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Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Picks and Predictions – Monday February 9, 2026
Oregon walks into Bloomington in a tough spot, both in the standings and in the betting market. This Big Ten matchup tips Monday, February 9, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, with FS1 on the call. Indiana is laying a big number because they’ve been a different team at home, while Oregon has struggled to string together complete road performances.
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Indiana is 13-3 in Bloomington and priced like it. Oregon is 1-9 away, and that alone explains most of the spread. Still, the handicap here is less about who wins and more about game shape. If Oregon can control tempo and keep possessions clean, +11.5 is live. If Indiana turns this into a downhill game with quick runs and easy rim pressure, it can get ugly fast.
The total at 142.5 sits in an interesting range. Indiana can score, but a big spread often drags pace late, especially if the favorite is managing clock with a lead and the dog is trading possessions for any decent look.
Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep monitoring updated college basketball odds as the market settles closer to tip.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | +474 | +11.5 (-112) | O/U 142.5 (-110) |
| Indiana Hoosiers | -776 | -11.5 (-109) | O/U 142.5 (-110) |
Oregon Ducks Betting Form
Oregon’s record is rough, but the recent competitive effort matters when you’re taking double digits. Hanging around late against a team like Purdue is a reminder that the Ducks can play long stretches of competent basketball when their half-court offense stays organized and they avoid live-ball turnovers.
From a betting angle, Oregon’s path to covering is pretty clear. They need to keep Indiana out of transition, limit second-chance damage, and manufacture enough threes to survive the stretches where shots do not come easily. Nate Bittle is the engine here. If he’s scoring efficiently and drawing help, Oregon can create the kick-out looks that keep a dog inside the number.
If you want to track recent results and how Oregon has performed in different spots, start with Oregon stats and results. The key tonight is whether Oregon can avoid the five-minute scoring drought that has burned them on the road.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Form
Indiana is priced like a team you do not want to fade at Assembly Hall. The home record (13-3) is the headline, but the more important piece is how comfortable they look offensively at home. They’ve been efficient, they’ve gotten quality shots, and they’ve had enough scoring options to punish teams that cannot match physicality for 40 minutes.
Laying 11.5 is always about urgency and margin. Indiana has the firepower to cover if they defend well early and build a lead that forces Oregon to play faster than they want. Oregon chasing the game is where Indiana can get extra points from turnovers, early-clock looks, and the free-throw game.
For splits, recent scores, and matchup context, use Indiana schedule and stats. If Indiana is getting clean looks at the rim and controlling defensive rebounds, the favorite is in position to separate.
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Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Matchup Breakdown
This matchup is a tug-of-war on pace and shot profile. Oregon would rather play a controlled game, touch the paint through Bittle, and get to their threes without forcing them. Indiana wants to pressure the ball, speed decisions, and turn a few empty Oregon trips into a run that breaks the spread open.
Rebounding and turnovers are the swing stats. Oregon cannot afford to lose both. If they give Indiana extra possessions and also cough the ball up, the cover probability drops fast. If they can hold their own on the glass and keep turnovers manageable, 11.5 is a lot, especially if Indiana’s shotmaking cools for a stretch.
The total comes down to whether Oregon’s offense cooperates. Indiana can score into the 70s or 80s at home, but Oregon has to contribute. If Oregon is stuck in the low 60s, the under becomes more realistic even if Indiana plays well. Late-game dynamics matter too. A big Indiana lead can slow possessions late, and Oregon may not extend the game with fouling if it’s out of reach.
If you want a general framework for thinking through tempo, efficiency, and market numbers like this, the expert betting guide is a solid reference point.
Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Predictions and Best Bets
My lean is Oregon +11.5. Indiana should win, but this is a number that assumes Oregon is going to fold for long stretches. The Purdue game suggests they can compete when they stay connected defensively and get enough scoring from their primary options. Oregon does not have to be better than Indiana, they just have to avoid the avalanche.
On the total, I lean under 142.5. Indiana’s home offense is real, but Oregon’s road scoring volatility is the drag. If Oregon’s half-court possessions are grinding and they are not living at the line, the game can land in that 75-62 type range that cashes under while still being an Indiana win.
The best way this bet loses is if Indiana’s pressure forces Oregon into fast, messy possessions that turn into transition points the other way. If Oregon keeps the game in the half court and makes Indiana score over a set defense, the dog and the under both look better.
Best Bet: Oregon Ducks +11.5
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re attacking the full slate, the college basketball picks page is the cleanest way to compare matchups and find where the market is offering value. For more single-game context across the board, the college basketball previews hub helps you sort through spots, scheduling angles, and matchup notes.
If you’re more team-focused, the full NCAAB teams directory makes it easy to bounce between profiles and check form quickly. For broader betting angles and daily reads, the main blog is a useful supplement.
For bettors who follow track records, the best handicappers page and the live leaderboard are where you can separate steady performers from short-term noise. If you want premium plays, you can explore options on the buy picks page.
And if you’re comparing where to bet or evaluating services, the sportsbook reviews section and the handicappers sites reviews page are both useful when you’re shopping information and pricing.
