Arizona State Sun Devils vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Picks and Predictions February 10th 2026

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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils Game Preview

Oklahoma State stays in Arizona and heads to Tempe on Tuesday night for a Big 12 matchup with Arizona State at Desert Financial Arena. This is a game where bettors have to weigh two very different “recent form” signals. The Cowboys looked like a dangerous team when they scored 99 on BYU, then they followed it with a total collapse at Arizona where the offense never showed up and the rebounding margin got ugly. Arizona State has been inconsistent too, but it has been far more dependable at home, and that is why the Sun Devils are laying a short number despite owning the weaker overall record.

The betting angle comes down to what travels and what doesn’t. Oklahoma State’s offense has a real ceiling, and it can pressure teams with pace and foul drawing, but it cannot repeat the turnover and rebounding issues from the Arizona game and expect to win a road conference game. Arizona State’s best path is simpler. Hold serve at home, win enough possessions on the glass, and let Maurice Odum control late-game execution in a game that is likely to be decided by two or three possessions.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils Odds

These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Oklahoma State Cowboys+2.5 (-105)O 163.5
Arizona State Sun Devils-2.5 (-119)U 163.5

Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Form

Oklahoma State is 16-7 overall and the record tells you the Cowboys are capable of playing at an NCAA-level when their shot quality and effort are right. The Arizona loss is an outlier in score, but it’s also a warning sign in profile. When Oklahoma State is missing, it can get sped up into bad threes, and when it loses the rebounding battle by a wide margin, the offense never stabilizes because it is constantly defending again after second-chance points. That is the kind of domino effect that matters in a short-spread road game, because one poor stretch can turn into a six- to eight-point swing fast.

The positive for backers is that Oklahoma State’s offense is still one of the better units in this matchup. The Cowboys average 84.8 points per game and they can create pressure with free throws, which is valuable in close games and late possessions. Anthony Roy is the key piece here. If he bounces back from being held in check, Oklahoma State can force Arizona State to guard for the full clock and not simply rely on home energy. This spread is telling you the market expects a competitive game, so Oklahoma State does not need to be perfect, it needs to be composed. Clean possessions, fewer live-ball mistakes, and a neutral rebounding outcome are enough to put them in position to win late. Track recent results and updates on the Oklahoma State Cowboys team page, and monitor the Oklahoma State injury report before tip.

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Form

Arizona State is 12-12 overall, but it has been a different team at home with a 10-6 record in Desert Financial Arena. The concern, and it is a real one for bettors, is rebounding. Arizona State has been near the bottom of the Big 12 in that area and it showed again in the Colorado loss where the Sun Devils got bullied on the glass. Against Oklahoma State, that becomes a matchup problem, because the Cowboys rebound well enough to create extra possessions, and extra possessions are often what swing games with totals in the 160s and spreads near a bucket.

The reason Arizona State is still favored is guard control and late-game creation. Maurice Odum gives them a clear organizer who can score and distribute, and he’s the type of player who can take over the final five minutes when the game slows down. That matters because in a short spread, the team that can generate a clean look late in the clock usually covers. Arizona State also does not have to win the rebounding battle outright to win the game, but it does need to avoid getting crushed, because second chances can neutralize home-court edge quickly. If the Sun Devils can be solid enough on the defensive glass and keep Oklahoma State out of transition, they have a clean path to cash as a small home favorite. Track form and roster notes on the Arizona State Sun Devils team page, and check the Arizona State injury report before you lock anything in.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils Matchup Breakdown

This matchup is about possession count and where points come from. Oklahoma State’s best nights are built on pace, free throws, and shot volume, especially if Roy is drawing help and creating cleaner looks for others. Arizona State’s best nights are built on controlled offense, fewer mistakes, and letting Odum dictate possessions. The conflict is on the glass. Arizona State’s rebounding issues create a direct vulnerability, and Oklahoma State’s ability to rebound can be the easiest, lowest-variance way for the Cowboys to create an edge without needing to shoot lights out. Don’t miss the College Basketball Championship Odds for more insights.

The total at 163.5 tells you the market expects offense, but bettors should be careful about assuming a track meet. Oklahoma State can score, but it can also stall if it takes quick, contested threes or if it is forced into halfcourt possessions that end with late-clock attempts. Arizona State can score as well, but if it is giving up offensive boards, those possessions can inflate the score even when shot-making is only average. That makes game script important. If Oklahoma State is winning the glass and creating second chances, you can see the game trending higher. If Arizona State controls tempo and keeps Oklahoma State to one shot, the scoring can land below the number even with decent efficiency.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Oklahoma State +2.5. The Cowboys have the better overall profile and higher offensive ceiling, and this matchup gives them a realistic path to an edge through rebounding and free throws. Arizona State’s home court is real, and Odum is the best late-game piece on the floor, but laying points with a team that can get exposed on the glass is uncomfortable against an opponent that rebounds well and can score in bunches.

On the total, I lean under 163.5 because that number leaves little margin for any cold stretch or a slower game script, and Arizona State’s best path to winning is controlling pace rather than racing. Still, the side is the stronger angle because it does not require you to predict three-point variance, only whether Oklahoma State can play a normal, composed game after a rough outing.

Best Bet: Oklahoma State +2.5 (-105).

NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

When you’re betting short spreads in conference play, your biggest edge is number quality and clarity on game script. Start at the NCAAB picks hub to see how the slate is being played, then immediately compare the price and any movement on the college basketball odds board. In games lined inside one possession, a half point is not a detail, it is often the bet. If you like Oklahoma State, getting +3 instead of +2.5 changes your late-game risk profile. If you like Arizona State, laying -1.5 instead of -2.5 can be the difference between a win and a push when the game ends at the line.

Next, use matchup context to choose the right market. The NCAAB previews hub is where you can compare similar profiles across the board, teams with guard-driven offense, teams with rebounding issues, and teams that rely on pace. That helps you decide whether your edge is best expressed on the spread, the moneyline, or the total. If your story is “Oklahoma State wins possessions on the glass,” spreads and first-half bets often fit. If your story is “Arizona State controls tempo at home,” the under and Arizona State moneyline become more logical than laying points.

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