Lynx vs Sun Picks and Predictions — August 30, 2025
As the Minnesota Lynx work to clinch the top seed in the WNBA postseason, they face the Connecticut Sun on the road Saturday night. Despite a strong start to the season, Minnesota (30-8) has hit a rough patch and is 2-3 in its last five games. Connecticut (10-28) has shown signs of improvement after struggling for much of the year, but remains far from the playoff picture.
Oddsmakers list Minnesota as an 8.5-point favorite with the total at 168.5.
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Minnesota Can Win If…
They refocus defensively and return to their earlier form. Minnesota has been struggling defensively, giving up 11 threes in the second half of Thursday’s loss to Seattle and a season-worst 16 overall.
“Play some defense, man,” coach Cheryl Reeve said after the loss.
Napheesa Collier has been a bright spot since returning from injury, but the Lynx need more consistency from their offense and defense to close out the regular season on a high note. A strong defensive effort and better shooting, especially from Collier, will be key for them to cover.
Connecticut Can Win If…
They continue their improved play and get another big performance from rookie Leila Lacan. After a tough stretch in the middle of the season, the Sun have won 5 of their last 7, with Lacan leading the charge.
“It’s not how you start, it’s how you finish,” said veteran Tina Charles, praising the team’s recent turnaround.
The Sun’s offense has been clicking, and if they can continue to score efficiently while containing Collier and the Lynx, they have a shot at the upset.
Key WNBA Betting Trends
Category | Lynx | Sun |
---|---|---|
Record | 30-8 | 10-28 |
Last 5 Games | 2-3 | 5-2 |
Points Per Game | 87.1 | 79.6 |
Opponent PPG | 76.4 | 85.9 |
ATS Record (2024) | 5-4 | 4-5 |
The Lean
Pick: Lynx -8.5
Projected Final Score: Lynx 88, Sun 79
Minnesota is fighting to secure the No. 1 seed, and despite recent struggles, their overall talent and focus will likely push them past the Sun. Look for the Lynx to play more disciplined defense and get back to their winning ways against a Connecticut team still finding its consistency.
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