATS trends on the Utah Jazz stats and results page.

The one catch with betting on Utah lately is Coach Will Hardy’s rotation. In a move that has frustrated some bettors, the Jazz have been sitting Jackson and Markkanen for the entire fourth quarter to let the “young guys” finish games. This has led to some close calls, like the four-point win over Miami where Utah nearly blew a double-digit lead. Keep an eye on the Utah Jazz injury report specifically for Keyonte George, who has been ruled out with an ankle sprain, meaning Collin Sexton and Isaiah Collier will have to handle the heavy lifting in the backcourt.

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings Matchup Breakdown

This game is going to be won or lost in the paint. Utah leads the league in blocked shots, and Jaren Jackson Jr. is the primary reason why. Sacramento actually ranks 3rd in the league in two-point attempts, which plays right into Utah’s hands.

  • Size Advantage: The Jazz are starting a 7’1″ Markkanen and 6’10” Jackson Jr. Sacramento’s Maxime Raynaud is talented, but he is going to have a nightmare of a time finishing at the rim against two elite shot-blockers.
  • Pace and Possessions: Utah averages over 102 possessions per game. Sacramento’s defense has shown it cannot handle high-paced transitions, especially when they turn the ball over as often as they have during this 13-game skid.
  • The “Tank” Factor: Both teams are looking at the lottery, but Utah’s “tank” looks a lot more like a “competitive retooling” while Sacramento’s looks like a total collapse.

If you’re looking to sharpen your strategy for these late-season games between bottom-feeders, our NBA betting guide is a great place to start. I think the travel factor also favors Utah here; the Kings are on the tail end of a road trip and looked emotionally defeated in New Orleans.

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings Predictions and Best Bets

I’m laying the points with the Jazz. I know 6.5 feels like a lot for a 17-win team, but Sacramento is essentially a G-League roster right now with DeRozan and some rookies. The Kings have no answer for Jaren Jackson Jr. on the block, and Utah’s ability to get to the free-throw line—where they rank 5th in the league—should help them maintain a lead even when the bench players come in for the fourth quarter.

As for the total, I like the Over 232. The Jazz play at an incredible speed, and while their defense blocks shots, they still allow 126.4 points per game (worst in the league). Sacramento will get their buckets in transition, and Utah should have no trouble clearing 120 points against a Kings team that has given up on the defensive end. Our model projects a 119-115 type of game, but I suspect Utah pulls away late if Jackson gets more than his usual 25 minutes.

Best Bet: Utah Jazz -6.5 (-110).

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NBA Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

The NBA board is always busy before the All-Star break, so make sure to browse today’s NBA picks for more expert opinions on tonight’s Western Conference action. We offer a huge selection of free NBA picks to help you build your bankroll. You can also check out our handicapper leaderboard to see which pros are currently on a heater.

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